Chapter 9 Flashcards
in the long run, total output is determined only by…
potential output
in the long run, the price level is determine by…
aggregate demand
in the long run, permanent increases in real GDP are possible only if…
potential output is increasing
between 2006-2012, the Canadian government reduced both personal and corporate income taxes. is this a demand-side or supply-side policy?
both
since in this situation the tax cut increases desired consumption and investment expenditures
and it also increases the return to working (as opposed to leisure)
the larger the value of the simple multiplier, the ________ the AD curve
FLATTER
larger value of z = steeper aggregate expenditure line
for given change in price, the steeper the aggregate expenditure line, the greater the change in equilibrium national income for the price change, and the FLATTER the aggregate demand line
the _______ the AD curve, the less stable real GDP in the presence of AS shocks
flatter
the ________ the multiplier, the smaller the size of the shift in the AD curve for any given change in autonomous expenditure
smaller
the economy’s automatic stabilizers do what to the size of the multiplier?
they REDUCE THE SIZE of the multiplier
the larger the value of z, the steeper the aggregate expenditure line. for a given change in price, the steeper the aggregate expenditure line, the greater the change in equilibrium national income for the price change, and the flatter the aggregate demand line.
in the long run, if there was a decrease in the net tax rate as opposed to an increase in government spending…
there could be a POSITIVE EFECT on the LEVEL and GROWTH RATE of POTENTIAL OUTPUT
fiscal expansion created by a reduction in income taxes has a similar effect on real GDP
adjustment process between the short and long runs
Y eventually returns to Y*
factor prices adjust and technology remains constant
long run: changes in what determines changes in Y?
changes in Y* (potential output)
factor prices have adjusted and technology changes
short run versus adjustment of factor prices versus long run
SHORT RUN
1. factor prices assumed to be constant
2. technology and factor supplies assumed to be constant
ADJUSTMENT OF FACTOR PRICES
1. factor prices are flexible
2. technology and factor supplies are constant
LONG RUN
1. factor prices have fully adjusted
2. technology and factor supplies are changing (potential output is changing)
explain the process of closing an inflationary output gap
- demand for labour (and other factor services) is high
- high profits for firms and unusually large demand for labour (wages and unit costs tend to rise)
- increase in factor prices increases firms’ unit costs
- as unit costs rise, firms will need higher prices in order to supply any given level of output
- AS shifts up
- Y moves back towards Y* - inflationary gap begins to close
explain the process of closing a recessionary output gap
- demand for labour (and other services) is relatively low
- low profits for firms and low demand for labour
- wages and unit costs tend to fall
- reduction in factor prices will reduce firm’s unit costs
- as unit costs decrease, firms require lower prices in order to supply any given level of output
- AS shifts down
- Y moves back towards Y* - recessionary gap begins to close
adjustment asymmetry
- inflationary output gaps typically raise wages rapidly
- recessionary output gaps often reduce wages only slowly (downward wage stickiness)
what summarizes the general adjustment asymmetry process?
the Phillips curve
shows that with higher rates of unemployment, there are lower rates of change of wages
in Canada, high unemployment can persist for…
quite long periods without causing decreases in wages and prices of sufficient magnitude to remove the unemployment
in Canada, booms and labour shortages/production beyond normal capacity, persist for…
short periods of time before causing increases in wages and the price level
what was the Phillips curve originally drawn as?
drawn as the NEGATIVE RELATIONSHIP between the unemployment rate and the rate of change in nominal wages
- Y > Y* means unemployment falls and wages rise
- Y < Y* means unemployment rises and wages fall
- Y = Y* means no excess supply/demand and wages stay constant
potential output as an “anchor”
suppose an AD or AS shock pushes Y away from Y* in the short run
as a result, wages and other factor prices will adjust until Y returns to Y*
speed of adjustment: flexible versus sticky wages
- FLEXIBLE WAGES: wages will fall rapidly whenever there’s unemployment, and the resulting shift in the AS curve could quickly eliminate recessionary gaps
- STICKY WAGES: average supply curve shifts more slowly. in such cases the recessionary gap may have to be closed with an expansion in AD (increase private sector demand or government stabilization policy)
what can be done to solve the problem of sticky wages?
sticky wages occur in recessionary gaps
the AD has decreased and price levels need to decrease further in order to shift the AS curve rightward and close the recessionary gaps
but wages take a long time to fall
SO AN EXPANSION IN AD CAN CLOSE THE GAP
^ increase in private sector demand
^ government stabilization policy
what would cause stagflation?
a contractionary aggregate supply (AS) shock
ie. an increase in the price of oil
AS shifts up, prices increase and GDP falls
recessionary gap opens
in inflationary gaps, what role do business cycle dynamics play in bringing the economy back to Y = Y*?
- when Y > Y*, SHORTAGES eventually arise and restrict further expansion
- REVISION of firm’s expectations so they REDUCE their DESIRED INVESTMENT
- reduction CONSUMER’S CONFIDENCE = reduction in desired consumption
(real GDP tends to move back toward Y*)