midterm Flashcards
What is the golden thread?
- The relationship between foreign policy analysis (FPA) and the field of international relations (IR)
- Foreign policy outputs/behavior vs processes of decision-making
- Strengths and limitations of different theories for explaining foreign policy processes and outcomes
- Different goals of FPA and methodological disagreements about how to study foreign policy
Links between foreign policy as a field of academic study and foreign policy as a field of professional practice
what are the key points from history of foreign policy analysis?
Studying foreign policy is not new, but FPA took off within the field of IR in the mid-20th century
FPA is a state-centric field, focused mainly on the decisions and actions of national governments
FPA tends to be both mutli-level and multi-causal
Efforts to develop a ‘universal’ theory of foreign policy behavior motivated much of the early work on FPA
The relationship between FPA and the practice of foreign policy is complex and continually evolving
What is foreign policy?
“the strategy or approach chosen by the national government to achieve its goals in its relations with external entities. This includes decisions to do nothing”
Something that is chosen, not something that just happens
The idea that somebody (group) is making decisions about what strategy or approach to do
Who is doing the choosing
- National governments are typically understood to be making this decision
- Federal national government makes decisions on the behalf of the people and state
They have goals and make choices based on these goals
- How to weigh different competing goals
External actors
- Actors outside their boarders (States,Multinational corporations, Etc. )
The choice includes doing nothing
-deciding not to act is still significant
What are the elements of state sovereignty? What does Foreign Policy focus on?
Territorial integrity:
States have a right to control what is going on in their borders
Political independence:
Linked to territorial integrity
Have the right to have their own elections and not to be interfered with
Sovereign equality:
Have the right to be treated equally in the international sphere
What about the security council?
UN is full of contradictions
sovereign equality on paper
FP focuses on states and assumed that they are the main actors
How does foreign policy anaylsis treat fp vs. domestic policy?
FPA assumes a clear distinction between ‘foreign’ and ‘domestic’ policy
These distinctions reflect political and ideological positions and can be fuzzy
Foreign policy deals with anarchy, domestic policy does not
Describing someone as domestic policy can take away elements, such as native Americans
What is foreing policy analysis?
“The subfield of international relations that seeks to explain foreign policy, or, alternatively, foreign policy behavior with reference to the theoretical ground of human decision makers, acting singly and in groups”
What are the hallmarks of foreign policy analysis
- Shared commitments to:
1. Look below the nation-state level to actor-specific information
2. Build actor-specific theory (a form of mid-range theory) as middle ground between actor-general theory and the complexity of the real world
3. Pursue multicausal and multi-level explanations
i. System level and other levels that matter too
ii. Rarely one variable that determines an outcome
4. Leverage theory and findings across the spectrum of social science
i. Adding in different views from different subjects
View the process of foreign policy decision making as being just as important as FP outputs
what are the goals of FPA?
Goals of FPA vary significantly:
Building a ‘universal’ theory of foreign policy
- Actor general theory
- Trying to compare how different states conduct their foreign polices and then use that to build a universal theory
- Treats foreign policy analysis as physics
- Largely has fallen
Building actor-specific, mid-range theory
- More about not explaining everything but explain certain actions in a certain time
Providing sound advice to policymakers based on rigorous research
Is a ‘universal’ theory of foreign policy possible?
Would be every decision, throughout time, in every place
Probably not
You could say overall goals of everyone but not predicting what others would do or why
What are Rosenau’s 5 factors?
Rosenau identifies five factors to consider in FPA:
International system:
The options open/not open to it depends on the international system
Societal environment:
Looking at the society of the state
Values
National character
deology
Things that are important to the state and how that effects the decisions it makes
Government setting:
Where the foreign policy is made
Presidential vs. parliamentary system
How much freedom the leader has
Bureaucratic roles in policymakers:
Where you stand depends on where you sit
Which department they are in, which ministry
Individual characteristics of FP elites:
The people who formulate the policy
Are they risk takers, confrontational, how does race and gender impact this, who gets listened to or ignored
Trump - how can we use things like social psychology to analysis how a particular person can impact FP
What are the levels of analysis in FPA?
Cognitive processes
Leadership personality:
Values, their ideological commitments
Past experiences
Risk taker?
Small group dynamics:
How do they get along
Who do they surround themselves with
Organization process:
Different system of governments
Congress
Bureaucratic politics:
Turf wars
Culture and foreign policy:
A states identity and culture will effect the way foreign policy sees priority
Domestic political contestation
National attributes:
States role in the world
How it sees itself
System effects:
States place in the system
Big, middle, small power
How useful is FPA for policy makers?
Can be helpful but not really preditive
What are the key points for liberalism vs. realism?
Realism and liberalism are IR theories with deep philosophical roots; both can be applied in FPA
They share some key assumptions about state behavior, but they diverge in important ways
Realism stresses prudence, self-interest, and rationality in foreign policy; wary of morality as a guide for decision-making; Critics note the risk of amoral and unethical decision-making
Liberalism emphasizes shared interests and prospects for cooperation pacifying effects of liberalism and democracy; critics note the risk of liberal imprudence
what was realism in the historical perspective and what are the core assumptions now?
