March 24 & 31 Flashcards

(38 cards)

1
Q

any central bank has ____ options for their approach in implementing monetary policy

A

two

  1. target MONEY SUPPLY
  2. target INTEREST RATE

but for a given MD curve, both can’t be targeted independently

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2
Q

BoC could attempt to shift MS curve directly…

A

changing the amount of currency in circulation by SELLING GOV SECURITIES in the financial markets

ie. using currency to buy $100 000 worth of gov bonds

^ this increases the amount of cash reserves in banking system by $100 000

^ commercial banks will then be able to lend out these new reserves, increasing the amount of cash reserves

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3
Q

what does the BoC choose to do when carrying out monetary policy?

A

targets the INTEREST RATE

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4
Q

why does BoC target the interest rate and not the money supply?

A
  1. BoC can CONTROL a particular interest rate
  2. UNCERTAINTY about SLOPE and POSITION of MD curve doesn’t prevent BoC from establishing its desired interest rate
  3. BoC can easily COMMUNICATE its interest rate policy to the public
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5
Q

overnight interest rate

A

interest rate at which major financial institutions BORROW and LEND one-day (“overnight”) funds among themselves

^ banks that NEED CASH because they’ve run short of reserves can BORROW in the overnight market from other banks that have excess reserves (these banks LEND)

^ BoC sets a TARGET LEVEL for that rate

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6
Q

what else does the BoC announce along with its target for overnight interest rate?

A
  1. rate that it charges for LOANS (bank rate)
  2. rate that it pays for DEPOSITS
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7
Q

BoC bank rate

A

the rate the BoC charges for LOANS

0.25 percentage points above the target rate

bank promises to LEND at this bank rate ANY AMOUNT that COMMERCIAL BANKS want to borrow

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8
Q

rate the BoC pays for deposits

A

bank offers to BORROW (accept deposits) in UNLIMITED AMOUNTS from commercial banks and pay them an interest rate of 0.25 percentage points below target

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9
Q

the actual overnight interest rate stays within what range of the target rate?

A

0.5 percentage points

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10
Q

how can the BoC more or less control the overnight interest rate?

A
  1. setting a target for the overnight interest rate

^ say it’s 2%

  1. establishing a bank rate 0.25% above this target

^ means that no one will borrow from anyone charging more than target + 0.25% (ie. 2.25%)

  1. establishing a borrowing rate 0.25% below this target

^ means that no one will lend excess reserves for anything less than target = 0.25% (ie. 1.75%)

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11
Q

what will BoC do if it wants to cool down the economy?

A

will make it more expensive to borrow and more attractive to deposit

do this by manipulating the bank rate

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12
Q

what do we mean when we say “the money supply is endogenous”?

A

endogenous means the money supply and the interest rate move together

when the BoC changes its target for overnight interest rate, the change in the actual overnight rate happens ALMOST INSTANTLY

changes in other market interest rates happen within a day or two

firms and households then begin to adjust their behaviour

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13
Q

how long does it take to change the overnight interest rate?

A

happens almost instantly after the BoC changes its target

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14
Q

how long does it take for commercial banks to adjust to the new overnight interest rate?

A

a day or two

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15
Q

as the demand for new loans gradually adjusts, commercial banks often find themselves…

A

demand for new loans adjusts ie. lower interest rates = more demand

so commercial banks find themselves in NEED OF MORE CASH RESERVES with which to make loans

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16
Q

after shift in market interest rate, commercial banks often need more reserves with which to make loans - how do they solve this problem?

A

they SELL SOME OF THEIR GOV SECURITIES to the BoC in exchange for cash

use this cash to extend new loans

purchase or sale of gov securities on open market by central bank is an OPEN-MARKET OPERATION

17
Q

by what type of operation does the BoC change the amount of currency in circulation?

A

open-market operations

(BoC reduces target interest rate, commercial banks reduce their interest rates, households and firms desire more loans, commercial banks sell gov securities to BoC, this ups their cash reserves and they extend new loans)

18
Q

money supply is endogenous - summary

A

as the bank changes its target for the overnight interest rate…

  1. other interest rates change
  2. bank lending changes
  3. banks’ demand for currency changes

banks respond by supplying currency or buying currency from commercial banks

open-market operations

19
Q

the amount of currency in circulation is endogenous - explain

A

amount of currency in circulation responds to changes in interest rates

this isn’t directly controlled by the BoC - but the BoC creates environment where commercial banks have incentives to create deposit money

20
Q

what controls the amount of currency in circulation?

