Global Governance: Economic Flashcards
(73 cards)
What is the Bretton Woods conference?
-Conceived at a UN conference in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in July 1944
-The 44 countries at that conference sought to build a framework for economic cooperation to avoid a repetition of the competitive devaluations that had contributed to the Great Depression of the 1930s.
What is the IMF’s role in global governance?
Membership- Monaco, Cuba and North Korea are UN states that don’t belong to the IMF. Lichtenstein became the 191st member on 21st October 2024. IMF is an organisation of 191 countries.
Key functions- They work to:
-foster global monetary cooperation
-secure financial stability
-facilitate international trade
-promote high employment and sustainable economic growth
-reduce poverty around the world
What does it do today?- The IMF’s primary purpose is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system- the system of exchange rates and international payments that enable countries (and their citizens) to transact with each other
What are the criticisms of the IMF?
-Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) benefit USA not the developing countries
-The Executive Board of directors gives excessive powers to the 8 (Russian shares with Syria) countries that appoint their own director
-The IMF supports military dictatorships and human rights abusers
-The IMF failed to prevent and remedy the 2008 global financial crisis
How does structural power work in the IMF?
The USA has an effective veto as it has 16.49% of the votes and 85% consensus is needed for a decision.
BRIC- 14%
UK- 4%
Japan- 6%
other G20- 12%
UK’s likely to cooperate with USA’s neoliberal objectives. Japan’s likely to challenge them.
How does the IMF support dictatorships?
-Support given by the IMF and World Bank to the Somora dictatorship in Nicaragua (1950s, ’60s and ’70s)
Support for the military dictatorship in Guatemalo in 1954
-Support of the Marcos dictatorship in the Philippines from 1971/72 up to 1986
-IMF and World Bank’s support of the Idriss Deby regime in Chad 2006
-IMF and World Bank support of the Musharraf dictatorship in Pakistan 2001-08
-IMF support for Egyptian military leader Abdel Fattah el-Sisi (2019)
-The IMF DID NOT support al-Assad in Syria and has said it will work with the new Syrian government to reconstruct the country (Dec 2024)
What are Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs)?
-These are fiscal, monetary and structural policy changes promoted by the IMF and World Bank in developing countries
-These started in the 1980s-1990s
-These policy changes would form conditions upon which any developing country would get a loan
In the early 1980s they were ‘free market’ programmes which required governments to:
-loosen regulations to facilitate foreign investments
-boost export production
-abolish food and agricultural subsidies to reduce government expenditure
-devalue currency
-reduce public sector spending
Is the IMF a tool of USA foreign policy?
US Secretary of State, James Barker on Oct 8, 1985, declared that developing countries could only achieve growth by adopting market-oriented policies
Bakers Speech Outline of the Three Things that US would like to see:
-Increased reliance on the private sector with a reduction in the role of governments in the economy, to help increase employment, production and efficiency
-More supply-side actions to mobilise domestic savings and facilitate efficient investment, by means of tax reform, labour market reform and the development of financial markets
-Greater emphasis on market-opening measures to encourage FDI and capital inflows, as well as to liberalise trade
What is the Washington Consensus?
A term coined by economist John Williamson (1989) and refers to a set of 10 specific economic policy prescriptions that were typically promoted by the IMF as the conditions which developing countries had to meet in order to receive loans.
WC:
-Fiscal discipline
-A redirection of public expenditure priorities towards fields like primary healthcare, primary education and infrastructure
-Tax reform (reducing rates and broadening tax base)
-Interest rates liberalisation
-A competitive exchange rate
-Trade liberalisation
-Liberalisation of inflows of FDI
-Privatisation
-Deregulation (to abolish trade barriers to entry and exit)
-Secure property rights
What are criticisms of SAPs?
-Economic reforms like privatisation see an increase in corporate profits that aren’t necessarily shared with wider society
-Some developing countries see increasing prosperity but also an increase in inequality and child poverty, suggesting that the programmes disproportionately benefit the richest
-Tax rises can sometimes hit the poorest the hardest, especially indirect taxation like sales tax, which poor people can’t avoid if they’re going to continue to buy goods
-Reform of the formal sector has little impact on improving their lives as many of poorest work in subsistence activities/ informal sector (eg. family-based farming for survival)
-Opening markets to foreign investors clearly aids in boosting FDI, but can also expose fragile economies to the effects of foreign economic crises
-There’s a fundamental clash with state sovereignty, especially if an SAP is at odds with the policies that a democratic government has been elected to implement
What’s the difference between the IMF and World Bank?
