Electoral Systems Flashcards

(62 cards)

1
Q

What is a referendum? In what circumstances are they held and are they legally binding?

A

A vote on a single issue put to a public ballot by the government. They’re not legally binding, only advisory. They tell the government the overall opinion of the people but the House of Commons ultimately decides.

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2
Q

When was the referendum on the UK’s continued membership of the European Economic Community and what happened?

A

1975
The Labour PM, Harold Wilson, called a referendum over whether the UK should continue as a member of the EEC since his Labour government was so fractured on the issue, with Michael Foot and Tony Benn leading opposition to Europe and Roy Jenkins and Shirley Williams in favour, that as long as the issue was unresolved, his cabinet would continue hopelessly divided. Yes= 67%
No= 33%
It was a national referendum.

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3
Q

When was the first referendum on the Scottish and Welsh devolution and what happened?

A

1979
40% of the electorate living in Scotland had to approve, but this % was not achieved (DESPITE OVER 50% OF THOSE WHO PARTICIPATED IN THE REFERENDUM VOTING YES) so the Scots had to wait for another referendum on devolution.
Turnout= 32.9%
It didn’t meet the government’s conditions due to turnout and was illegitimate.

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4
Q

When was the second referendum on Scottish and Welsh devolution and what happened?

A

1997
Scotland voted on whether there should be a Scottish Parliament with tax varying powers. Wales voted on whether there should be a Welsh Assembly. It was under Tony Blair as PM.
Scotland:
turnout= 60.4%
74.3% votes yes for Parliament, 63.5% voted yes for varying powers
Scotland Act was passed in 1998.
Wales:
turnout= 50.1%
50.3% voted yes so it passed despite only receiving around 559,000 votes.

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5
Q

When was the Good Friday Peace Agreement and what happened?

A

1998
Northern Ireland voted on whether there should be a power-sharing Assembly within province.
turnout= 81% so high legitimacy
71.1% voted in favour.

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6
Q

When was the London Mayor referendum and what happened?

A

1998
Londoners voted on whether there should be an elected mayor. It allowed everyone in London to elect someone on their behalf to make decisions, giving power to one person.
turnout= 34%
72% agreed to have a Mayor.

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7
Q

When was the referendum on increased powers to the Welsh Assembly and what happened?

A

2011
The final result saw 517,132 vote Yes, and 297,380 say No.
turnout= 35.4%
The vote gave the assembly direct law-making power in 20 devolved areas, eg. health and education.
Yes- 63.5%
No- 36.5%

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8
Q

When was the referendum on swapping FPTP for the Alternative Vote and what happened?

A

2011
It was part of the deal made with LibDems and Conservatives. They were in a coalition from 2010-2015. This was a national referendum.
The ‘Yes’ to AV campaign was decisively defeated; quite likely because many voters used the referendum as an excuse to punish the LibDems for their role in the coalition.
turnout= 42% because Conservatives would have less power because they’d get less seats.
67.9% of voters opposed changing the electoral system to AV.

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9
Q

When was the Scottish referendum on independence and what happened?

A

2014
turnout= 84.5%
55.3% said ‘no’ to an independent Scotland. 16 and 17 year olds were permitted to vote. Authority had been devolved.

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10
Q

When was the referendum on UK membership of the EU?

A

2016
It asked the electorate whether the country should remain a member of, or leave, the European Union.
turnout= 72.2%
48.1% voted to remain. 51.9% voted to leave.

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11
Q

What happened in 2015 regarding David Cameron and Brexit?

A

Cameron committed his party to holding an ‘in/out’ referendum on EU membership if the Conservatives won the 2015 GE, hoping to quell the rebellion over Europe and improve chances of a 2015 victory. He and his key advisors believed electorate would vote to remain as leaving is a profound and irreveresible change.

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12
Q

What happened between 2016 and Jan 2020 regarding Brexit and how was this significant for referendums?

A

For the electorate, the referendum was a means of taking back control. However, EU membership is too complex for citizens to reach a balanced judgement on, leaving them prey to misinformation and exaggeration.
March 2017- Article 50 legislation went through smoothly
Next 2.5 years- Parliament couldn’t commit itself to fully carrying out the wishes of the electorate as they had to enact legislation to which they were fundamentally opposed.
Jan 2020- new Parliament from 2019 GE passed the Withdrawal Agreement by 358 votes to 234

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13
Q

When was the Lisbon Treaty referendum and why did Nigel Farage of UKIP consider it to be a bad thing?

