intertemporal budget constraints and ricardian equivalence Flashcards
(19 cards)
intertemporal
the relationship between yesterday (the past), today(the present) and tomorrow(the future)
assumptions made week 1
Assets and liabilities are traded in perfect financial markets.
two periods only present and future e.g this year/next year
perfect foresight- people anticipate the future correctly
rational expectations- on average agents forecast correctly
household consumes all income across two periods
some disposable income today (y1) and some tomorrow (y2)
one real interest rate (r)- either borrow from future self (pay interest) or save income (receive interest)
why do financial markets exist
to link present with the future
types of intemporal things
consumption and investment decisions are intertemporal (trades off today and tomorrow)
borrowing and lending intertemporal trade
What is the inter temporal budget constraint
how much a household can spend today and in the future based on their total resources (wealth). cant spend more than what you have
week 1 assumptions about inter temporal budget constraint
households can borrow or save as much as it likes out of income subject to the interest rate
real interest rate
difference between nominal interest rate and inflation
what does Real interest rate imply
implies the price of tmrw’s consumption in terms of today’s consumption (intertemporal price)
Household intertemporal budget constraint equation
C1 + C2/1+r = (Y1-T1) + (Y2-T2)/1+r
present discounted value of consumption = present discounted value of income = total wealth (in terms of today’s income
discounting
valuing future goods in terms of goods today
discounting equation
Present Value= Future Value /(1+real interest rate (r))^number of years
saver
consumption tomorrow is equal to tomorrow’s income plus what was saved from today adjusted for the interest payment on what is saved
saver c1 is less than y1
borrower
y1-c1 is negative, as consumption today is higher than income today
and the 1+r would be the interest payment on borrowing
how does the slope of the IBC shift
depends on r
inheriting indebtness today shifts the IBC inwards
inheriting wealth today shifts the IBC outwards
government’s intertemporal budget constraint equation
G1 + G2/1+rG = T1 + T2/1+rG
ricardain equivalence
hypothesis, government has to obey its IBC
that the government raising money by taxes or borrowing does not matter as people understand they will have to pay for it later
while current disposable income will increase agents will not increase consumption as they believe taxes will be raised in the future
government borrowing does not change peoples spending because they know its delayed taxes
evidence of ricardian equivalence
studies say households save half of tax cuts, ricardian equivalence said to be 50% true
limitations of ricardian equivalence
partially verified
- perfect foresight is a demanding assumption, much uncertainty and taxpayers do not realise the extent of their obligation
-governments live forever, future tax may no concern some taxpayers
-assumes consumers can borrow as much as they wish, they can’t
-assumes all people identical, poor pay less tax than rich
-most countries rg<r state can borrow cheaper
- based on income being an exogenous endowment but taxes affect work decisions, saving and investment which could affect future income
public and private IBC
C1 + C2/1+r = Y1-G1 + Y2-G2/1+r