4.3 - Emerging and developing economies Content Flashcards
(110 cards)
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is economic development?
An increase in living standards in a country
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is the difference between Economic Growth and Economic Development?
- Economic growth - an increase in the total value of goods and services produced in an economy in a year
- Economic development - an improvement in living standards and economic welfare over time. Most common measure being HDI
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What does the difference between HDI and IHDI represent?
The ‘loss’ in potential human development because of poverty.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is the Human Development Index (HDI) based on?
- Health as measured by life expectancy at birth.
- Education as measured by the expected years of schooling.
- Income as measured by real GNI per capita at purchasing power parity.
Each of these three indicators are given equal weighting and a mean is taken to give a figure between 0 and 1. The higher the number, the greater the development.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are some advantages of the Human Development Index?
- It is a composite indicator which provides a more useful comparison metric than single indicators do
- It incorporates three of the most important metrics for households i.e. health, education and income
- It is widely used all over the world which provides an opportunity for meaningful comparisons
- It provides a goal for governments to use when developing their policies e.g. it may help identify that the education levels are holding back improvements to the HDI and government policy can target that
- It provides citizens with an understanding of how their quality of life compares to other countries
- Comparisons over time can be made
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are some limitations of the HDI
- It does not measure the inequality that exists as it uses the mean GNI/capita - doesn’t show Income inequality
- It does not measure or compare the levels of absolute and relative poverty that exist
- For many countries it does not provide useful short-term information as gathering the data required for the calculation is difficult. This means the data often lags reality by several years
- PPP values change quickly and so the numbers can become inaccurate
- Doesn’t show political freedoms – gender opportunities and human rights
- Equal weighting of indicators may not show the countries priorities
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are some other measures of development
IHDI - inequality adjusted HDI
- Will be equal to HDI when there is no inequality, but falls as inequality rises. Never greater than HDI
- Provides greater insight into differences in human development that exist in a country as oposed to average human development
MPI - Multi-dimensional Poverty Index (MPI)
- It measures the complexities of poor people’s lives,
- Tracks deprivatiion across 3 dimensions - Health (child mortality), education (years of schooling) and living standards (access to clean water). Has 10 indictors within these dimensions
- Household is poor if they have 1/3 or more of the wieghted indicators
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are the factors influencing growth and development?
[11]
- Primary product dependency
- Volatility of commodity prices
- The savings gap: Harrod-Domar model
- Foreign Currency Gap
- Capital Flight
- Demographic factors
- Access to credit and banking
- Infrastructure
- Debt
- Education and skills
- Absence of property rights
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are some the problems with primary product dependency?
[7]
- Over-Specialisation: Heavy reliance on a narrow range of exports (e.g., Zambia’s 70% copper and over 90% primary products) increases vulnerability to external shocks.
- Low Income Elasticity: Primary products have a less-than-proportional demand increase as global incomes rise, limiting export revenue growth.
- Low Added Value: These products offer minimal value addition compared to manufactured goods, resulting in lower profits and incomes.
- Natural Disaster Vulnerability: Production can be severely disrupted or wiped out by natural disasters, causing sudden supply shocks.
- Non-Renewability: Finite resources can be depleted, leading to long-term economic instability.
- Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Explained on another flashcard.
- Dutch Disease: Explained on another flashcard.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is the Prebisch Singer Hypothesis
- The Prebisch Singer Hypothesis suggests the long run price of primary goods declines in proportion to manufactured goods.
- Manufactured goods are more YED ELASTIC
- which means those dependent on primary exports will see a fall in their terms of trade.
- This leads to a fall in purchasing, might lead to balance of payments problems and fall in living standards in the future.
- However, in recent years, there has been a rise in the prices of some key commodities, such as food, cocoa and oil and a fall in prices of some manufactured goods due to the expansion to places like China.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is Dutch disease
Dutch disease refers to the negative economic impact that can occur when a country experiences a resource boom (such as discovering large oil reserves). This boom can lead to a stronger currency and higher wages, which in turn makes the country’s other exports less competitive on the global market. As a result, other sectors, like manufacturing, may decline.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
How could the negative impacts of primary product dependence be evaluated? Why might primary product dependence not be so bad?
