Week 4 Flashcards
(13 cards)
Statistical power
- what is the probability that a study will detect an effect when there is an effect there to be detected
Type 1 and Type 2 errors
Type 1 there is none but you’ve said there is
Type 2 - blind to the actual difference, you’ve said there is none
Alpha
- Alpha is the probability that we will reject the null hypothesis when we shouldn’t
- That we say there is an effect when there isn’t one
- This is our Type I Error!
<5% (
Why not use a tiny alpha value
- Because there is a relationship between alpha and beta
- If we choose a tiny alpha value, we will make it difficult to reject the null hypothesis (Type II errors very common!)
- If we choose a larger alpha value, Type II errors will be less common
- Sensitivity vs Specificity
- The risk of false positive (Type I) vs false negative (Type II)
Power
- Statistical power is the likelihood that a study will detect an effect when there is an effect there to be detected
- What is the probability of a correct decision of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is false
Power = 1 – Probability of a false negative (Type II error) Power = 1 – β
Factors affecting statistical power
Alpha level
Error variance
Sample size
Effect size
Sample size and statistical power
- Sample size works in the same way that error variance works
- As we test more people we are able to better describe a distribution
- Our hypothetical distributions (based on our samples) gets smaller
Effect size
- Effect size is the relative distance between our null and true distributions
- This distance is measured in standard deviation units
- An effect size of 0 (zero) would mean no difference between groups (a “perfect” null result)
- Effect size increases as two or more groups become “more” different from each other
- This can help tell us if differences are practically meaningful
Effects size measurements
Main Effect (ANOVA)
- Eta Squared
- Omega Squared
Multiple Comparisons (Planned contrast or Post-hoc)
- r
- Cohen’s d
Eta squared
- Used for main effect
- Small (.01); Medium (.09); Large (.25)
𝜂^²= (𝑆𝑆)_𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑛 / (𝑆𝑆)_𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙
Omega squared
- Used for main effect
- Most accurate measure of effect size for main effect
- Small (.01); Medium (.06); Large (.14)
𝜔^2= (𝑆𝑆_𝐵 − (𝑑𝑓_𝐵∗𝑀𝑆_(𝑊))) / (𝑆𝑆_𝑇 + 𝑀𝑆_𝑊 )
Effect size for planned contrasts
- r
- Used for follow-up tests
- Particularly useful for planned contrasts
- Small (.10); Medium (.30); Large (.50)
𝑟= √ (𝑡^2 / (𝑡^2+𝑑𝑓))
Effect size for post-hoc tests
- Cohen’s d
- Used for follow-up tests
- Can be used for Tukey’s post-hoc tests
- Small (.20); Medium (.50); Large (.80)
Step 1:
𝑆_𝑝𝑜𝑜𝑙𝑒𝑑 = √ (((𝑛_1−1) 𝑠_1^2 + (𝑛_2−1) 𝑠_2^2) / (𝑛_1+𝑛_2 ))
Step 2:
𝑑 = (𝑋̅_1 − 𝑋̅_2) / 𝑠_𝑝𝑜𝑜𝑙𝑒𝑑