A

In Oct 2009, the people of Ireland took part in a referendum on whether their government should sign up to the Lisbon Treaty.
There was a lot of money for the ‘yes’ side so it wasn’t fair/equal treatment. Irish people were ‘frightened’ and ‘bullied’ into voting yes because they were told if they vote no they’d lose their jobs. Farage thought there needed to be a new Eurosceptic political party in Ireland.

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14
Q

What were the broadcasts of the yes and no campaigns for the AV referendum about?

A

‘No’ campaign- Said AV system means politicians make false promises and blame it on the other party. They say the winner can lose, voting system is confusing. Democracy is one person per vote.
‘Yes’ campaign- No changes made after MP’s promises so AV means MPs will actually have to work hard to make a change. It gives taxpayers more of a say, MPs have to aim for 50% of the vote.

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15
Q

What is evidence to support referendums giving the electorate a say, showing legitimacy?

A

2014 Scottish Independence referendum
SNP then won 56 out of 59 seats

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16
Q

What is evidence to support the argument that referendums are ‘tyranny of the majority’ and minority interest is neglected by the power of the democratic majority?

A

Brexit was 52% leave and 48% remain.

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17
Q

What is evidence to support referendums helping to create a more engaged and better educated and informed electorate?

A

Good Friday Agreement gave electorate a book that laid out all sides of the argument.

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18
Q

What is evidence to support campaigns being misleading or oversimplifying complicated issues that are better left to elected representatives as they’re too complex for citizens to fully grasp or understand?

A

2016 Brexit- Leave campaign’s NHS bus claim that ‘We send £350m a week to the EU’ and Cameron’s suggestion that if we left, house prices would plummet, there would be medicine shortages, and a year-long recession with the loss of half a million jobs.

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19
Q

What does legitimacy mean in elections?

A

Elections give legitimacy to the winning party and to the political system as a whole. By voting, even for a losing party, citizens give their consent to the system.

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20
Q

What does influence over policy mean in terms of elections?

A

Elections allow citizens to voice their policy preferences. Political parties issue manifestos outlining the policies they would introduce in government. The victorious party then claims a mandate to deliver those policies.

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21
Q

What does a ‘free and fair election’ mean?

A

Free elections require basic civil liberties such as freedom of speech and association, the right to join and stand for a party of one’s choice and a free press. A key criterion for fair elections is ‘one person, one vote, one value’- each citizen should have one vote that is worth the same as anyone else’s.

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22
Q

How frequent are general elections and what are they?

A

every 5 years
But MPs voted for early GEs in 2017 and 2019.
They elect all 650 MPs who make up the House of Commons.

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23
Q

How frequent are elections to devolved assemblies and what are they?

A

every 4 years
Elections to the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Senedd and Northern Ireland Assembly.

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24
Q

How frequent are local elections and what are they?

A

every 4 years
Local councillors are elected for fixed 4-year terms. Some towns and cities also have directly elected mayors. In London, there’s an elected mayor and assembly. Police and crime commissioners are also elected in England and Wales.

