ch 7 Flashcards
(18 cards)
the more developed the economy, the more?
urbanized
developing countries are often excessively ________________ or too-rapidly __________________
urbanized/urbanizing
Cities with 10 Million or More Inhabitants
Megacities
The Role of Cities
- Agglomeration economies: Urbanization (general) economies, localization (industry or sector) economies
- Saving on firm-to-firm, firm-to-consumer transportation
- Firms locating near workers with skills they need
- Workers locating near firms that need their skills
- Firms benefit from (perhaps specialized) infrastructure
- Firms benefit from knowledge spillovers in their and related industries
(Also: consumers may benefit from urban amenities)
is a key to sectoral efficiency
Quality of clusters, or Industrial Districts,
Smaller cities may be expected in
labor-intensive developing countries
More extensive (expensive) capital, infrastructure required in
urban areas
Causes of Urban Giantism:
Import substitution industrialization: less trade, incentive to concentrate in a single city largely to avoid transportation costs
“Bread and circuses” to prevent unrest (evidence: stable democracies vs. unstable dictatorships)
Hub and spoke transportation system (rather than web) makes transport costs high for small cities
Compounding effect of locating the national capital in the largest city
The Urban Giantism Problem
There may be general urban bias
Cities are capital intensive, so may expect that
large cities are commonly located in developed
countries
But urbanization in developing countries has taken
place at unexpectedly rapid pace
Huge informal sectors in shantytowns, favelas
Large fraction of workers outside formal sector
Much urban growth is in mid-size cities, but urban
bias remains a serious issue in many developing
countries
There may be First-City Bias (favoring largest city)
Why promote the urban informal sector?
Generates surplus despite hostile environment
Creating jobs due to low capital intensivity
Access to (informal) training, and apprenticeships
Creates demand for less- or un- skilled workers
Uses appropriate technologies, local resources
Recycling of waste materials
More benefits to poor, especially women who are concentrated in the informal sector
Rural-to-urban migration was viewed positively until recently
The current view of Rural-to-urban migration is that this migration is?
greater than the urban areas’ abilities to
— Create jobs
— Provide social services
° A Verbal Description of the Todaro Model
— Migration is a rational decision
— The decision depends on expected rather than actual wage differentials
— The probability of obtaining a city job is inversely related to the urban unemployment rate
— High rates of migration are outcomes of rural urban imbalances
° A Diagrammatic Presentation
WA is agricultural income,
LM is employment in manufacturing
LUS is total urban labor pool
WM is the urban minimum wage
7.6 Toward an Economic Theory of Rural-Urban Migration (cont’d)
Five Policy Implications
Reduction of urban bias
Imbalances in expected income opportunities is crucial
Indiscriminate educational expansion fosters increased migration and unemployment
Wage subsidies and scarcity factor pricing can be counterproductive
Programs of integrated rural development should be encouraged
If informal-sector income is greater than zero, we
include it as a weighted component of expected
urban income (on the right side of Equation 7.1),
specifically we add (as in Endnote 30):
The informal-sector wage WUI times the probability
of receiving it:
WUI(1 - LM/LUS)
where (1 - LM/LUS) is the probability of not receiving
the preferred urban formal wage.
We can further elaborate with other wages for
different activities - and probabilities of receiving them
- in this period; and, more generally, in future periods
Generalizing the Harris-Todaro Model
7.7 Summary and Conclusions: A Comprehensive Migration and Employment Strategy
Create a urban-rural balance
Expand small-scale, labor intensive industries
Eliminate factor price distortions
Choose appropriate labor-intensive technologies of production
Modify the linkage between education and employment
Reduce population growth
Decentralize authority to cities and neighborhoods
In-Class Example of the Harris-Todaro Model
Start with equation on the previous slide:
Rural wage = $1.50 per day
Urban modern wage = $3 per day
Urban traditional income = $.25 per day
Suppose there is a .5 probability of getting a modern
job. Will there be migration?
Calculate expected urban income and compare to rural
income. Important: you cannot work in two sectors at
the same time!
E(YURB) = (.5)(3) + (.5)(.25)
= 1.50 + .125 = 1.625 > 1.50 = YRUR
So the individual migrates - even though half receives
just a small fraction of the rural income.