Lobbying And Vote Buying (Social Planner, Partial FF, Lobbying And Buying Supermajority Model) - Harder Flashcards

(39 cards)

1
Q

Last time we studied voting behaviour (turnout)

How else can voting process be influenced (2) (topics of this)

A

Lobbying

Vote buying

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2
Q

Lobby:

A

A group attempting to influence vote by influencing parties or voters

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3
Q

Thurber estimations on US lobbying:

How many people does it involve
How much is lobbying spending annually

A

100,000+ lobbyists
9bn annual spend

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4
Q

UK’s view on lobbying

A

They find lobbying legitimate and necessary part of democratic process, however needs regulation

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5
Q

UK lobbying annual spend and employment

A

14,000 people employed

1.7bn annually by 2007

(100k+, 9bn US)

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6
Q

Statistic on revolving door

A

In US 34 of top 50 lobbyists have previously worked in gov

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7
Q

Expertise/experience vs connections view on why those who already worked in gov are influential

B) empirical work is small, but which view is more supported

A

Expertise: lobbyists use experience to influence

Connections: lobbyists use who they know and their networks

B) connections view i.e networks are more valuable

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8
Q

Fons-Rosen Revolving door study

A

Looked at lobbyist revenue after their connection leaves office

If lose revenue: supports connection view, since value was tied to their connection, not necessarily their skill!

If revenue constant after connection leaves; supports expertise

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9
Q

Finding

A

24% fall in revenue after connection leaves!

And even larger effects if connection was more senior!

Supports connection view - not about skill

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10
Q

Caveat

A

It doesn’t mean expertise doesn’t matter - since variation only comes from changes in connections

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11
Q

Bertrand further study finds

A

Evidence for both expertise and connections - but connections more important

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12
Q

Theory of Special interests politics -
shows how lobbying influences policy

What are special interest policies?

A

Policy that provides benefits to small well-defined groups (hence the name special interest), costs to large unorganised groups

E.g local public good funded by central taxation

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13
Q

3 cases to understand impact of a lobby

A

Social optimum of a utilitarian government
Partial fiscal federalism (centrally financed public good)
Lobbying

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14
Q

Lobbying model set up:
3 groups of citizens with equal income
Total population a=1 and groups a1 a2 a3

a1+a2+a3=1 and y1=y2=y3 = y >1
All citizens consume private good Ci and a local public good. 3 local public goods for each of the groups gi

What is utility function

A

Ui = Ci + ln(gi)

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15
Q

First case:
Social optimum of utilitarian government; recall what they do

B) maximisation problem

C) find indirect utility function, then differentiate to find intuitive result

A

Maximise utility of whole society

Max U= a1U1 + a2U2 + a3U3
Subject to budget constraint
a1 (g1+C1) + a2 (g2+C2) + a3 (g3+C3) <=y
(budget constraint is just MaxU subbed in U <=y

C)
Then FOC to get g1=g2=g3=1

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16
Q

Result: g1=g2=g3=1 meaning

A

Under social utilitarian gov,

Each citizen gets same amount of public good, independent of the size of group they’re in

17
Q

2nd case: partial fiscal federalism

What happens to gi (public good) now

A

Public good gi quantity decided by each group separately, but funded centrally through tax rate t

I.e decided locally but financed publicly by common tax)

18
Q

Budget constraint for partial fiscal federalism

B) sub into Ci expression

C) then get indirect utility function (v) by using Ci

A

a1g1 + a2g2 + a3g3 = ty
(ty is revenue gov receive)

B) Ci = y - ty
Then sub ty from above in
Ci = y - (a1g1 + a2g2 + a3g3)

C) essentially the same, just add the ln(gi)
v= y - (a1g1 + a2g2 + a3g3) + ln(g)

(so steps are aggregate pooling formula but = ty, then sub into Ci= y - ty, then let = V and add ln(g)

19
Q

Then FIC to find g’1 i.e the quantity of public good chosen - final expression

B) Is it > or less than case 1 utilitarian social plannerj

A

g’1 = 1/a₁ > 1

B) Partial fiscal federalism gets More quantity than the utilitarian social planner (g’1 > g)

20
Q

So g’1>g i.e when decided locally but financed publicly (by common tax) , we spend more than optimal on the public good

Why?

A

Individuals do not fully internalise cost of pubic goods, and smaller groups spend more and internalise even less.

21
Q

MAINLY REMEMBER THIS FOR COMPARISON GOOD:

Proof by aggregate pooling comparison (aggregate pooling is total
g* = a1g1 + a2g2 + a3g3)

A

Social optimum g1=g2=g3 =1 so aggregate provision g* is

g* = a1g1 + a2g2 + a3g3 = 1

Partial fiscal federalism g’1 = 1/a₁ so aggregate provision g’* is

g’* = a1(1/a₁) + a2(1/a₂) + a3(1/a₃) = 3

3>1 !!! Classic common pool problem; groups overspend when burden is fully on themselves i.e financed publicly

22
Q

Final case: lobbying

Now assume group 1 is a lobby.