A

(not directly controlled by BoC)

determined by economic decisions of households, firms and commercial banks

21
Q

BoC is seen as ______ in its decisions regarding the money supply

A

passive

(it conducts open-market operations to accommodate the changing demand for currency coming from the commercial banks)

22
Q

if commercial banks need more cash…

A

the BoC buys their gov securities

OPEN MARKET PURCHASE

23
Q

if commercial banks have excess cash…

A

the BoC sells government securities

open market sale

24
Q

expansionary monetary policy in relation to target interest rate

A

expansionary monetary policy occurs when BoC REDUCES its TARGET for the overnight interest rate

^ eventually increases MS

25
contractionary monetary policy in relation to target interest rate
contractionary monetary policy occurs when BoC INCREASES its target for overnight interest rate ^ eventually decreases MS (or its growth rate)
26
why is it usually enough for BoC to simply REDUCE the GROWTH RATE of MS (as opposed to decreasing MS directly) in order to achieve contractionary policy goals?
because demand for money is constantly increasing so if BoC just reduces the growth rate, this will be enough to increase interest rates
27
central bank monetary transmission mechanism
1. BoC sets target for overnight interest rate 2. overnight interest rate and longer-term market interest rates determined 3. a) interest rates influence capital flows and exchange rate 3. a) i) exchange rate determines net exports 3. b) interest rates determine consumption and investment 4. AD = AS determines equilibrium P and Y
28
why target inflation? central banks have come to realize what over the past few decades?
1. HIGH INFLATION IS COSTLY FOR INDIVIDUALS and DAMAGING FOR ECONOMIES 2. INFLATION IS THE ONE VARIABLE ON WHICH MONETARY POLICY CAN HAVE SYSTEMATIC AND SUSTAINED INFLUENCE
29
why is high inflation costly for individuals and damaging for economies?
problem with inflation is UNCERTAINTY (we want inflation low, stable and predictable) high and uncertain inflation leads to ARBITRARY INCOME REDISTRIBUTIONS also undermines the EFFICIENCY of the price system
30
why is high and uncertain inflation bad?
firms must know how much they can CHARGE for their goods next year workers need to ensure they're MAKING ENOUGH so that their purchasing power doesn't decrease
31
when inflation is high, what's going on with the interest rate?
it's more UNCERTAIN and VOLATILE (uncertainty isn't good for investment)
32
what do expectations of lower prices next year create?
incentive for customers to POSTPONE PURCHASES AD declines, puts further downward pressure on prices
33
since public and private debts are fixed nominally, declining prices...
INCREASE THE REAL BURDEN OF DEBT because as prices decline, government and private REVENUES DECLINES while the SERVICE OF THE DEBT REMAINS UNCHANGED this forces public and private sectors to spend an INCREASING PROPORTION OF REVENUES TO SERVICE THE DEBT ^ so they must cut back on spending for G & S THIS IN TURN INCREASES THE INTENSITY OF THE DEFLATIONARY PROCESS
34
what country was the first to adopt an inflation targeting system?
New Zealand in 1990 then Canada in 1991
35
what's the BoC's current target range for inflation?
1 to 3% a year emphasis on the 2% midpoint (2% isn't the only valid number, but it works well)
36
why an inflation target of 2%? explanation from BoC
"Because the 2% target was proving capable of delivering good overall economic performance, and because there was insufficient evidence of significant net additional benefits from lowering it, the target was kept at 2%" "However, the Bank has over the years carefully examined the case for a lower and for a higher inflation target."
37
what creates pressure for inflation rate to change?
output gaps so BoC designs policy to keep real GDP close to potential output
38
role of the output gap - in short run, when output gap opens what can the bank do?
(two options) 1. allow ADJUSTMENT PROCESS to operate 2. intervene with MONETARY POLICY (since output gaps put pressure on inflation, Bank monitors the output gap and may intervene in order to keep output near potential and inflation within the target band)