MODULE 3 Strategies for Improving Population Health Flashcards
L1* Describe the place of individual health care in an overall framework of determinants and distribution of health of the population * Understand and apply guidelines/frameworks for assessing causation: Bradford Hill Criteria Rothman’s Causal Pies
Individual vs Population Health Care
Clinicians: individuals. treat disease to restore health. Reactive. Treating patients who are present
Population Health: health of groups of individuals, in the context of their environment. Proactive and comprehensive approach to clinical practice. Identifying and treating all appropriate patients in a population
The Public/Population Health Model
Provide maximum benefit for the largest number of people, at the same time reducing inequities in the distribution of health and wellbeing.
Epidemiology:
- Define the problem
(CSS)
- Identify the risk and protective factors
(Cohort S, Case-C S)
- Develop and test prevention strategies
(RCTs; Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies)
- Assure widespread adoption
- Monitor and evaluate
Role of Epidemiology
To seek the cause of dis-ease, so appropriate preventative measures can be introduced.
NOT determine the cause of a dis-ease in a given individual.
Determines the relationship/association between a given exposure and dis-ease populations
James Lind’s Experiment
RCT
Prevention of Scurvy before the cause was identified
Study Participants:
12 British Sailors with Scurvy
Learned that citrus helped with treating Scurvy
Bradford Hill Criteria (1965)
“Aids to thought”
(means that not all have to be present. Judgement necessary!)
- Temporality
- Strength of Association
- Consistency of association
- Biological Gradient (dose-response)
- Biological Plausibility of association
- Specificity of association
- Reversibility
Temporality
First the cause, then the dis-ease
essential to establish a causal relation
e.g. Smoking as a cause of lung cancer: British Doctors’ Study
Strength of Association
the stronger an association, the more likely to be causal in absence of known biases (selection, information, and confounding)
BDS: RR>10
Consistency of Association
Replication of the findings by different investigators, at different times, in different places, with different methods
e.g. Multiple studies have shown similar results
Biological Gradient (dose-response)
Incremental change in disease rates in conjunction with corresponding changes in exposure
Biological plausibility of association
does this association make sense biologically?
e.g. Carcinogens in tobacco
Specificity of association
A cause leads to a single effect
However, a single cause often leads to multiple effect
e.g. Smoking –> Multiple outcomes
Reversibility
The demonstration that under controlled conditions that changing the exposure causes a change in the outcome
e.g Reduced risk after quitting in BDS
Notes on Bradford Hill Criteria
USE YOUR JUDGEMENT
Causal phenomena are usually complex- and exposure -outcome relationships are not usually 1:1.
Causal Pies Framework:
JK Rothman
A cause of disease:
An event, condition, characteristic (or combination of these factors) which play an essential role in producing the disease.
Causal Pies
- sufficient cause
- component cause
- necessary cause
Sufficient cause
Factor/s that will inevitably produce the specific dis-ease
Component cause
Factor that contributes towards disease causation, but is not sufficient to cause disease on its own
Necessary Cause
Factor (or component cause) that must be present if a specific dis-ease is to occur
Difference between Sufficient and Component Cause
Component Causes are all the possible causes. Sufficient Causes are the causes that are enough to cause an event
A CAUSAL PIE FOR TB (example)
What are the Component Cause?
What is/are the Necessary Cause?
* We use the association and several other factors to infer causation and intervene to prevent disease
* we can intervene at any number of points in the pie
* knowledge of the complete pathway is not a pre-requisite for introducing preventive measures
Component Cause:
poverty
reduced immunity
poor sanitation
overcrowding
TB Bug
Necessary Cause:
TB Bug
Why do we need to prioritise in health?
- currently not enough money to fund all health problems
- new technologies being developed everyday, incr in medical cost
Where NZ’s health dollar goes (2008)
Total budget for 2013/2014
6% public health
4% administration
26% inpatient curative and rehab care
26% outpatient/home curative and rehab
20% long term nursing
12% medical goods
6% ancillary services
Estabilishing Public Health Priorities
Problem
Solution
Decision Criteria
The problem
who is affected?
how common is it?
size, groups, seriousness
(death rates: cancer (high priority area as first but may not be this list, depending on who you are/where you are looking at))
consider death rates in diff population groups
trends over time of major risk factors in NZ
how serious is it?