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25
How often are by-elections and what are they?
When a vacancy arises between scheduled elections in an individual constituency. It's held to choose a new representative if a constituency (a geographical area that elects one or more representatives to a legislative assembly) seat in the House of Commons, devolved assembly or English local authority becomes vacant because of the death or resignation of an elected member. It's also held if 10% of the electors sign a petition to recall an MP who has been convicted of a criminal offence or suspended from the House of Commons.
26
Who holds power in the UK that is not elected?
-the head of state- the hereditary monarch -the House of Lords -the judiciary
27
How does FPTP work?
MPs are elected in single-member constituencies. Each constituency in the UK elects one representative to the House of Commons. Electors cast a single vote by writing a cross in a box on the ballot paper beside the name of their favoured candidate. A candidate requires a plurality of votes to win (majoritarian system).
28
What is a safe seat?
A constituency in which the incumbent party has a large majority, and which is usually retained by the same political party at election after election. The same party normally wins because its majority is so large, eg. Labour in Liverpool Waltham and Manchester.
29
Which party has the biggest number of safe seats?
Labour
30
What is a marginal seat?
A constituency where the incumbent party has a small majority and which may thus be won by a different party at the next election. Eg. Watford, Kensington. It's not guaranteed who'll win so voter turnout is higher. Parties spend more funding on marginal seats as they're in more danger of being lost.
31
What is gerrymandering?
When constituents' borders are drawn to favour parties. Eg. redrawing constituency boundaries as Reading is going from 2 to 3 MPs in the next election.
32
What are the 8 different functions of elections?
Representation- In a representative democracy, elections enable a large group (electorate) to select a smaller group (representatives) to act on their behalf. Legitimacy- Elections give legitimacy to the winning party and to the political system as a whole. By voting, even for a losing party, citizens give their consent to the system. Citizen education- Election campaigns provide citizens with information on major political issues and the policies of the main parties. In theory, enables citizens to make an informed decision on how to vote but in practice the information can be misleading. Accountability- The government and individual MPs are held accountable and will be removed from power if the electorate is unhappy with their record. Influence over policy- Elections allow citizens to voice their policy preferences. Political parties issue manifestos outlining the policies they would introduce in government. The victorious party then claims a mandate to deliver those policies. Participation- Voting is the key act of political participation for most citizens. Elite recruitment- Political parties nominate candidates for election and provide them with campaign resources- and, in return, expect loyalty from them if they become MPs. Choosing a government- GEs determine the composition of the House of Commons, but as the majority party in parliament forms the government, elections also normally determine which party takes power.
33
What is the spoiler effect?
If a third party comes, they take away votes from the main party closest to their idealogy, which makes the main party with the opposing viewpoint gain the most votes.
34
When have we had minority governments?
2010- Conservatives and LibDems coalition government 2017- Conservatives and DUP supply and confidence agreement
35
What are 6 arguments in favour of FPTP?
Simplicity- Easy to understand and operate. The ballot paper is simply as electors only vote once and counting the votes is straightforward and speedy. Voters are familiar with the current system and view it as legitimate and effective. Clear outcome- FPTP elections normally produce a clear winner. The party securing the most votes often achieves a majority of seats. Strong and stable government- By favouring the major parties and giving the winning party an additional bonus of seats, FPTP produces a strong government. Single-party governments with working majorities exercise significant control over the legislative process. They can fulfil their mandate by enacting the policy committments made in their manifestos, and can act decisively in times of crisis. Responsible government- Voters are given a clear choice between the governing party which is held responsible for its record in office, and the main opposition party, which is a potential alternative government. The doctrine of the mandate obliges the winning party to put its proposals into effect. Effective representation- Single-member constituencies provide a clear link between voters and their elected representative, with one MP representing the interests of the area. Keeps out extremist parties- Parties on the far left or right have not prospered in the UK, partly because FPTP makes it so difficult for them to win seats in Westminster.
36
What are arguments against FPTP?
