Human Capital - Income Differences Flashcards
(16 cards)
Since y=k to the a h to the b
We get logy= alogk + blogh
What is final equation for logy* pg 16
a/1-a-β logsK + β/1-a-β log sH -
- a+β/ 1-a-β log(n+g)
So all have same denominator! Numerators: a, β, a-β
Logy =
a/1-a-β logsK + β/1-a-β log sH -
- a+β/ 1-a-β log(n+g)
What do we do for the solow model
B) expression
C) find elasticity of y* with respect to sK and n+g assuming a=0.35, β=0
No human capital so set β=0 leaves us with
B)
Logy*(solow) = a/1-a logsK - a/1-a log(n+g)
C)
Differentiate with respect to sK
= a/1-a
So elasticity with respect to sK is = 0.35/1-0.35 = 0.54
Differentiate with respect to n+g
= -a/1-a
So elasticity w respect to n+g is = -0.35/1-0.35 = -0.54
So logy* = a/1-a-β logsK + β/1-a-β log sH -
- a+β/ 1-a-β log(n+g)
What happens when we differentiate with respect to sK
B) do the differentiation
Gives us elasticity of y* (output) with respect to sK (how much output changes following change in savings rate for physical capital)
dlogy*/dlogsK = a/1-a-β (basically just sK disappears)
Do the same differentiation but with respect for sH
B) respect for n+g
C) given this, what are our elasticities of y* with respect to sK, sH and n+g if a=0.35 β=0.4
D) compare to solow model
dlogy*/dlogsH = β/1-a-β
B)
dllogy*/dlog(n+g) = -a+β/1-a-β
C)
1.4
1.6
-3
D) Compared to Solow results of elasticity with respect to sK=0.54 and n+g=-0.54 (so output changes way more in HC model rather than solow!)
Look at differences in incomes across countries
Suppose a=0.35 β=0.4 again, and sK and sH in rich country are 2x sK and sH in a poor country.
So sKr = 2sKp
sHr = 2sHp
Also assume rich countries n+g (growth of economy) is 20% lower so
nr + g = 0.8(np+g)
Final expression for logyr - logyp
Remember rules of logs: a - = combine by dividing
E.g logsKr - logsKp becomes logsKr/sKp
So we get
Logyr - logyp =
a/1-a-β logsKr/sKp + β/1-a-β log sHr/sHp
- a+β/ 1-a-β log(nr+g/np+g)
Same as logy* expression, just did the rule of logs!
Logyr - logyp = logyr/yp
a/1-a-β logsKr/sKp + β/1-a-β log sHr/sHp
- a+β/ 1-a-β log(nr+g/np+g)
Then how can we simplify further using values given pg18
C) then find final value of logyr/yp
We know sKr= 2sKp
So
Logyr - logyp =
a+β / 1-a-β log2 - a+β/ 1-a-β log0.8
(Idk why the 2nd term β/1-a-βlogsHr/sHp disappears but)
C) use ln’s on my calculator (idk why log gave diff answer) to get 3ln2 - 3ln0.8 = 2.75
So logyr/yp = 2.75
How do we find income differences now?
As logyr/yp = 2.75
Take e’s
yr = e to the 2.75 x yp
yr = 15.6yp
I.e income in y*r is 15.6x more than poor!
How would this compare to Solow model values
Doing same method but β=0 we get rich income only 1.6x more than poor!
Thus shows how HC model allows to show cross-country income differences!
Recall Solow model massively overpredicts rates of return differences (e.g MP 100x larger in poor than rich)
What is the MPK* and MPH* expressions
(in BGP)
MPK* = a(n+g)/sK
MPK* = β(n+g)/sH
In Solow was ay to the a-1/a
Given still sKr = 2sKp and
nr+g = 0.8(np+g)
What do we find for our values of MPKr and MPHr (in terms of the poor countries MPK and MPH, since looking at rate of return differences cross country)
0.8/2 = 0.4
so MPKr = 0.4MPKp
MPHr = 0.4MPHp
Marginal product in rich is only 40% of MP of poor. More realistic than Solows huge overestimation (recall we said the reason difference being not so big in reality is international capital markets)
Does this and Solow model predict unconditional convergence (to SAME EXACT steady state levels)
b) conditional convergence?
No, if countries have different steady states, rich remain rich poor remain poor. so no unconditional convergence (i.e country convergence)
However condititional convergence; i.e converge to their own diffrent steady state
If a poor country and rich country have the same steady state. Which should grow faster
Poor
At what rate (λ) does y converge to y* (steady state)
b) what about rate for Solow model
λ = (1-a-β) (n+g+δ)
e.g if a = b = 1/3 and n+g+δ=6%
λ= 2%
b) β=0
λ=4% i solow model
i.e with human capital, slower convergence! more accurate
Do countries with low initial income relative to their balanced growth path have lower or higher growth rates?
Higher - so conditional convergence (to their own steady state) faster
Mankiw estimates how much of cross-country variation in income per capita is explained by 2 factors
what are the 2 factors and how much
more than 50% of variation is explained by savings rates and population growth
HC model - how much does it account for cross-country variation in come
80%