Balance Of Payments, Exchange Rates, International Competitiveness, Poverty And Inequality Flashcards
(60 cards)
Structural factors influencing a country’s current account balance
SSP
Under-investment in capital equipments and export infrastructure
Low productivity- increase CoP, increase price
Persistently high relative inflation, low competitiveness
Slow R&D and innovation
Emergence of lower cost competition
Brexit- increased paperwork
Cyclical factors influencing a country’s current account balance
AD related- Demand side policies
Over valued exchange rate- SPICED
Boom in domestic demand- increase demand for imports
Recession in key export markets- lower demand for exports
Lower global prices of exports- oil, PED inelastic, lower prices, lower revenue
Increase demand for imported technology- for consumers and firms
What are the two policies to correct current account deficit
Expenditure reducing policy
Expenditure switching policy
What is expenditure reducing policy
Policies designed to reduce the overall level of consumption in an economy
Increase taxation
Decrease government spending
Increase interest rates and lower MPC
Evaluation for expenditure reducing policy
Lower economic growth, cyclical unemployment
Lower living standards
Rising interest rates- hot money inflows, SPICED, cancel out trade improvements
What is expenditure switching policy
Designed to change the relative prices of exports and imports
Switch domestic demand towards domestic goods and away from imports
-protectionist (tariff, quotas, subsidies)
-lower exchange rate (only if Marshall Lerner Condition is in place)
What is the Marshall Lerner Condition
If PEDx + PEDm >1, depreciation of a country’s exchange rate will lead to a net improvement in trade balance
What is exchange rate
The value of which one currency trades against another on the foreign exchange market
What does the J curve show
Relationship between trade balance and the change in exchange rate
Weakening exchange rate would worsen the current account deficit first as PED inelastic in SR due to contracts signed and not enough time to find alternative, needs more money to purchase imports
In long term, it would improve as domestic demand would shift towards domestic goods if the Marshall Lerner Condition holds
What is a floating exchange rate system
Value of currency is determined by market forces
What are factors influencing floating exchange rate
-demand from foreigners and wishing to buy UK exports or increased tourism in UK- increase demand for £
-relative inflation- if UK inflation higher than trading partners, less competitive- decrease demand for £
-demand from foreign companies wishing to invest in UK through FDI
-increased interest rate- hot money inflows
-demand from speculators wishing to hold surplus fund in £
What exchange rate would be better if UK wants to import goods from other countries
Strong exchange rate
Better ToT, could purchase more imports
What exchange rate would be better if wanting to export to other countries
Weak exchange rate
Making prices look cheaper when priced in other currencies
What is revaluation
Increase in official exchange rate of a currency set by government or central bank
What is appreciation
Natural increase in the value of a currency due to market forces
Increase demand for £, pound would appreciate
What is devaluation
Deliberate policy action by government or central bank to reduce official exchange rate of its currency
What is Depreciation
Currency’s value decreases due to market forces
What are the advantages of floating exchange rate
Reduce need for currency reserves- as there is no exchange rate target
More economic stability- exchange rates can control inflation, stabilise current account and stimulate economic growth
Could correct trade deficit- larger trade deficit, WIDEC, increase exports
However, depends on PED
Reduce risk of currency speculation- when speculators try weaken the currency knowing gov/ central bank will strengthen, aim to buy low sell high
What are the disadvantages of Floating exchange rate
Volatile
May make existing problems worse- already suffering in high inflation, further depreciation in currency
What is a fixed exchange rate
Where government seeks to keep value of currency of a certain level compared to other currencies
HK
What are the advantages of fixed exchange rate
Stability- higher trade and investment- as less currency risk
Some flexibility- occasional devaluation/ revaluation
Reduce cost of safety net- businesses spend less on currency hedging
Disciplines on domestic producers- keeps prices low and costs low- increase productivity and focus on R&D, can’t rely on SPICED or WIDEC to achieve gains
Reinforces gains in comparative advantage- non-price competition reflects growth in X and M
What are disadvantages in fixed exchange rate
Economy unable to respond to shocks
Require large amount of currency reserves- central bank needs to intervene
Speculation- speculators aim to buy low sell high
Policy conflict- growth, inflation, unemployment
What is a managed exchange rate
System allowing central bank to intervene regularly in foreign exchange market to change the direction of the currency’s float
One dotted line above equilibrium one line below
Price of £ and Q of £, S£ and D£
Advantages of a managed exchange rate system
WIDEC:
Improves balance of trade
Reduce risk of recession
SPICED:
Decrease price of imported capital and technology- long run growth potential