lecture 17

Question 1

Quantitative analysis

Answer 1

the numerical representation
and manipulation of observations for the purpose of
describing and explaining the phenomena that those
observations reflect.

Question 2

Goal of the research

Answer 2

To explore the relationship between learners’ socio-
demographic characteristics and their level of
participation in computer conferencing (online
discussion

Question 3

what were the two theories

Answer 3

1. Increased levels of student interaction and
   engagement will lead to enhanced learning and
   other educational outcomes.
2. Socio-demographic characteristics of students will
   influence their likelihood to participate in
   computer-mediated educational settings.

Question 4

CALL computer conference

Answer 4

 Informal “bulletin board.”
 Dialogue on leadership-related readings.
 Bilateral and small group e-mail exchange.
 Orientation and debriefing for each seminar.
 Work on the Issues Analysis Project

Question 5

small case study

Question 6

how was data gathered

Answer 6

 Data for this study were obtained through an
unobtrusive review of the archive from the entire
CALL computer conference.
 Informed consent obtained prior to start of program.
 Course took place from October 1997 to May 1999.

Question 7

how was the data managed

Answer 7

 Over the course of the computer conference, regular
“housekeeping” was conducted to delete trivial
messages (such as one-word responses to existing
messages) and archive all other messages.
 Messages sent by program instructors and
administrators were excluded from the analysis in
this study.

Question 8

In the summer of 1999, each message that had been
archived over the course of the conference was
categorized according to

Answer 8

(1) the identity of the
sender; (2) the month in which it was sent to the
conference; and (3) the sub-conference to which it
was sent
this categorization was then transferred to a
spreadsheet, and the data were compiled and
analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social
Sciences (SPSS)

Question 9

Methodological limitations

Answer 9

 Quantity of messages does not equate to quality.
 Only measured the number of messages sent to
public spaces – not private e-mail communication.
 Only measured the sending of messages – not the
reading of messages (lurking).
 Small number of non-randomly selected participants
means that inferential statistics are questionable.

Question 10

Participants: constants

Answer 10

 Sector of employment (all worked in agriculture).
 Economic resources (all paid $5,000 tuition).
 Intellectual and social skills (all gained admission to a
highly competitive program – 30 / 140 admitted).
 Nationality (all were Canadian).
 Racialized status (all had European heritage).

Question 11

Participants: socio-demographic variables

Answer 11

 Gender (16 men; 14 women)
 Age (15 under 45; 15 over 45)
 Educational attainment (16 U graduates; 14 others)
 Rural (24) or urban (6) residency
 On-farm (16) or off-farm (14) employment
 Region of residence (6 Atlantic; 7 QU & ON; 9 MB &
SK; 8 AB & BC).

Question 12

Independent variables

Answer 12

 Gender (male / female)
 Age (under 45 / over 45)
 Education (university graduates / others)
 Residency (rural / urban)
 Occupation (farmer / other)
 Region (Atlantic / Central / Prairie / West)

Question 13

Dependent variables

Answer 13

 The number of messages sent by each individual
participant to the computer-mediated conference.
 A ratio measure (from zero to several hundred).

Question 14

how were the dependent variables interpreted

Answer 14

Collapsed for interpretive purposes into an ordinal
measure (low, medium, and high).

Question 15

The statistically average CALL participant sent

Answer 15

just
under 5 messages each month to the CMC

Question 16

variability of participation

Answer 16

Participation was highly variable, with one quarter of
learners sending less than 1.7 messages per month,
and one quarter of learners sending more than 5.7
messages per month.

Question 17

Observations: variability of participation

Answer 17

Note the large size of the standard deviation scores
in comparison with the means, and the fact that
each median score is substantially lower than the
mean.
 A relatively small number of highly active
participants contributed many messages, while most
participants contributed fewer than the mean
number of messages.

Question 18

Observations: typology

Answer 18

 Seven “high-end” users contributed nearly sixty per
cent of all messages to the computer conference,
and sent on average over twelve messages per
month.
 Eight “low-end” users sent an average of only one
message per month

Question 19

Reflections on the univariate analysis

Answer 19

 How can we understand the vast differences
between levels of participation in this computer
conference?
 Are such differences merely the reflection of
idiosyncratic differences in motivation, learning
styles, or receptivity to computer-conferencing as a
medium of education?
 Or are there socio-demographic characteristics that
predispose certain individuals to higher or lower
rates of participation?
 This leads us to bivariate analysis: to explore the
possibility that learners’ socio-demographic
characteristics explain, in part, their differing levels
of participation in the computer conference.

