Insurance MFI Flashcards
(158 cards)
How is underwriting risk for an insurance company quantified?
Using the Solvency Index:
Solvency Index = (Applied Risk Loading + Available Own Funds) / (Riskiness of Portfolio)
, where the riskiness of portfolio refers to the standard deviation of the probability distribution of claims
Underwriting risk is a larger source of risk in:
A) Non-life
B) Life
C) Reinsurance
D) Depends
Underwriting risk is a larger source of risk in non-life insurance.
In life insurance, firms are able to utilize a wider and more reliable statistical basis of mortality tables, while, in most cases, the benefits are determined in advance (valued contract). This makes life insurance less exposed to underwritings gaps.
Who is most exposed to Longevity Risk? A) Non-Life B) Life C) Policyholder D) Reinsurer Why?
Life insurance companies are more exposed to longevity risk: life contracts are long-term contracts, and premiums are determined in advance for the whole period. This could expose the insurer to the effect of long-term (decreasing) mortality trends. This is known as “longevity risk”.
Which techniques/features can help a non-life insurer mitigate underwriting risks?
A) Legal limitations: randomness, indemnity principle
B) Portfolio selection: the creation of portfolios that optimize the insurability criteria (large number, independence, homogeneity
C) Contractual limitations
D) Premium determination based on “experience” rating
E) Reinsurance
F) All of the above except legal limitations
G) All of the above
G) All of the above
The following statement is NOT true for a reinsurance contract:
A) Reinsurance allows the insurer to replace uncertainty of claims volatility with a known cost (reinsurance premium)
B) By using reinsurance, the insurer can decrease the riskiness of its portfolio and optimize its solvency index
C) In a reinsurance transaction, the insurer seeking reinsurance is known as the REINSURER, while the company assuming a part of the risk is known as the CEDING COMPANY
D) The reinsurance creates NO relationship between the policyholder and the reinsurer.
NOT TRUE -> C) In a reinsurance transaction, the insurer seeking reinsurance is known as the CEDING COMPANY, while the company assuming a part of the risk is known as the REINSURER
What is NOT a main purpose of reinsurance for the ceding company?
A) Increasing of insurance capacity
B) Improving quantitative harmonization of portfolio
C) Elimination of moral hazard and adverse selection
D) Improving segmentation and diversification of risks
WRONG: C) Elimination of moral hazard and adverse selection
Which of the following is NOT a source of market risk?
A) Interest rate risk: risk of losses due to changes in the term structure of interest rates
B) Equity risk: risk of losses due to changes in the market prices of equities
C) Spread risk: deterioration of the credit standing of issuers of financial instruments
D) Real estate risk: risk of losses due to changes in the market prices of real estate
E) Exchange risk: risk of losses due to changes of currency exchange rate
C) Spread risk: deterioration of the credit standing of issuers of financial instruments is not a source of market risk, but a source of COUNTERPARTY RISK
Which of the following is not a source of “asset risk” for an insurance company?
A) Market risk
B) Longevity risk
C) Counterparty risk
D) Liquidity risk
B) Longevity risk is a source of UNDERWRITING RISK, not asset risk
Why is decreasing (persistently low) interest rates an issue for insurance companies?
Due to the (normally) longer duration of insurance liabilities cash flows compared to those of assets (negative duration gap), insurers are particularly exposed to a decrease in interest rates and particularly affected by persistently low-interest-rate scenarios (current scenario).
Which of the following types of reinsurance offers the largest protection to the ceding company? A) Quota share (proportional) B) Excess loss (non-proportional) C) Surplus (proportional) D) Stop loss (non-proportional)
D) Stop loss (non-proportional) offers the largest degree of protection to ceding company
The reinsurer is bound to pay when a loss on the entire portfolio exceeds a certain amount. It is actually insurance against the poor performance of the insurance process related to that portfolio
What is reinvestment risk?
Due to the nature of the insurance business model, liabilities typically have a longer duration than assets, which results in a negative duration gap (DA-DL*D/E+D).
When invested assets do not have at least the same term as the expected liabilities’ cash-out flows, insurers are obliged to REINVEST. Currently, due to low/negative interest rates, insurers are investing at interest rates that are too low (reinvestment risk).
What is a peril? A) the policyholder B) the insured in a reinsurance contract C) the event of damage (fire) D) the damage (burned-down house)
C)
Peril: aleatory event impacting the risk unit and create some kind of damage (but not the damage itself)
Example: if we have a risk that a policyholder’s house will burn down, the peril is the fire.
What is NOT true about “pure risk”?
A) Uncertain events that in the event of occurrence produces negative effects
B) Event that could generate either loss or a profit (upside and downside risk)
C) Underlying category (line of business) incl. property risk, liability risk and personal risk
WRONG: B) Events that could generate either a loss or a profit are defined as “speculative risks” - not pure risk, which concerns only the downside risks
In the context of pure risk, an underlying category is LIABILITY risk. What characterizes this specific line of business?
A) Deals with things that are owned by an individual. E.g., the house, car, jewelry, etc.
