Changing population: natural increase, structure and migration Flashcards
(69 cards)
What is natural increase in population studies?
Natural increase is the rate at which a population grows or declines when only births and deaths are considered; it equals the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate and is expressed per 1,000 people or as a percentage.
How do you calculate natural increase percentage?
Subtract the crude death rate (per 1,000) from the crude birth rate, divide the result by 10 to convert to a percentage (e.g., (30‑10)/10 = 2 % annual growth).
Define crude birth rate (CBR).
The crude birth rate is the number of live births occurring among the population of an area during a year, per 1,000 inhabitants.
Define crude death rate (CDR).
The crude death rate is the number of deaths occurring among the population of an area during a year, per 1,000 inhabitants.
What does the ‘Rule of 70’ estimate?
The Rule of 70 estimates the doubling time of a growing population or economy by dividing 70 by the annual percentage growth rate.
What is Total Fertility Rate (TFR)?
TFR is the average number of children a woman would bear during her lifetime if age‑specific fertility rates remain constant.
Describe Stage 1 of the Demographic Transition Model (DTM).
Both birth and death rates are high, population growth is negligible, and societies are largely agrarian and pre‑industrial.
Describe Stage 2 of the DTM.
Death rates fall sharply due to improved hygiene and medicine while birth rates remain high, causing a population explosion.
Describe Stage 3 of the DTM.
Birth rates begin to decline as societies urbanize and women gain access to education and contraception; growth slows.
Describe Stage 4 of the DTM.
Birth and death rates are both low and roughly equal; population size stabilises at a high level.
What is a proposed Stage 5 of the DTM?
Very low birth rates drop below death rates, leading to natural decrease and ageing populations (e.g., Japan, Italy).
Define population momentum.
Population momentum is continued population growth that occurs even after fertility falls to replacement level, due to a large base of young people.
What is a population pyramid?
A bar graph that shows the age‑sex structure of a population, with males on the left and females on the right, in 5‑year age cohorts.
What does a wide‑based population pyramid indicate?
High fertility and a youthful population typical of rapidly growing (Stage 2) societies.
What does an inverted population pyramid indicate?
Low fertility, an ageing population, and potential population decline.
Define dependency ratio.
The ratio of dependents (people under 15 and over 64) to the working‑age population (15‑64); a measure of economic burden.
Differentiate youth‑dependency and old‑age‑dependency ratios.
Youth dependency is the share of <15 relative to working age; old‑age dependency is the share of ≥65 relative to working age.
What is urbanization?
The increasing proportion of a population living in urban areas and the accompanying growth of cities.
Give the UN projection for global urbanization by 2050.
The UN projects about 68 % of the world’s population will live in urban areas by 2050.
Define internal migration.
Movement of people within a country’s borders, such as rural‑to‑urban migration.
Define international migration.
Movement of people across country borders for residence, work, study, asylum, or family reunion.
What are push factors in migration?
Conditions that drive people to leave their place of origin, such as unemployment, conflict, or environmental disasters.
What are pull factors in migration?
Attractions drawing migrants to a destination, such as jobs, safety, or better services.
Define refugee.
A person who has fled their country owing to a well‑founded fear of persecution and is protected under international law.