Disproportional outcome- The number of parliamentary seats won by parties at GEs does not accurately reflect their vote share due to winner's bonus. Electoral 'deserts'- Parts of the country where a party has little or no representation. In the southeast, Labour won 22% of the vote but only 9% of the region's seats in 2019. Plurality rather than majority support- Victorious candidates don't need to secure a majority of votes cast. Minority government (Labour 2005 with 35% vote share) and Coalition government (2010 combined 59% vote share) Votes are of unequal value- Disparities in constituency size means that votes have different values, more likely to influence outcome in smaller constituencies. Many wasted votes as they don't help elect an MP (any vote for a losing candidate and any vote for a winning candidate that wasn't needed for them to win). Limited choice- Only 1 candidate stands for each party. Many constituencies are safe seats in which one party has a substantial lead over its rivals. Voters whose favoured party is unlikely to win may engage in tactical voting (voting for the candidate most likely to defeat the voter's least favoured candidate from winning the seat). Divisive politics- Small shifts in voting produces frequent changes of government instability because parties were able to overturn policies introduced by their rivals.
37
What does Curtice argue about FPTP?
It's become less effective at declining some of its key strengths, like single-party government and a winner's bonus because it's less effective in persuading electors not to vote for smaller parties and other parties are winning more seats in Hoc, regional differences in support for parties are more pronounced, so it's more difficult for one party to win a parliamentary majority, number of marginal seats
38
What are the 2019 GE results?
Tory- 44% of votes, 56% of seats LibDems- 11.5% of votes, 1.7% of seats
39
What is tactical voting and which constituency had results in 2019 that showed it had taken place?
A voter votes for a candidate or party other than their sincere preference to prevent an undesirable outcome Canterbury- previously selected LibDem candidate withdrew and recommended a vote for Labour's Rosie Duffield
40
What % of people said they'd vote tactically in 2019 GE and what party got the most tactical votes?
30% LibDems- 39%
41
What is an electoral pact and which 3 parties entered into one?
An association of political parties or individuals that exists solely to stand in elections LibDems, Green and Plaid Cymru
42
How many safe seats are there in the UK and how do political parties campaign differently in safe seats vs marginal/swing seats?
1 in 4 people in safe seats received 4 or more election leaflets/ communication through their door, compared to 46% in potential swing seats 2020 by-election in Tiverton and Honiton- LibDems won the seat, Labour didn't run because of the electoral pact to avoid the spoiler effect
43
What are decisive, unrepresented and surplus votes and what was the % of them in 2019?
Decisive vote- one that's required to elect an MP in each constituency. It's the number of votes needed to beat the second placed candidate. 29.3% Unrepresented vote- a ballot cast for a losing candidate. 45.3% Surplus vote- a vote to a candidate that already had enough votes to win. It's the total number of votes above the required winning margin. 25.4%
44
Why can surplus and unrepresented votes be considered wasted and what % of votes in the 2019 GE were wasted?
They're ignored and don't make an impact on the final election outcome. 70.7%
45
How accurate was FPTP in representing the electorate's views in 2019?
Not very accurate because only 9.2 million votes of the 32 million votes cast were 'decisive' in securing a candidate's election (were needed to elect the winning candidate). This is 29.2% of the total. Over 70.8% of votes did not contribute to electing an MP. In seven constituencies, over 90% of the votes went to waste this way. 30% of votes who were polled said they would choose 'the best-positioned party/ candidate to keep out another party/candidate that they dislike, so tactical voting isn't representative of the elecorate who want to choose a third party but feel like it wouldn't count. In a large post-election poll, conducted by YouGov, 32% of the voters said they voted tactically.
46
What 4 things happened in the 2019 GE?
Red Wall crumbles- leave-supporting seats in the Midlands and north of England voted Conservative (many had never done this before). Eg. solid Labour seat was Tony Blair's former constituency of Sedgefield. He had a majority of over 25,000 in 1997. In 2019, Conservatives won the seat by over 4,500 votes as they though Johnson was promising a better deal. LibDem slump- heavy defeat. Despite receiving almost 3.7 million votes (up 4.2% on 2017) and 11.6% of total votes cast, they lost 13 seats and gained just 3. Only secured 11 seats (down 10 on 2017) and Jo Swinson lost her seat in Dworbartonshire East before stepping down as party leader. Scotland/ Wales and NI- Scotland saw a reassertion of the pre-eminence of the SNP, who secured 35/59 Scottish constituency seats in 2017. In 2019, this rose to 48 MPs, on the back of 45% of the Scottish vote. The combined total of Conservative and Labour votes in Scotland secured them just 7 seats (6 and 1 respectively). A more diverse house?- after GE, a record 220 MPs (34%) were women. MPs from minority ethnic backgrounds also rose from 52 to 63, almost 10% of MPs. However, just 87/365 Tory MPs were women (24%), compared to over half of Labour (104).
47
What 3 things did FPTP provide in 2019 GE?