B) Deals with protection against claims resulting from injuries and damage to OTHER people or property
C) Deals with a person. E.g., death, injury, other need for medical attention, etc.
B) Liability risk deals with protection against claims resulting from injuries and damage to OTHER people or property.
Property risk: deals with things that are owned by an individual. E.g., the house
Personal risk: deals with a person. E.g., death, injury, other need for medical attention, etc. to the policyholder
The insurance process has two fundamental features: select two:
A) Transferring risk
B) Sharing losses
C) Retaining the risk
D) Reduction of the possibility/ intensity of pure risk
The process has two fundamental features:
- Transferring risk: from one individual to a group of individuals
- Sharing losses: all members of the group (portfolio) pay a premium, which is how the losses of those hit by the unfortunate event are covered.
WRONG: retain risk means doing nothing, while reducing the intensity/possibility of risk occurrence refers to the policyholder’s carefulness (Not a part of the insurance process)
What is NOT a characteristic of the a posteriori probability?
A) the probability of an uncertain future event computed based on an empirical study of past experience
B) it is an actuarial concept
C) It helps the insurance company determine premium price
D) It is the MOST accurate way to estimate the probability of an adverse event
WRONG: D) It is useful in determining the probability of occurrence, since it provides with basis for forecast.
BUT, it is less accurate than a priori probability computation
A priori probability: the probability based on the underlying conditions that cause the event
(e.g. the probability of heads turning up when tossing a coin is ½), which can be assumed as
the BEST estimate of the probability that the event will occur in the future
How is the Law of Large numbers linked to A Priori probability and A Posterior probability?
The observed frequency of an event (A Posteriori probability) more nearly approaches A Priori probability as the number of trials approaches infinity.
After observing the proportion of the time that the various outcomes have occurred within a large sample of risk units over a long period of time, under essentially the same risk exposure conditions, it is possible to construct a probability distribution. The A Priori probability assigned to the event can be approximated by the mean of the probability distribution.
This is the probability at which the outcome is expected to occur in the future.
Why may the Law of Large Numbers improve the estimation of future probability of occurrence of events?
Only in this the presence of both large PAST SAMPLE SIZE and large SIZE OF THE GROUP of risk units in a portfolio, the law of large numbers could allow for quite accurate estimations of the future; smaller dispersion of the individual value from the mean of the probability distribution, and more stable risk conditions.
With the law of large numbers applied, things will in a large degree continue to happen in the future as they have happened in the past.
What does “stability of conditions” mean?
Stability of Conditions refers the when things continue to happen in the future as they have happened in the past - which allows for more accurate predictions of the probability of certain events’ occurrence.
The stability of conditions can be achieved when the estimate of past events’ occurrence is accurate thanks to the law of large numbers.
What is the problem with self-insurance? Choose 2
A) does not require a risk evaluation process
B) losses are never fully covered
C) losses are difficult to predict, and the self-insurer may save up a wrong amount of funding
D) poses opportunity costs for the self-insurer
Correct: C and D
The problem with this strategy is that the self-insuring individual doesn’t know how much to set aside as risk provision to fund possible losses, which eventually leads to opportunity costs of the capital parked, and the risk that the saved-up amount is not enough to cover the expenses connected to the damage.
Therefore, self-insurance is NOT EFFICIENT/ EFFECTIVE
Which of the following characteristic of an “unfunded mutual insurance plan” is WRONG??
A) Firms with similar risks of loss and are relatively uncorrelated pool together their risk
B) All units split evenly any accident costs that the participants might incur
C) Entails greater counterparty risk than funded mutual insurance plans
D) Entails smaller counterparty risk than a funded mutual insurance plan
WRONG: D)
An unfunded mutual insurance plan entails higher counterparty risk than funded mutual insurance plans, because in the former case, the participants have not made advance payments for the expected future losses - thus, some may choose not to pay if the event occurs.
What is NOT a characteristic of a FUNDED mutual insurance plan?
A) All participating parties agree to make an advance payment for predicted future losses for the group
B) The type of risk management pooling seen in the insurance business
C) Has no drawbacks
D) Each participant exchanges an uncertain loss for a certain cost (the advance payment)
WRONG: C)
The drawback of a funded mutual insurance plan is that the payment of any participant is independent of whether any given individual will actually incur a loss (the cost is certain). Meanwhile, it can be very difficult to predict future losses in advance, which may lead to wrong estimation of the advance payment amount necessary
What does a “Pooling agreement” mean?
Multiple parties (2+) agree to execute risk pooling - that is, each party agrees to pool their resources and split evenly the accident costs that may arise within the pool of participants.
What is NOT a benefit of risk pooling?
A) reduction of expected loss per party
B) reduction of standard deviation for the probability distribution of the group as a whole
C) higher predictability of future loss events as the number of participants increases
WRONG: A) reduction of expected loss per party is NOT the case. Typically the expected loss per party is independent of the number of participants in the pool and independent of whether the risk is pooled at all.
With pooling, and due to the law of large numbers, the standard deviation of the probability distribution will decrease for the group as a whole, and this decrease is further intensified as number of participants in the pool increases.