IMF- loans which you have to pay back with interest
WB- grants which you don’t have to pay back (can also give 0% interest loans)
How is Greece an IMF SAP case study?
-Greek debt was becoming out of control with G7 revenue, IMF worried it could spread to rest of eurozone which led to £110bn loan approval, in 2015 failed to make a payment from IMF so banks closed, cash withdrawals limited to 6o euros a day due to lack of liquidity
-SAP support started in 2010, ended in 2018 with many economic reforms and austerity measures, including less regulations on corporations, more taxes and VAT, IMF offered loans that totalled over 420bn euros (Washington Consensus)
-IMF provided debt relief in a package of 110bn euros with the Troiks negotiating a 50% reduction in Greek debt to private banks in return for Greece implementing austerity measures (less public services)
-Anti-austerity party Syriza won a snap election, referendum where 61% said they didn’t support conditions of bailout, Greece left eurozone but a new bailout deal was agreed, 2014- 2 bailouts and deepening recession and more unemployment
How is Cote d’Ivoire an IMF SAP case study?
Economic difficulties in late 1970s and early 1980s so SAP included devaluation of currency, fiscal austerity (less government spending), privatisation of state-owned enterprises and trade liberalisation (less tariffs, opening economy to international competitiveness). Engaged with SAPs in 1980s and 90s.
Put in place because of falling commodity prices like cocoa and coffee (heavily dependent on exports) so less revenue, debt, high inflation and unemployment so wanted to reduce social unrest.
SAPs caused economic stabilisation as reduced budget deficits by reducing government spending, IMF and WB helped manage debt, devaluation helped increase export competitiveness. But also increased poverty and inequality as inflation after devaluation, removal of subsidies so essential goods more expensive, elite benefited from liberalisation. Reduced government spending led to reduced public services and more unemployment as less public sector employment.
How is Ghana an IMF SAP case study?
-1983 then again in 2022
-SAP support had to be put in place across 2 Economic Recovery Programmes (ERP1 1983 and ERP2 1987) due to a chronic economic crisis which led to issues like hyperinflation, severe budget deficits, large fiscal debt
-specific to ERP1: support had to be given due to decline in cocoa price and agricultural sector challenges.
specific to ERP2: the support was put in place to address continuing economic challenges and structural weakness.
-SAP support like economic growth, debt restructuring (Eurobond exchange), social programmes (Living Empowerment Against Poverty programme) and economic reforms (improved public finances and more inclusive economy)
-SAP outcomes of GDP growth- average annual GDP growth rate of around 5% after 1983, inflation reduced from 75% in 1983 to 20% in 1985, around 200,000 workers lost their jobs during the first decade of SAP implementation, The introduction of user fees under the “Cash and Carry” system reduced access to health services for low-income individuals, adversely affecting health outcomes. Increased poverty rates, particularly in urban areas
How is Argentina an IMF SAP case study?
-SAPs put into place because primary expenditure fell 10.7% one year in real terms, received loans as struggling with emerging market economy, had to put more tax, less government spending for IMF loan, then received largest loan in IMF’s history of $56bn with aim to lower inflation and inequality and restore economy
-Government continued to raise taxes but defaulted on its debt again for 9th time in its history, the value of the peso stabilised against the dollar. But it owes billions of dollars to the IMF and the Covid-19 pandemic has further reduced economic growth
-current President Milei now has to cut taxes so they can’t pay back loans to IMF so devalued currency and slashed state subsidies for fuel by 50%
-The reduction in public spending has helped Argentina swing from a fiscal deficit - from 2 trillion to 264 billion pesos
How is Kenya an IMF SAP case study?
-1990s and 2010s, needed as Kenya faced debt, budget deficits and economic stagnation in 1980s, IMF programme approved in 2021 to support response to Covid and global inflation as well as devastating cycles of droughts and floods so $606.1m loan
-Austerity measures to reduce public spending and control inflation, privatisation of state-owned enterprises to improve efficiency, trade liberalisation to open markets and boost exports, currency devaluation to make exports more competitive, debt restructuring to ease repayment burdens
-Debt repayments started to slowly match the interest payments but brain drain where middle class and medical workers left to UK, many protests but government didn’t respond, they undertook a massive campaign of privatisation, selling all the shares for 139/250 businesses they had shares in.
In 2nd SAP in 2010s, they also sold off their shares in national oil companies.