Stable single party government- FPTP regularly delivers decisive single-party majority governments. However, while that usually may be so, the previous 3 elections had a coalition in 2010, a slender majority in 2015 and a minority government in 2017. In 2019, Tories only polled 43.6% of the vote but won 56% of seats. Preserving the 2 party system- In 2019, the 2 main parties received 568/650 seats- 87% of all seats in HoC from a 76% share of the vote. This ensures the second largest party is able to form a credible opposition. Labour polled just over 32% of vote and received 31% (202) of the seats. FPTP doesn't reward minor parties and independent candidates- those that are unable to find sufficiently concentrated support to win constituency seats. This lets the UK marginalise groups that harvest discontented support. The distortion of votes- Winner-takes-all system so the size of winner's majority and votes for losing candidates can lead to serious electoral anomalies and accusations that the system is undemocratic. Evident in 2019 GE as at a constituency level, some margins of victory far in excess of the amount required to win the seat. In Liverpool Walton, Labour MP Dan Carden held the seat with 84.7% in 2019, more than 30,000 votes ahead of his nearest rival.
48
What would have happened in the 2019 GE under PR?
BJ would have been denied a parliamentary majority. The Electoral Reform Society asserted that, under the regional list PR system, the Conservatives would have won 77 fewer seats, Labour would have won 10 more seats, the Green party would have had 11 more MPs to their 2019 total of 1, LibDems would've made biggest gains taking 59 more seats to win at least 70.
49
How does supplementary vote work and where is it used?
The voter records their first and second preferences on the ballot paper (don't have to make a second choice if they don't want to). If no candidate wins a majority of first preferences, all but the top 2 candidates are eliminated and 2nd preference votes for 2 remaining are added to their 1st preference votes. The candidate with the highest total is elected. If a candidate receives over 50% of the 1st preference votes the candidate wins. If no candidate receives an overall majority, the top 2 candidates go to a second round and all others are eliminated. 1st preference votes for remaining 2 candidates stand in the final count. Voters' ballots whose 1st and 2nd preference candidates are eliminated are discarded. Voters whose 1st preference candidates have been eliminated and whose 2nd preference candidate is in the top 2 have their 2nd preference votes added to the count. Mayor of London and directly elected mayors in other towns and cities. Also used to elect police and crime commissioners unless a contest only has 2 candidates, in which case single-member plurality is used. In 2021, the Johnson government announced plans to replace SV with FPTP for police and crime commissioner elections.
50
What kind of system is SV?
Majoritarian
51
What are the advantages of SV?
-The winning candidate must achieve broad support, giving them greater legitimacy -Supporters of smaller parties can use their first preference to express their allegiance and second preference to indicate which major party candidate they prefer -The votes of people who use both their first and second preferences to support minor parties do not influence the election outcome (avoid tactical voting and wasted votes)
52
What are the disadvantages of SV?
-The winning candidate may be elected without winning a majority of votes if second preference votes are not used effectively. Voters need to use either of their preferences for one of the top 2 candidates in order to affect the outcome. But many voters cast their second vote preference votes for candidates other than the top 2. (Many voters cast both their first and second preferences for minor candidates who are eliminated in the first round. As a result, their votes are excluded from the final count. To influence the outcome, voters must give at least one preference to one of the top two candidates — but many fail to do this, meaning their votes don’t count in the final round.) -The winning candidate doesn't need to get a majority of 1st preference votes. The candidate who secures most 1st preference votes may not be elected after 2nd preference votes are distributed- the least unpopular, rather than the most popular, candidate may be elected. -The system would not deliver a proportional outcome if used for GEs. (SV is designed to elect a single winner in a single-member constituency. It does nothing to reflect the national share of votes for smaller parties, so if used in a general election, it would distort representation, favoring larger parties and wasting many votes. Vote share isn't translated into seats)
53
What happened in the London Mayoral election in 2012?
Boris Johnson won the election on a margin of 3% (51.53% to 48.47%)- the narrowest to date in the London mayoral election. Voter turnout was 38%. Labour has 12 seats, Conservatives had 9, Green had 2 and Libdems also had 2 in the London Assembly. (25 seats in total)
54
What happened in the London Mayoral election in 2016? What do these results say about SV creating a 2 party system?
Sadiq Khan took 57% of votes after second preference voters were taken into account, beating Tory Zac Goldsmith into 2nd place on 43% of votes. Most of the votes went either to Conservative or Labour, creating a two party system.
55
What happened in the 2017 elections to elect the metro mayors in Liverpool, Manchester and Birmingham? (turnout and wasted votes)