They chooses contributiom, dependent on policy outcome i.e how much public good they get

How do we express contribution

B) Utility of group 1 from policy (public good)

C) Difference between the 2 is known as

A

C1(g1) as contribution is a function/dependent on the outcome i.e how much g1 they get!

B) U1(g1) (utility from public good)

C)
the reservation utility
b1 = U1(g1) - C1(g1)

23
Q

Politician have an objective function. What does it include (2)
Give expressions for them too

A

Social welfare α (0<a<1)
Lobby contributions 1-a

I.e care about society, but also can be influenced by contributions from lobby…

24
Q

So what is the objective function of the politician

B) key finding of g’’1 g’’2 g’’3

D) important: intuition;

A

W(g1,g2,g3) = αU + (1-α)a1C1(g1)
Social utiltiy + utility from group 1’s lobbyist contributions a1C1(g1)

B)
g’’1>1
G”2 <1
G”3 <1

All <1 except the lobbying group, who receive more than optimal while other groups receive less

25
So lobbying group receives more while others less: When will misallocation be even worse
If lobby contributions are weighted more heavily in the politicians objective function *(i.e if a smaller and closer to 0)\ I.e lower a! If a closer to 0 stronger misallocation If a closer to 1, approach social optimum (politician cares little about lobbyist contributions)
26
limitation of model
We saw partial fiscal federalism also has overspending, but we cannot compare to find which has more, so do not know if there is aggregate overprovision as depends on individual parameters
27
So lobbying distorbs allocoation of public resoiurces Limitations of our results (3)
ignores free-rider problem (contribution C1(g1) may be overestimated!) only assumed 1 group can lobby. didnt look into opposing lobbies We also said lobbying can be legitimate and necessary (UK view), or undue influence; our models dont differentiate between
28
Lobbying ex-post vs ex-ante
ex-post is once in office ex-ante is during campaign
29
Looking at ex-ante (campaign) contributions modelling Contributions enter as a shock. assume more contributions means candidate is better. Some groups are organised and can contribute a lot, some can’t. A) What do candidates assign greater weight to? (2) B) What is the equilibrium
larger groups (as before) And organised groups (who can contribute more) b) In equilibrium; no campaign contributions from any group Because the possibility of lobbying can already influence policy i.e threat to give contributions to opponent prevents deviation
30
Does contributions signal quality?
Yes, more comtributions correlate with ex-post effectiveness (once in office)
31
Why is voter’s knowledge on contributions important
since if they know who receives the most contributions, it can signal candidate quality and vote accordingly
32
Previously vote buying was common explain situation in UK pre Ballot act 1872
elite could observe voting, and try influence with bribes
33
Now we have secret balloting so elites can no longer observe voting. but what is the puzzle
With the secret ballot; a voter can accept bribe and vote as they wish anyways. but we still see vote buying! WHY?
34
Alternate explanation for this
turnout buyiing - reward people they believe would vote a certain way, for actually turning up (so target people who think would vote in your interest, and then reward turnout - this is more common than vote buying)
35
example of turnout buying (Nichter) B) is this legitimate?
Democrats offered cigarettes beer and medicne to encourage turnout of the poor (who they assumed would vote for them) B) no, election fraud as mobilises traditionally unmobilised groups and habit forming through such gifts
36
What are roll call votes b) what is important to find about this
Public, votes are known. Vote yes or no. b) these are often passed with a supermajority. e.g landslide vote we’ll see why..
37
buying a supermajority form Imagine 7 person legislature (voters); all indifferent between new proposal and status quo. 2 vote buyers, A and B A prefers proposal (values it at Wa) B prefers status quo (values it at Wb) A makes offer of bribes to a set of legislators (not necessarily all 7!). What does B do? How should A respond
B attacks weakest part of A’s coalition i.e the least committed 1/7 legislators A should thus offer same offer to all legislators they bribe. Now how should many of 7 should they bribe…
38
How many should A offer the same offer to? or perhaps what amount should they offer?
4 enough for majority, but B could take majority by offering an arbitrarily higher amount So thus A should set their offer (a) >=Wb So A has to pay 4Wb in total to ensure loyalty of all 4
39
now we can prove why buying a supermajority occurs Suppose A bribes 5 legislators. What does B do, How does A respond
B needs to buy 2 back to make it 4-3. offer a+ε to each. To prevent, A must set a >= 5Wb/2 so pays 5Wb/2 to ensure loyalty: KEY RESULT - PAYS LESS IF THEY BRIBE MORE LEGISLATORS If A bribes 6, A sets a>= 6Wb/3 ! /3 as B has to buy 3 back. (logic carries on up till 7, B will have to buy 4 back, so A should set offer a>Wb/4 so 7Wb/4 total cost) as long as <= Wa (their own valuation of winning to get proposal not status quo)