- LEDCs may have a comparative advantage in primary products
- Therefore should continue to develop in areas which they are strongest.
- Argument given by the Bad Samaritans
- Some rich countries have been able to use primary products to develop
- Saudi Arabia and oil. - Primary product revenue should be used to reinvest into manufacturing.
- Forward markets can be used to fix prices in advanced to reduce volatility and risk.
- Not all primary products have a low YED - Diamonds in Botswana.
- Primary products rose steeply in price between 2000-2008 while prices for manufactured goods was falling. They also rose post-pandemic.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is the problems with voltality of commodity prices
- Extreme Price Swings: Inelastic supply/demand → small disruptions (e.g., weather, geopolitics) cause large price fluctuations.
- GDP Instability: Commodity-dependent economies (e.g., Bolivia: 25% GDP from exports, 60% commodities) see GDP rise/fall with global prices, risking recessions.
- Income Uncertainty: Producers face rapid income drops → poverty, debt, and inability to invest long-term.
- Investment Disruption: Governments struggle to plan budgets or fund infrastructure due to revenue volatility.
- Over-Investment Cycles: Prolonged price booms → excess production capacity → crash phases (oversupply, bankruptcies, unemployment).
- Lack of Diversification: Over-reliance on commodities amplifies risks (e.g., Bolivia vs. diversified economies).
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is a savings gap?
The difference between a country’s actual savings and the savings required to achieve a higher economic growth rate. Low incomes in developing countries limit savings, reducing funds for banks to lend, which restricts investment and consumption.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
How do savings gaps trap economies in low growth?
- Low savings → Low investment in capital (e.g., infrastructure, technology).
- Vicious cycle: Low investment → Low productivity → Low incomes → Low savings.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
How does the Harrod-Domar model link savings to growth?
↑ Savings → ↑ Investment → ↑ Capital Stock → ↑ GDP Growth → ↑ Savings (virtuous cycle).
Policy implication: Governments/foreign aid must inject capital to “kickstart” growth.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are limitations of focusing only on savings gaps?
- Ignores structural issues (corruption, education, institutions).
- Assumes all investment boosts productivity (e.g., wasteful spending).
- Risks foreign aid dependency or crowding out local savings.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
How can developing countries escape savings gaps?
- Structural reforms: Improve education, property rights, anti-corruption.
- Microfinance: Enable small loans for households/businesses.
- Targeted aid: Fund projects with clear productivity gains (e.g. rural infrastructure)
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What are 3 criticisms of the Harrod-Domar model
- It does not account for many other factors such as labour productivity, corruption, technological innovation
- It was created based on data from wealthier industrialising nations as opposed to very poor undeveloped countries
- It focused only on physical investment and ignored other types such as investment in human capital (labour)
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is the Harrod Domar Model? DRAW
Emphasis on the importance of savings in the economy.
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
What is a foreign currency gap?
A foreign currency gap happens when currency outflows persistently exceeds currency inflows.
If exports are low in either quantity or value, there will not be enough foreign currency to buy the necessary imports
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
When does a foreign currency gap occur (three reasons)
- When a counry runs a persistent current account deficit
- When there is an outflow of capital from investors - capital flight
- There is a fall in the value of inflows of remittances
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
Why is a foreign currency gap a problem?
- Country does not have enough foreign currency to pay for essential imports such as medicines, food
- And other raw materials and replacement component parts for basic machinery.
- The country might not be able to pay off debts and might have to default/seek loan from IMF - bad for credit rating and makes it difficult to seek loans in the future
4.3 - Emerging and developing economies
How can you fill a foreign currency gap?
- Can be solved by FDI
- Or foreign aid to increase the amount of foreign currency in the economy