Monetization + Pricing Flashcards
What Makes Monetization Hard?
- Sacred Cows, Monetization decisions should not be touched
- Fear, Consumer sensitivity to changes
- Ripple Effects, Monetization is more sensitive than other Growth decisions
- Stakeholders, Monetization decisions have many stakeholders
- Massive Lift, Monetization decisions require massive infrastructure lift.
Monetization Mistakes & Principles
- Mistake: Make monetization decisions with only the business view, it is about value (customers) & price (business). Principle: Align monetization strategy with consumers’ perception of value
- Mistake: Treat monetization as a silo from growth, Monetization is not just the output of growth, but also input Principle: Evaluate the impact of monetization on all elements of growth
- Mistake: Consider all revenue as good revenue Principle: Account for the cost to acquire and retain revenue
- Mistake: Look at monetization as just a price Principle: Understand what we charge for, when we charge, the price, and how price scales
- Mistake: Set-and-forget monetization strategy Principle: Evolve monetization strategy with changing consumers, product and environment
- Mistake: Use monetization as a short-term growth lever Principle: consider long-term implications of monetization levers
Business Hypothesis
- Use Case
1.1 Problem, What is the problem we are solving?
1.2 Persona, Who are we solving that problem for?
1.3 Alternatives, What are their alternatives to solving that problem?
1.4 Why, Why do they choose our product over those alternatives? From motivation and differentiation angle
1.5 Frequency, How often do they have the problem? - Monetization Model
2.1 Scale, how does this price scale with our value metric?
2.2 What, what features or attributes do customers get from each use case?
2.3 Amount, For each use case, how much do we charge for the what? We think about this on an average annual revenue per “customer” per use case. Customer is different from user
2.4 When, For each use case, when do we charge for the what? (Never, Per Transaction, monthly, yearly or every few years)
Monetization Triad
Around the Business Hypothesis, we want to consider the consumer view
So we have
1. Consumer view
2. Growth loops
3. Cost of revenue
Our monetization triad changes over time, creating gaps between it and the business hypothesis
We use model strategies to evolve our monetization model, by changing underlying parts of our use case or monetization model.
We can also improve monetization by optimizing, called optimization strategies.
Value Metrics
- Feature Differentiated
- Usage Value Metric,e.g. Zoom
- Outcome Value Metric. Thumbtack, per lead
Continuous vs Banded
1. Continuous, per every X (user, editor, minute, mile etc)
2. Between X and Y (users, minutes and subscribers)
Model Friction
The elements of our monetization model create friction in our user’s decision to convert, engage, and retain a user case.
2 questions we want to answer
1. How much friction does my monetization model create?
2. Where in my growth model does my monetization model place that friction?
Monetization Friction Spectrum
Low Friction <-> High Friction
Scale: Value metrics are easy to measure and predict vs hard to measure and predict. Generically speaking it’s easier to understand outcome-based value metrics over usage-based value metrics.
What: Feature&Attributes Familiar vs Unfamiliar
Amount: Low AARPC vs High AARPC
When: Never(free) vs Transactional and Monthly Recurring vs Annual Recurring vs Multi-Year Upfront
Measuring Monetization Output
- Understand Monetization Outputs, How do I measure the output of my monetization strategy?
- Analyze High-Level Revenue, How much revenue is our model creating? How much revenue is each of my use cases contributing?
- Break Renevue Down Into Revenue Equation, What are the key variables of our revenue equation? What are the variables by use case?
- Analyze New vs Repeat Revenue, How much new and repeat revenue is our model creating? Where is my new and repeat revenue coming from? How quickly are we converting people into new revenue? What is happening to repeat revenue underneath the hood? Is it expanding or contracting?
Understanding Revenue Types
- Bookings, Revenue that a customer has committed to give you
- Revenue, What we earn in exchange for services provided in a given time period. This is what we mostly care about when we talk about monetization.
- GMV (Gross Merchandise Value), Total value of transactions that happen through transaction platforms
Profitability Metrics
- Margins, Total revenue - Cost to serve
- Net Contribution Margins, Total revenue - Cost to serve - cost to acquire
- Unit Economics, Focusing on a single unit of product, or customer. Uber= Per trip, Figma = Per customer
Revenue vs Profitability
Revenue: Critical to building a large company. Most tech companies in the early days are expected to maintain 100% year over year growth, and as they get large, towards the $100 million per year mark, 50% year over year growth.
