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Flashcards in Cummins - CAT Deck (40)
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1

Risk-linked securities

(Cummins - CAT)

securities that allow insurance risk to be sold in the capital markets (ex: CAT bonds)

2

Reasons original risk-linked securities gained little interest (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

exposure to:
1. counterparty (default) risk
2. basis risk
3. insurer's general business risk

3

Basis risk

(Cummins - CAT)

risk that contract payoffs would be insufficiently correlated with insurer losses (payoff < or > actual losses)

4

CAT bonds

(Cummins - CAT)

type of risk-linked security where payoff is based on event occurrence (typically EQ or hurricane events)

5

Layer of reinsurance protection from CAT bonds

(Cummins - CAT)

high layers with probability of occurrence < 1% (e.g. 1-in-100 yr events)

6

Reasons that high layers of insurance (< 1% probability) often go uninsured (2)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. ceding insurers are concerned about credit risk for reinsurers for events of this magnitude
2. high layers tend to have the highest reinsurance margins

7

Advantages of CAT bonds (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. fully collateralized (no credit risk)
2. lower spreads compared to high-layer reinsurance b/c CAT events are uncorrelated with investment returns
3. can provide multi-year protection

8

Typical CAT bond structure

(Cummins - CAT)

single purpose reinsurer (SPR) issues CAT bonds to investors and invests bond proceeds in fixed-rate short-term securities held in a trust account

fixed returns from securities in the trust account are swapped for floating returns to immunize insurer and investor from interest rate & default risk

insurer pays a premium to investors as payment for CAT protection

if a CAT event occurs, the call option is triggered and insurer receives payment to cover claims, otherwise principal is returned to investors

9

Reason insurers prefer to use SPRs for CAT bonds

(Cummins - CAT)

SPRs receive the same tax and accounting benefits associated with traditional reinsurance

10

Reasons investors prefer to use SPRs for CAT bonds (2)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. able to isolate investment risk to purely CAT risk (no general business or insolvency risk associated w/traditional reinsurers)
2. protected from credit risk because the bonds are fully collateralized in a trust account

11

Reason CAT bonds are attractive to investors

(Cummins - CAT)

CAT bonds offer a diversification benefit b/c CAT events have low correlation with market returns

12

Types of triggers for CAT bond payouts (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. indemnity trigger
2. index trigger
3. hybrid triggers

13

Indemnity triggers for CAT bond payouts

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggers based on the size of actual insurer losses

14

Index triggers for CAT bond payouts & types (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggers based on an index not directly tied to actual insurer losses

types:
1. industry loss index
2. modeled loss index
3. parametric index

15

Hybrid triggers for CAT bond payouts

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggers based on multiple types of triggers

16

Industry loss index for CAT bond payouts (type of index trigger)

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggered when industry losses exceed a specified threshold

17

Modeled loss index for CAT bond payouts (type of index trigger)

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggered when modeled losses for an event exceed a specified threshold

18

Parametric index for CAT bond payouts (type of index trigger)

(Cummins - CAT)

payout triggered by physical measures of the event such as wind speed or EQ magnitude

19

Tradeoff b/w basis risk and moral hazard with CAT bond triggers

(Cummins - CAT)

indemnity triggers minimize basis risk, but have more moral hazard

index triggers minimize moral hazard, but have higher basis risk

20

Disadvantage of indemnity triggers for CAT bond payouts

(Cummins - CAT)

require information on an insurer's UW portfolio, so it takes additional time to determine loss payouts

21

Advantages of index triggers for CAT bond payouts (2)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. maximized transparency
2. measurable & processed more quickly

22

Method to reduce basis risk when using index triggers for CAT bond payouts

(Cummins - CAT)

use indices based on more narrowly defined geographic areas

23

Sidecars and unique feature

(Cummins - CAT)

special purpose vehicles that provide additional reinsurance capacity through funding provided by capital markets

allows reinsurer to have off-balance sheet risk, which improves leverage

24

CAT equity puts (CAT-E-Puts)

(Cummins - CAT)

put option to issue preferred stock at a pre-agreed price on occurrence of a contingent event (allows insurer to raise capital by selling stock at a higher price)

25

Advantage of CAT-E-Puts for insurers

(Cummins - CAT)

lower transaction costs (b/c no SPR involved)

26

Disadvantages of CAT-E-Puts for insurers (2)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. exposed to counterparty risk because they are not collateralized
2. value of existing shares may be diluted by stock issuance

27

CAT risk swaps

(Cummins - CAT)

swap agreements allowing insurers/reinsurers to swap specific CAT exposures to diversify their portfolios (e.g. exchange types of CAT risk)

28

Advantages of CAT risk swaps (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. reduced core risk through swap
2. diversification benefits as long as risk obtained in swap has low correlation with remainder of portfolio
3. low transaction costs

29

Disadvantages of CAT risk swaps (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. modeling of parity contracts can be difficult
2. increased exposure to basis risk
3. exposed to counterparty risk b/c they are not collateralized

30

Industry loss warranties (ILWs)

(Cummins - CAT)

reinsurance contracts with 2 triggers:
1. retention trigger based on insurer's incurred losses
2. warranty trigger based on industry-wide loss index

both are required for payout

31

Types of triggers for industry loss warranties (ILWs, 2)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. binary trigger
2. pro-rata trigger

32

Binary trigger for industry loss warranties (ILWs)

(Cummins - CAT)

full amount of contract is paid once both the retention & warranty triggers are satisfied

33

Pro-rata trigger for industry loss warranties (ILWs)

(Cummins - CAT)

payoff depends on the amount losses exceed warranty trigger

34

Advantages of industry loss warranties (ILWs, 3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. more likely to be treated as reinsurance for regulatory purposes compared to non-indemnity CAT bonds
2. can be used to plug gaps in reinsurance programs
3. efficient use of funds b/c payouts are high when both insurer and industry losses are high

35

Trends in the CAT bond market (4)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. CAT bond market has been growing
2. increasing market standardization
3. shift towards shorter-term bonds
4. below-investment grade bonds are more common compared to investment grade bonds

36

Rate on line (ROL)

(Cummins - CAT)

traditional CAT reinsurance pricing metric

ROL = reinsurance premiums / policy limit

37

Loss on line (LOL)

(Cummins - CAT)

traditional CAT reinsurance pricing metric

LOL = expected losses / policy limit

38

Comparisons of CAT bond yields to traditional cost of CAT reinsurance

(Cummins - CAT)

compare ratio of ROL / LOL as a measure of traditional reinsurance to yields / expected losses for CAT bonds

39

Conclusion about CAT bond pricing and traditional CAT reinsurance

(Cummins - CAT)

comparison shows CAT bond pricing can be competitive with more traditional CAT reinsurance

40

Factors impeding growth of the CAT bond market (3)

(Cummins - CAT)

1. strict regulatory/accounting requirements
2. taxation of CAT bond premium
3. dissemination of information on bonds (SEC discourages sharing of information)