Alt Investments #40 - Publicly Traded Real Estate Securities Flashcards

1
Q

List and describe types of publicly traded real estate securities

A

LOS 40.a

Equity REITs

  • mostly exempt from corp income tax
  • actively managed
  • own income-producing real estate
  • seek profits by growing cash flows, improving property values, purchasing additional properties
  • often specialize in one particular kind of property
  • diversify over geography and other factors
  • UPREIT - “umbrella pertnership”; most common in US where REIT is general partner with controlling interest in partnership that owns and operates the properties
  • DOWNREIT - REIT has an ownership interest in more than one partnership; can own properties both at partnership and REIT levels

Equity: REOCs (real estate operating companies)

  • ordinary companies that own real estate
  • not tax-advataged; form REOC if ineligible as REIT, e.g:
    • intend to develop/sell RE & not generate cash
    • in a country not allowing tax-advataged REITs

Debt: residential/commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS/RMBS)

  • asset-backed securitized debt obligations
  • cash flow from underlying pool of mortgage loans
  • Much larger market than publicly traded equity REITs

Debt: mortgage REITs

  • invest primarily in mortgages, mortgage securities, loans secured by real estate
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2
Q

Pros/cons of investing in publicly traded real estate securities

A

LOS 40.b

Advantages

  • superior liquidity
  • lower minimum investment
  • limited liability
  • access to premium properties
  • active professional management
  • protections in accordance to publicly traded securities
    • financial reporting, disclosure, governance
    • board and public investor oversight
  • greater potential for diversification

REIT-specific advantages (not REOCs)

  • tax exemption - most of dividends is return of capital
  • predictable earnings - rental income fixed by contracts
  • high yield - required to pay out most taxable income as dividends

Disadvantages

  • taxes - miss out on tax deductions enjoyed through direct ownership: losses and like-kind property replacements
  • lack of control
  • cost overhead of REIT structure
  • market price volatility
  • structural conflicts of interest - sell vs. raise capital different taxation for shareholers vs general partners
  • limited potential for income growth
  • forced equity issuance - if debt too expensive

REIT-specific disadvantages (not REOCs)

  • lack of flexibility - due to REIT structure requirements:
    • not able to mkae certain kinds of investments
    • must distribute most of income
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3
Q

explain economic value determinants of REITs

A

LOS 40.c

Largest driver of econ. value for all REITs: national GDP growth

Ranking of factors driving econ. value for REIT property types:

REIT population job new space retail sales
type growth creation supply/demand growth

retail 3 2 3 1

office 3 1 2 4

residential 11 3 4

healthcare 1 3 2 4

industrial 2 4 3 1

hotel 3 1 2 4

storage 1 2 3 4

1 = most important; 4= least important

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4
Q

explain investment characteristics of REITs

A

LOS 40.c

  • exempt from corp income taxes
  • high yield dividend
  • low income volatility
  • secondary equity offerings - more common with REITs than with non-real estate companies
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5
Q

explain principal risks of REITs

A

LOS 40.c

  • significant supply/demand imbalances likely
    • healthcare, hotel, office REITs
  • occupancy rates fluctuate over short time periods
    • hotels
  • underlying riskiness of:
    • property financing
    • in-place leases
    • location and quality of property
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6
Q

explain due diligence considerations of REITs

A

LOS 40.c

Analyst should evaluate:

  • remaining lease terms wrt state of economy
    • short terms in expanding economy = good
    • long terms in declining economy = good
  • contractual inflation protection/hedging
    • scheduled rent increases = good
    • indexing rents to rate of inflation = good
  • in-place rents vs market rents
    • in-place rents > market rents = good
  • costs to re-lease space
    • e.g. lost rent, new lease incentives, tenant-demanded improvements, broker commissions
    • low = good
  • tenant concentration in the portfolio
    • no/few big tenants wrt total portfolio = good
  • financial health of big tenants; examine their financials
  • new competition; examine space that is planned and under construction
  • balance sheet analysis; focus on leverage, cost of debt, and maturity of debt
  • quality of management; examine performance record, qualifications, and tenture
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7
Q

Describe retail/shopping center REITs

A

LOS 40.d

retail/shopping center REITs

  • regional shopping malls - anchor tenants: long fixed-rate leases; smaller tenants have “percentage leases” (fixed min plus percentage sales over certain level)
  • community shopping centers - pre-determined rents with increasing schedle
  • econonmic value determinants
    • retail sales growth
    • job creation
  • inv characteristics: stable revenue over short term
  • risks: depends on consumer spending
  • due diligence: per-sqft sales and rental rates
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8
Q

Describe office REITs

A

LOS 40.d

office REITs

  • long leases (5-25yrs) that increase over time
  • tenants pay proportional share of prop taxes, opex, etc.
  • econonmic value determinants
    • job creation
    • new space supply/demand
  • inv characteristics: stable revenue over long term
  • risks: changes in office vancancy and rental rates
  • due diligence: new space under construction; quality of space (e.g. location, condition, etc)
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9
Q

Describe residential REITs

A

LOS 40.d

residential REITs (apartments)

  • econonmic value determinants
    • population growth
    • job creation
  • inv characteristics: one-year leases; stable demand
  • risks:
    • competition
    • inducements
    • regional economy
    • inflation in opex
  • due diligence:
    • demographics and income trends
    • age and competitive appeal
    • cost of home ownership
    • rent controls
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10
Q