What are the 5 points Kristalina Georgieva makes in her article ‘A Low-Growth World is an Unequal, Unstable World’?
1) IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook update shows global growth expected to reach 0.2% in 2024 and 3.3% in 2025 (well below 3.8% average from the turn of the century until pandemic), lowest in decades
2) Periods of stagnation lasting 4 or more years increase income inequality within countries by almost 20% as sluggish job creation and wage growth leads to more structural unemployment and less share of income to workers
3) Gearing up inclusive growth- driven by slump in productivity so more competition and access to finance to get resources flowing more efficiently to improve this and bringing more people into labour force, open trade
4) Making fiscal policies more people-focused- suport the vulnerable to alleviate fiscal risks by increasing revenue and governance, protecting social programmes, developing countries can increase revenue through tax reforms as much as 9% of GDP
5) Increase global backstops- IMF is reviewing concessional lending instrument for low-income countries, the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust
What are the key institutions of the World Bank?
-The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development provides loans for middle-income countries’ development. Eg. World Bank has provided the State Bank of India with a loan of over $700m to develop solar energy projects. Some loans come with conditions which are monitored in partnership with IMF
-The International Development Association- provides loans to the poorest countries. They tend to have very low or sometimes no interest rates.
What is the WB’s wider involvement in MDGs and SDGs?
-It provides loans, technical and financial assistance to support reconstruction and development. The WB deploys around $50bn in various types of financial assistance each year and has supported over 12,000 projects worldwide since it was founded.
-It has a growing emphasis on reducing poverty, linked strongly to MDGs and SDGs. Overarching goal is to end poverty within a generation and boost shared prosperity.
-It funds specific medium to long-term development projects.
-It provides technical assistance to states, with this advice focusing on human and social development (in contrast to IMF, where ta is focused on economic growth and management of public finances)
-It carries out analytical work on development matters, which is made freely available to states and NGOs working on development, adding to global research on the factors that aid and impede development
What are current WB projects?
India (water and sanitation)- WB has provided $3.4bn to improve access to clean drinking water and sanitation. This has been a long-term project in place since 2000 and the bank estimates that it’s helped about 36 million people.
Afghanistan (reconstruction)- Since 2002, WB has invested over $4.7bn for development and reconstruction here. It’s been mostly through grants (over $4bn) and no-interest loans, and Afghanistan’s government has also part-funded many projects,
What’s the structure of the WB and structural power within the WB?
What is the effectiveness of the WB?
Focus changed from SAPs to human and sustainable development so more successful in reducing poverty. The WB acts as a ‘think tank’ on development best practice. It was central to ensuring the success of the Millenium Development Goal I (world poverty was more than halved between 2000 and 2015). It provides grants to the poorest states (rather than loans) which prevents the rising of debt. $15bn was given to South Korea and now they’re a leading donor to WB.
What are criticisms of the WB?
-US hegemony over the bank’s leadership and a lack of transparency
-Brazil, India and China have less than 1/3 of voting power of USA
-Overly committed to deregulation, free trade and privatisation (US economic orthodoxy) to use ‘shock therapy’
-Undemocratic actions dictated- loss of sovereignty?
-Encourages poor countries to develop each crops like cocoa and coffee so continuing cycles of poverty, makes producers vulnerable to TNCs
-Spends too little (2024)- US defence budget was $841.4bn while WB’s budget was $117.5bn
What is the rise of other development banks?
AIIB- Launched in 2016. Members included China, Russia, Canada, India and UK, NOT US. Similar weighting of voting power as WB, China holds most votes with nearly 300,000- India second with nearly 86,000 votes. 103 members. Adds to funds available for global development, but less power from US over where funds are directed. US didn’t want UK to be a member (DC’s policy of engaging with China on economic links). Projects mostly to benefit Asia, mostly given loans (WB grants).
New Development Bank- established by Brazil, SA, China, India and Russia in 2015 with each country holding an equal share and voting power.
Examine the criticisms of the IMF and WB (12)?
1- SAPs
commitment to economic liberalism as part of Washington Consensus, undermines state sovereignty as have to accept loans limiting ability to make own economic policies, eg. Ghana
2- Western/US dominance
HQ of both IMF and WB in Washington DC so structurally dominating. USA spends $841bn on military, values hard power over soft power. Funded $117bn on WB.
3- Primacy of economic reforms
Little attention to human rights or environment, eg. loans to Ghana meant more exploitation of its oil reservoirs so more environmental degradation