Historical:
“Right, as the world goes, is only in question between equals in power, while the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must”
Thucydides, The History of the Peloponnesian Wars
“A prudent ruler cannot keep his word, nor should he, where such fidelity would damage him, and when the reasons that made him promise are no longer relevant”
Niccolo Machiavelii, The Prince
International system is anarchic
Sovereign states are the main actors; Saying that at the end of the day, states matter most
States are unitary rational actors, pursing their own interest:
They can be treated as single actors - unitary
Cost benefit calculations - rational
Pure self-interest
The state’s primary goals are national security and state survival
- National security weighs very heavily against anything else
National power and capabilities are key determinants of relations between states
- About where they sit in the international system
What are the 6 principles of political realism?
Hans Morgenthau’s six principles of political realism:
- Objective laws rooted in human nature:
Objective laws - universal theory
Human nature - states are always looking to maximize their own power - Interest defined in terms of power
- Concerned with power not values/others
- Mostly in terms of security - Interest in power is objective and universal, but not fixed
- Shifts based on context - Aware of the moral significance of political actions
- Usually criticized for not being moral and only looking at self-interest
- Are aware of this and it should not led them astray - The moral aspirations of a single state should not be equated with universal moral laws
- Autonomy of the political sphere
- Politics is a separate world
Do ‘hard’ security issues always trump concerns about social and economic wellbeing when states make foreign policy decisions? Should they?
- Ex. CIA and the 1973 Coup in Chile
○ Looking out for your own people
○ Realist emphasizes the national security aspect of protecting your shores and keeping the ‘enemy’ further away from you
Critics say it is self-fulfilling
What is Neo-realism?
Kenneth Waltz (1979)
Shares a focus on rational, self-interested, utility-maximizing states
- States are most important
Power politics in a self-help system
Objective laws, but they are not rooted in human nature
- Different from Morgenthau
- Because it is anarchy and it’s a self-help system, it causes them to behave a certain way
More focus on system-level factors and patterns of behavior under anarchy
Is national security what matters most?
Economic growth, power
Time and place
What was liberalism in the historical perspective?
“the weapon of the relativity of thought must be used to demolish the utopian concept of a fixed and absolute standards by which policies and actions can be judges… The utopian, when he preaches the doctrine of harmony of interests, is innocently and unconsciously… clothing his own interest in the guise of a universal interest for the purpose of imposing it on the rest of the world”
○ E.H. Carr, The Twenty Years’ Crisis, 1939
Its always just an excuse for the powerful to do what they want
Importance of individual rights and freedoms
Institutions (both domestic and international) as key mechanisms for upholding rights and freedoms
Possibility of mutually beneficial cooperation
Democratization and liberalization foster a ‘zone of peace’
What are liberal legacies in Foreign policy?
According to Doyle, Liberalism has three main ‘legacies’ in foreign policy
Peace among liberals:
Liberal democracies tend to not go to war with each other
Democracies do still fight non-democracies
Imprudent vehemence:
Democracies get carried away and think it is wise to spread their ideas across the world and thus get to wars with non-democracies
Complaisance towards threats:
They are also prone to turning into themselves
Liberal theorist argue now that western states turn a blind eye towards Russia in 2014, leading to Putin to keep going forward with invasions
What is democratic peace theory?
Immanuet Kant (1795) essay on Perpetual Peace explains both tendencies:
Representative republican government ensures accountability; wars require public support
Principles commitment to respect legally institutionalized rights; international law
Social and economic interdependence; material incentives for cooperation
Democracies do not go to war with each other
Three main explanations:
Institutional constraints: checks and balances, public accountability
Normative constraints: democratic norms of negotiation and compromise
Economic interdependence: going to war with trading partners is mutually damaging
Three variants of DPT - how people think about the theory
Monadic: democracies are generally more peaceful than non-democracies
Dyadic: democracies do not go to war with other democracies
Systemic: more democratic states in the system will make the system more peaceful
Most of the research shows monadic and dyadic
O’Neal and Russett find that three related variables all contribute to the democratic peace:
○ Democracy
○ IO membership
○ Economic interdependence
* Example: the European Union (EU)
○ In order to join, state must be a democracy
What are neo-liberal institutionalism core assumptions?
Keohane (1984) and Keohane and Nye (1977) argue that
International system is anarchic
Sovereign states are the main actors
States are unitary rational actors, pursing their own interests, but domestic characteristics also shape state behavior
The state’s goals extend beyond national security and state survival
Absolute gains and positive sum games (as opposed to relative gains and zero-sum relations with other states)
Should morality guide foreign policy?
Ex. NATO operations in Libya
What are key points to rationalism vs. constructivism?
Realism and liberalism are both rationalist theories of IR
Constructivism emphasizes the social construction of reality (e.g. anarchy is what states make of it)
Centrality of norms, culture, and identity in foreign policy decision making (in addition to material factors) Ideas matter
Logic of consequences vs. logic of appropriateness; alternative explanations for state behavior; Different ways to think about state behavior
Critics argue that constructivism is too broad and abstract to guide policy making; others believe it can serve as s a guide to action