Flashcards in Contract Design and Pricing Deck (12):
What should we think about for suitable design?
3. Customer needs
5. Distribution method and remuneration
6. Financing/capital requirements
7. Guarantees and options
8. Sensitvity of profit
9. Extent of x-subsidies
10. Admin systems
11. Service standard
14. Level of risk
15. Underwriting standard
17. Reinsurance terms and capacity
18. Admissibility of assets (use in valuation)
19. Legal/Regulatory constraints
20. Monitor and review performance and terms regularly
Why is discounted cashflow approach used for pricing over equating present values?
1. Only approach to price unit-linked
2. Allow for tax easily
3. Account for term structure of interest rates
4. Easier to have assumptions varying over time e.g. stochastic
5. Reinsurance can be allowed for, including financing
6. G's and O's modelled better
7. Easily allow for withdrawals/PUPs
8. Easily cope with complex charging structures like where charges/benefits depend on future assumptions
9. Explicitly allow for set up of reserves and meeting solvency requirements
10. Can investigate sensitivity of profit to different assumptions easily
11. Allows measuring expected return providers of capital will receive, for WP expected contribution to free assets
12. Use to assess NB financing requirements easily
Why is CWP sometimes priced using equation of value, and when is it more appropriate to be discounted cashflow?
1. Equation of value as contracts not finally priced until go off books
2. Not good for proprietary company - doesn't quantify rate of return company hopes to get on sales
What are the main assumptions to think about in the pricing basis?
Risk discount rate
What needs to be considered in terms of mortality for pricing?
1. Method of finding rates - standard table adjustment/past experience/reinsurer data/cmi data
2. Mortality improvements particularly for annuities
3. Anti-selection including withdrawals
4. Underwriting standard
5. Nature of policyholders targeted
What needs to be considered in terms of persistency in pricing?
1. Based off results of experience investigation of this type of contract or one close to it
2. Separate rates for withdrawal/pups may be needed
3. Possibly vary by premium level
What needs to be considered in terms of tax in pricing?
1. Appropriate rate e.g. if BLAGAB or not
2. Allow by reducing discounted net cashflow by it
3. Then compare to profit criteria
What needs to be considered in terms of profit criterion in pricing?
1. Appropriate target needed
2. May be IRR on initial capital strain
3. May be NPV profit as % of premium
What needs to be considered in terms of expenses in pricing?
1. Assumption from recent experience investigation on that type
2. If no recent investigation/unreliable then similar type of contract
3. If 1 and 2 unsuitable, then reinsurer/consultant data if appropriate
4. Overheads and development costs relies on expected volume of new business
5. Allow for future inflation, consistent with investment return
6. Allow for commission at expected rates of that market
What needs to be considered in terms of investment return in pricing?
1. Consider matching assets and yields from them
2. Allow for default risk and liquidity risk in corporate bonds vs. govt. bonds (explicit in stochastic)
3. If market consistent pricing, risk free rates probably term dependant to be used
4. Financial guarantees to be priced using option price theory or stochastic modelling
5. Financial guarantee assumptions needed are economic scenarios and correlations between inflation and investment returns
6. Allow for reinvestment risk, stochastic has this explicitly
What needs to be considered in terms of risk discount rate in pricing?
1. If traditional pricing, allow for margin above risk free to reflect shareholder required return
2. High margin for high sensitivity/variance in profit
3. Risk free rate based on current term structure of interest rates
4. Market consistent uses risk free discount rate, risk allowed for in experience assumptions of cost of capital method under SII
5. MC approach can lead to greater volatility in price to be charged for given profit criteria
6. So companies could use approach to help understand difference between traditional and MC valuations
7. MC approach gives info consistent with Value added of NB under MCEV