Question 20

Bivariate analysis

Answer 20

Using analysis of variance (ANOVA) procedures allows
us to compare the mean level of participation by
learners with different characteristics.

Question 21

Bivariate analysis: gender

Answer 21

 Men and women had virtually identical mean levels
of participation.
 There was a difference, as indicated by the standard
deviation scores, in the variability of participation of
men and women.
 Men were disproportionately represented at either
the high or low end of participation, while women
were clustered more strongly in the middle.

Question 22

Bivariate analysis: age

Answer 22

 Learners’ age did not have a strong relationship
with their average level of participation.
 Those learners over the age of forty-five were more
likely to be at the high or low end of the participation
spectrum, while those learners under forty-five were
more likely to be in the middle.

Question 23

Bivariate analysis: education

Answer 23

 The relationship of formal education with level of
computer conferencing participation was both
statistically significant and practically important.
 Learners with university degrees sent nearly three
times the number of messages as did learners
without degrees.
 The very low standard deviation score for non-
degree holders indicates that not having a university
degree was a very strong predictor of relatively low
participation in the computer conference.
 All seven high-end users had university degrees.

Question 24

Bivariate analysis: residence

Answer 24

 Whether a learner lived in an urban or rural area
also had a strong and statistically significant
relationship with his or her level of participation.
 The gap between rural and urban dwellers was the
largest absolute gap identified in our study.
 Whether a learner lived in an urban or rural area
also had a strong and statistically significant
relationship with his or her level of participation.
 The gap between rural and urban dwellers was the
largest absolute gap identified in our study.

Question 25

Bivariate analysis: occupation and region

Answer 25

 Neither occupation nor region had statistically significant relationships with participation.  Non-farmers contributed an average of 50 messages more than did farmers.  Those east of Manitoba contributed fewer messages than those living in Western Canada

Question 26

Reflections on the bivariate analysis

Answer 26

 From the bivariate results, it appears as though: — Gender and age had no impact on participation. — Occupation and region had minor impact. — Education and rural vs. urban residence had major impact.  However, these initial appearances may reflect the interrelated character of different socio-economic characteristics.  Do interrelationships between the various socio- demographic variables in our study influence the appearance of relationships between the individual independent variables and learner participation?  This leads us to multivariate analysis.

Question 27

The ANOVA “F” scores and statistical significance coefficients are reported to indicate the extent to which there is an observed difference between participation of degree and non-degree holders within each of the sub-groups indicated by the five other variables

Question 28

Observations on holding education constant

Answer 28

 Gender and age still have no impact on participation.  The small impacts observed in bivariate relationships between occupation-participation and region- participation are reduced.  Both education level and residence in rural or urban areas still make a meaningful difference in the average level of learner participation.

Question 29

Key outstanding question

Answer 29

What is the relative importance of education and rural or urban residence when explaining the overall variability in learner participation in this computer conference?

Question 30

Regression analysis

Answer 30

Despite its limited usefulness with such a small and non-randomly-selected sample, regression analysis provides a rudimentary estimate of the relative strength of education and residence in urban or rural areas as predictors of learners’ participation in the CALL computer conference.

Question 31

Regression results

Answer 31

 The R Square value of .323 suggests that nearly one- third of all variability in levels of participation in the CALL computer conference can be attributed to the influence of education and residence in rural or urban areas.  In other words, using this regression equation to predict the level of learners’ participation results in predictions that are 32.3% more accurate than simply using the mean (98.8) for predictive purposes.

Question 32

regression results

Answer 32

As examples, a rural learner without a university degree would be expected to have sent about 48 messages to the conference, while an urban learner with a university degree would be expected to have sent about 199 messages.  About two-thirds of the variability in learners’ participation in this study cannot be attributed to the socio-demographic variables included in the analysis.  This variability can be understood as reflecting situational and dispositional factors, random differences, and other structural variables that are not included in the analysis.

Question 33

conclusions

Answer 33

 Of the six independent variables in our study, only education and residence in urban or rural areas were significantly related to rates of participation.  There are theoretical reasons to believe that both higher educational attainment and living in cities would increase such participation.

Question 34

Parsimonious

Answer 34

means of summarizing a large amount of data

Question 35

Superficial operationalization

Answer 35

of the complex concept of “participation.

Question 36

quantitative analysis

Answer 36

 Enables claims to be made about causal relationships.  Stronger with larger samples.