2.2 Flashcards

1
Q

Definition of Sales forecast

A

Predication of achievable sales revenue based on data analysis trends , economic variables and competitor actions

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2
Q

Purpose of a sales forecast

A

To see if they will need to increase their productive capacity - produce more , buy more factory space , employ more workers

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3
Q

How can a sales forecast be produced

A

Market research - the accuracy of the data will impact on the quality of the forecast
Things they might look at - how many future sales they’ll make , effect of promotion on sales , changes in the size of the market , seasonal sales

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4
Q

Definition of time series analysis

A

The prediction of future sales based on past data

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5
Q

The four key components that a business will try to identify using time series data

A

The trend
Seasonal fluctuations
Cyclical fluctuations - impact of economy
Random fluctuations

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6
Q

How to calculate percentage change

A

Difference / Original x 100

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7
Q

Factors affecting sales forecasts

A

Consumer trends
Seasonal variations
Competition
Long term trends
Economic growth rate
Inflation rate
Unemployment levels
Interest rates
Exchange rates

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8
Q

Definition of Consumer trends

A

The Habits and behaviours of consumers around the products they buy and how they use them

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9
Q

Definition of Seasonal variations

A

How sales will vary across the seasons

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10
Q

Definition of economic growth

A

The increase in the total output of the economy measured by GDP

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11
Q

Definition of interest rates

A

Cost of borrowing or the benefits of saving

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12
Q

Definition of inflation

A

The sustained rise in the general price level over time

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13
Q

Definition of Exchange rates

A

The value of one currency in terms of another currency

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14
Q

Difficulties of sales forecasting

A

Historical data may not reflect future performance
Seasonality may affect sales
Natural disaster cannot be foreseen
Fluctuations in demand
A new business has no historical data to look at
Really hard to accurately predict the future

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15
Q

Definition of Costs

A

What a business has to pay in order to continue operating

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16
Q

Definition of Fixed Costs

A

Costs that don’t change with output

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17
Q

Definition of Variable costs

A

Costs that change with output

18
Q

How to calculate total costs

A

Fixed costs + variable costs

19
Q

How to calculate variable costs

A

Variable cost per unit x quantity produced
Total costs - fixed costs

20
Q

How to calculate profit

A

Total revenue - total costs

21
Q

How to calculate average cost per unit

A

Total cost / output

22
Q

How to calculate revenue

A

Price x quantity sold

23
Q

Definition of revenue / sales value

A

The amount of money earned by selling a product

24
Q

Definition of sales volume

A

The number of units sold

25
How can revenue be increased
Increase price Increase quantity
26
Definition of Loss
Total costs are greater than total revenue
27
Definition of Break even e
Total costs are equal to total revenue
28
Definition of Profit
Total costs are less than total revenue
29
How to calculate Break even
Fixed costs / sales price - variable costs
30
Definition of Margin of safety
Difference between actual output and break even
31
Definition of Budget
A financial plan that is agreed in advance It shows how much money is needed and where it will come from
32
Purpose of budgets
Control and monitoring Planning Co-ordination Communication Efficiency Motivation
33
Types of budgets
Sales volume - planned sales level Sales revenue - uses sales volume budget and prices to show planned revenue Production costs - based on sales volume budget and all planned production costs Overheads - all planned indirect costs Total costs - all planned business costs Marketing - planned spending on research , advertising and promotion R and D - planned spending on research and development Profit - planned revenue , costs and profit Cash - planned inflows and outflows and cash balances Master - a summary of all budgets
34
Definition of Historical budget
Budget based off of past data
35
Definition of Zero based budget
A budget set using figures based on potential performance and no previous data to base it off
36
Cons of historical budgets
Businesses are dynamic Incremental budgeting could occur which can lead to inefficiencies and missed opportunities for cost savings
37
Pros and cons of zero based budget
Pros : Improves allocation for resources A questioning attitude is developed which will help reduce unnecessary costs and eliminate inefficient practices Staff motivation could be increase due to the practise of evaluation skills and a greater knowledge of operations might develop Encourages managers to look for alternatives Cons : Time consuming Skilful decision making is required and decisions may be influenced by subjective opinions Requires the bidding manager to have good negotiation skills It threatens the status quo Managers may not be prepared to justify spending on certain costs
38
What is a Favourable variance
Spent less then expected - costs lower then budgeted More income then budgeted
39
What is adverse variance
Spending more then budgeted - costs higher then budgeted Income is lower then budgeted
40
Reasons for favourable variance
Ability to charge higher prices An increase in demand Improvements in the quality of the product Increase in consumer incomes A change in consumer’s tastes
41
Reasons for adverse variances
Costs higher due to production being higher Supplier raise prices Some inefficiencies in production Higher wages due to wage demands
42
Difficulties in setting budgets
They’re planned figures - inaccurate due to human error and based on historical figures One of the most significant data is sales data - if this is inaccurate most budget figures will be inaccurate May lead to conflict between departments Time - could of been used completing other tasks Budget can be too ambitious - so no longer a bench mark Budgets could be too small - so no longer a bench mark Motivation of workers Manipulation - some managers might have greater influence on coordinating and setting budget Rigidity - can sometimes constrain business activities Short termism - some managers could be too focused on the budget and take actions that undermine the future performance of the business