Describe healthcare REITs

A

LOS 40.d

healthcare REITs

  • econonmic value determinants
    • population growth
    • new space supply/demand
  • inv characteristics: net leases; lease to h/c providers
  • risks:
    • demographics
    • government funding
    • construction cycles
    • financial condition of operators
    • tenant litigation
  • due diligence:
    • operating trends
    • government funding trends
    • litigation settlements
    • competitions’ new facilities and demand
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11
Q

Describe industrial REITs

A

LOS 40.d

industrial REITs

  • econonmic value determinants
    • retail sales growth
    • population growth
  • inv characteristics: less cyclical; 5-25yr leases; changes in value and income are slow
  • risks: shifts in composition local and national industrial bases and trade
  • due diligence:
    • trends in tenants’ requirements
    • obsolescence of existing space
    • need for new types of space
    • proximity to transportation
    • trends in local supply and demand
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12
Q

Describe hotel REITs

A

LOS 40.d

hotel REITs

  • econonmic value determinants
    • job creation
    • new space supply/demand
  • inv characteristics: usually lease through management companies; variable passive rental income; cyclical due to lack of long-term leases
  • risks:
    • exposed to business cycle
    • changes in business and leisure travel
    • exposure to travel disruptions
  • due diligence:
    • occupancy, room rates, operating profit margins vs industry averages
    • revenue per available room (RevPAR)
    • trends in forward bookings
    • maintenance expenditures
    • new construction in local markets
    • financial leverage
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13
Q

Describe storage REITs

A

LOS 40.d

storage REITs

  • econonmic value determinants
    • population growth
    • job creation
  • inv characteristics: gross leases on a monthly basis
  • risks:
    • ease of entry can lead to overbuilding/oversupply
  • due diligence:
    • construction of new competitive facilities
    • trends in housing sales
    • demographic trends
    • new business start-up activity
    • seasonal trends in storage demand; can vary greatly in some markets
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14
Q

describe net asset value per share (NAVPS) and justify its usage in REIT valuation

A

LOS 40.e

NAVPS - per share amount by which assets exceed liabilities using market values (not accounting values)

  • considered the most appropriate measure of REIT/REOC fundamental value
  • if market price of REIT > NAVPS, REIT likely overvalued
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15
Q

estimate NAVPS based on forecasted cash net operating income

A

LOS 40.e

1. estimate next 12 month’s cash NOI (NOINTM):

NOITTM
- non-cash rent (avg contract rent - cash rent paid)
+ full-yr adj for acq. (reflect full-yr rent for ppty owned < 1 yr)
+ estimated next-year growth in cash NOI
= cash NOINTM

​2. capitalize NOINTM using cap rate to estimate value of operating real estate:

Vop_RE = cash NOINTM / cap rate

​3. add value of other tangible assets and subtract value of liabilities to derive total net asset value (NAV):

Vop_RE
+ cash & AR
- debt & other liabilities
= NAV

​4. divide by outstanding share count to derive net asset value per share (NAVPS):

NAVPS = NAV / #shares

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16
Q

describe funds from operations (FFO) and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) and justify their usage in REIT valuation

A

LOS 40.f

FFO - adjusts reported (accounting) earnings; popular measure of the continuing operating income of a REIT or REOC

AFFO - extension of FFO that is intended to be a more useful representation of current economic income; also known as cash/funds available for distribution (CAD / FAD)

  • AFFO considered a better measure of economic income because it considers capex required to sustain property economic income
  • However, FFO is cited more frequently because AFFO relies more on subjective estimates
17
Q

estimate funds from operations (FFO) and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO)

A

LOS 40.f

FFO:

accounting net earnings
+ depreciation expense
+ deferred tax expense (i.e. deferred tax liabilities)
- gains from sales of ppty & debt restructuring
+ losses from sales of ppty & debt restructuring
= FFO

AFFO:

FFO
- non-cash (straight-line) rent adjustment
- recurring maint-type capex & leasing commissions
= AFFO

18
Q

compare NAV, relative value (price-to-FFO, price-to-AFFO) and DDM & DCF approaches to REIT valuation

A

LOS 40.g

  • NAV - value of REIT assets to a private market buyer (can be very different from publicly-traded market value)
  • relative approaches:
    • P/FFO - most common mutliple used to analyze REITs
    • P/AFFO - better measure of economic income
    • three key factors that impact P/FFO and P/AFFO:
      • expected growth of FFO & AFFO
      • risk inherent in underlying real estate
      • risk related to firm’s leverge and capital access
  • DDM & DCF - applied the same way as in other industries
19
Q

Calculate value of a REIT share using NAV, P/FFO, P/AFFO, and DCF approaches

A

LOS 40.h

Using NAV - see previous notes for computing NAVPS

Using P/FFO & P/AFFO - use subsector average P/FFO or P/AFFO as one would a P/E ratio with computed (A)FFO / share:

NAV / share = P / (A)FFO * (A)FFO / share

Using DCF:

PV(dividends yrs 1 to n) + PV(terminal value yr n);
discount using cost of equity

20
Q

Describe diversified REITs

A

LOS 40.d

diversified REITs

  • own more than one category type of REIT
  • uncommon in N. America; more common in Europe and Asia
  • important to evaluate management’s background in the diversity of REITs owned