Liverpool- 29% turnout. Labour's Steve Rotheram was elected with 59% of the vote. Conservative candidate Tony Caldeira came second with 20%, so a lot of wasted votes on Labour, as they'd already won. Manchester- Labour's Andy Burnham won a decisive victory with 63% of the vote. This was little surprise as Labour controls 9/10 councils and has all but 5 of the 28 MPs. Turnout was 28.9%. Birmingham- Conservative's Andy Street won with 238,628 votes, beating Labour's Sion Simon at 234,862 votes, so it was extremely close. Votes wasted. 50.4%- 49.6%. Turnout was 26.7%. Sheffield- Winner: Dan Jarvis (Labour) with 56.7% of the final vote. Wasted Votes: A significant portion of votes for minor parties and those eliminated early were effectively "wasted" under the SV system. Turnout: 31.6%, reflecting voter disengagement. Although Clive Betts (independent) secured a significant portion of first-preference votes, he did not make it into the final round (because Labour had more than 50% after second preferences). Betts' voters' second preferences were redistributed, but his first-preference votes were effectively "wasted" when he was eliminated.
56
What were the Mayor of London election results in 2021?
Sadiq Khan (Labour)- 40% first preference, 69.5% second, final was 55.2% Shaun Bailey (Tory)- 35.3% FP, 30.5% SP, 44.8% final Sian Berry (Green)- 7.8% first
57
How does Additional Member System work?
The list system: A proportion of seats in the legislative assembly are elected using FPTP in single-member constituencies. A smaller number of representatives (additional members) are elected in multi-member constituencies using the regional list system of PR. Electors cast 2 votes, one for their favoured candidate in a single-member constituency and one for their favoured party from a closed party list in a multi-member constituency. For the regional list seats, political parties draw up a list of their candidates and decide the order in which they'll be elected. Electors cannot choose between candidates representing the same party as it's a closed list system, they only choose the party as a whole and whoever the party has on their list of candidates actually becomes elected. Regional list seats (additional members) are allocated on a corrective basis to ensure that the total number of seats for parties in the assembly is proportional to the number of votes won. Regional list seats are allocated using the d'Hondt formula. The first seat goes to the party with the largest number, next seat to next highest number, and so on. Candidates are elected in the order they appear on the party list.
58
Where is AMS used?
Scottish Parliament to give political parties a share of representatives (members of SP/ MSPs) in proportion to the share of the vote. 2 types of MSPS: constituency MSPs (directly elected from each constituency, 73 in Scotland) and regional MSPs (elected through electoral regions, there are 8 electoral regions, 7 are voted in per region, 56 MSPs). 73/129 members (57%) of SP are elected using FPTP in single-member constituencies. 56 members (43%) elected using regional list system of PR. Senedd- 40/60 members (67%) of SP are elected using FPTP in single-member constituencies. 20 members (33%) elected using regional list system of PR. London Assembly- to win seats here, a party must also pass a threshold of 5% of the vote.
59
What kind of system is AMS?
Mixed system. Combines elements of FPTP (plurality system) with a proportional system called the list system. The more seats that are determined by the list the more proportional it is. So Scottish Parliament is more proportional than the Welsh Senedd. Mixed= majoritarian/ plurality + PR
60
What are advantages of AMS?
-It combines the best features of FPTP and PR, eg. balancing the desirability of constituency representation with that of fairness of outcomes. -Results are broadly proportional and votes are less likely to be wasted. -Voters have greater choice. Split-ticket voting (voting for candidates from different parties in an election where an elector is permitted to cast more than one vote) is allowed: can use 2 votes to vote for 2 different parties. -Used by some parties to improve women representation, eg. by 'zipping' (alternating male and female candidates on party lists), used by Scottish Labour party and Scottish Greens in Scottish Parliament. -Votes are easy to count and it's not difficult for voters to understand how the outcome is reached.
61
What are the disadvantages of AMS?
-It creates 2 categories of representative, one with constituency duties and one without. This may create tensions within the legislative assembly. -Parties have significant control over the closed lists used to elect additional members and voters cannot choose between candidates from the same party -Smaller parties are often under-represented because in many multi-member seats only a few representatives are elected. Larger parties are also over-represented if other votes are split evenly between many small parties. -Proportional outcomes are less likely where the number of additional members is low, as in the Senedd.
62
How is AMS used 2021 SP election?
SNP dominated the constituency contests, winning 62 of the 73 seats as 48% of the constituency vote delivered 85% of the constituency seats, but added only 2 list seats as these are allocated in a corrective way. There was evidence of tactical voting in the constituency votes with some Conservative and Labour supporters voting for the pro-Union party best placed to defeat the SNP. The party fell just one seat short of an overall majority at Holyrood.