WINE BUSINESS 📊 Flashcards
(179 cards)
What happens if high supply and low demand
Low prices.
What happens if low supply and high demand
High prices.
Social factors that influence the demand for wine
- Consumption habits.
- Consumer preferences.
- Reputation.
- Spending patterns.
Explain the evolution of consumption habits in the last 20 years
A rapid increase in the first part of the 2000s, fall down in 2008, stable to 2021; drops in France and Italy, increment in the USA (largest wine consumption worldwide in 2011) and China, a stable market in Germany.
The possible reasons for the drop in consumption habits
- younger people drinking less wine (wine is old-fashioned, more time on social media so less time in the bar);
- health concerns (increasing awareness of the negative health effects of alcohol, for example Loi Evin in France);
- changes in lifestyle (less time for long meals, no alcohol during working days);
- reduced availability of cheap wine (consumers buy other cheaper alcoholic drinks).
How changes in consumer preferences affect the demand for wine
Rosé is popular (USA), Prosecco is increasing (UK), high demand for lower-alcohol wines, drop of fortified wines (from 4% to 2,5%), out of fashion for medium-sweet German wines (Liebfraumilch).
How changes in reputation affect the demand for wine
Good reviews increase prices (Wine Spectator in the USA, Jancis Robinson in the UK), also online influencers or key opinion leaders, presence in popular culture (films, tv series).
How changes in spending patterns affect the demand for wine
How much consumers are willing to spend on wine (Germany and UK no more for the lowest price possible, the USA above the minimum); competition in price-sensitive markets (consumers are building up brand loyalty); premiumisation in the recent years (pay more for a single bottle but less volume, USA and UK).
Economic factors that influence the demand for wine
- Strength of the economy.
- Fluctuations in currency exchange.
- Changes to the market.
How the strength of the economy affects the demand for wine
Sales of wine will change with the level of consumer disposable income; if disposable income falls, consumers choose cheaper wines or switch to other (2008 from Champagne to Prosecco); when an economy is growing, such as has been seen in China, disposable income increases and consumers are often willing to buy more expensive wine (Bordeaux, Burgundy).
How fluctuations in currency exchange affect the demand for wine
They can affect the demand for imported wines:
- wine-exporting country’s currency gains value than importing, producer can increase price (risk losing sales) or keep the price stable (lose profit);
- wine-exporting country’s currency loses value than importing, exporter can lower the price (boost sales) or keep the price stable (more profit).
How changes to the market affect the demand for wine
Markets are constantly changing (product disappears = supply ↓ ⇨ new opportunities for competition (limited supply, ↑ prices)).
Legislative and political factors that influence the demand for wine
- Laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of alcohol.
- Government policies to reduce alcohol consumption.
- Taxation.
- International trade.
- Wine laws.
How laws prohibiting or limiting the sale of alcohol affect the demand for wine
Minimum legal drinking age, particular hours for the sales, sales control by monopolies and the USA’s three-tier system.
How government policies to reduce alcohol consumption affect the demand for wine
Criminal behaviour; Loi Evin in 1991 in France has restricted the advertising of alcoholic drinks; Scottish Government introduced minimum unit pricing to reduce the availability of cheap alcohol; alcohol limit before driving the car (BAC, Blood Alcohol Concentration), for example New Zealand and Scotland have reduced from 80mg/100ml to 50mg/100ml.
How taxation affects the demand for wine
Reduce consumption and revenue generator for governments; categories of wine have different levels of taxation (the Republic of Ireland has 3.20€/bottle of still wine and 6.37€/bottle of sparkling wine).
How international trade affects the demand for wine
Export has doubled in the last 15 years; custom duties on imported goods to generate revenue and encourage the domestic market; embargo (exports to a particular country is banned); free-trade agreement in EU, so countries that accept the agreement are more competitive than those don’t (South Africa and Chile vs Australia); trade wars.
How wine laws affect the demand for wine
GIs have a significant impact on the supply level; slow reaction on the market with PDO rules; stop of lavish gifting in China in 2012.
Which factors influence the demand for wine
- Social.
- Economic.
- Legislative and political.
Which factors influence the supply of wine
- Production.
- Legislation.
Production factors that influence the supply of wine
- Area under vine.
- Human.
- Natural.
Factors that have influenced the loss of vineyard land (particularly in the EU)
- vine pull schemes (surplus of wine in the mid-1980s, wine lake, so pulled up poor quality vines);
- EU restrictions on planting new vineyards to increase the quality and avoid excessive production;
- conversion of vineyard land to other uses (wine grapes are low value agricultural crop, e.g. in Elgin from vineyards to apples);
- abandonment of rural areas (people live and work in urban areas).
How human factors influence the supply of wine
Modern techniques (e.g. area under vine is decreasing but the production in Spain is increasing thanks to the use of modern higher density planting).
How natural factors influence the supply of wine
Weather variations (spring frosts, hailstorms, severe heat waves in 2017 = -14% compared to 2016; drought in South Africa and California, Chilean government estimates that 95% of the country’s vineyards will be irrigated in 2050), low yields (not related to low quality) means higher prices.