Profitability: Long-term sustainability
Things to consider when do trade-off between these two
1. Cost to serve, when companies have cost to serve, and relatively low margins, profitability becomes more important
2. Capital Strategy, companies that can raise money at a low cost are more likely to de-prioritize margins and free cash flows in favor of growth.
3. Growth Loops, When companies have a long-term strategy of building Defensibility loops through network effects, scale or brand they deprioritize margins and focus on Growth until they build the needed scale.
Analyzing Revenue
- Choose a Frequency, How often do we want to look at revenue? Daily, Weekly or Monthly?
1.1 What questions do we want to answer?
1.2 Who is the consumer of this analysis? - Visualize Over time, when comparing, if it is impacted by seasonality, compare the same month not the prior month.
2.1 How is revenue trending over time?
2.2 What is our revenue growth rate on a percentage basis? - Segment by Use Case, e.g. product usage, category or location
Revenue Equation
Revenue = Breadth (Number of paying customers) * Depth ( Total revenue per customer)
Examples
Figma: Revenue = # of Customers * Editors/Customer * Revenue/Editor
Thumbtack: Revenue = # of Pros * # of Leads/Pro * Revenue/Lead
Revenue = # of Customers * # of Projects/Customer * # of Pros Matched/Project * Revenue/Pro Matched
Questions
1. Is our total customer base increasing/decreasing?
2. is the revenue we are getting from each customer increasing/decreasing?
3. If we have multiple dimensions of depth, which dimension is increasing/decreasing?
New vs Repeat Revenue
New Revenue: Revenue from Customers that transacted in this time period but have not transacted in a previous time period.
Repeat Revenue: Revenue from Customers that transacted in this time period and have transacted in a previous time period.
Why do we care?
1. Balance, is key to understanding the health of our product
2. Model Strategies, different strategies will impact new vs repeat differently
3. Optimization Strategies, different strategies align differently to new vs repeat
New Revenue Creation Cohort - Build Cohorts
Build Cohorts
1. Who, who is in the population of our cohorts? Define the starting point of the User Journey, the activation stage.
2. Time Period, How often do we want to look at the cohorts?
3. Revenue vs Customers, Cumulative vs Non-cumulative. Percentage view. Average Revenue Per Account (ARP[X]) helps us normalize the revenue cohorts as the size of the cohorts change, X = lead, user, etc
New Revenue Creation Cohort - Analyze
- High Level, What are my key metrics, like Time Based Conversion, Time Based ARP[X]?
- Individual Cohorts, How is new revenue creation trending over time?
- Segmentation, Are there segments that are performing much better or worse than others?
Repeat Revenue Cohort - Build Cohort
The worse your revenue retention, the more new revenue you need to acquire to maintain growth. Leaky bucket concept.
CAC is always going up
Helps us understand how we are retaining dollars over time once we convert someone into a paying customer
- Who, Who do we include at the start of the cohort? When the first time converting to a paid customer
- New Revenue, How much new revenue did the cohort of users start with?
- Time Frequency, What time frequency do we want to look at for the cohorts?
- Non-Cumulative Revenue, How much revenue is the cohort generating in each time period? % view
Repeat Revenue Cohort - Analyze Cohorts
Break down revenue retention cohorts to understand key metrics like net revenue retention
- High level, is my revenue retention healthy or unhealthy?
1.1 Time-based Net Revenue Retention
1.1.1 Influencing Factors
1.1.1.1 Acquisition Motion, Is your strategy to capture smaller value up front, and expand over time? Or is it to capture more value upfront, and maintain that amount over time?
1.1.1.2 Company Stage, What stage is your company? What is your forward-looking strategy?
1.1.1.3 Market Turnover, Does your market have a lot of natural market turnover?
1.2 Time-based Customer Retention
1.3 Time-based ARPC - Individual Cohorts, how is revenue retention trending over time?
- Segmentation, Are there segments that are performing better or worse than others?
Repeat Revenue Cohort - Define & Analyze States
How repeat revenue can move in a number of different directions, and how that impacts your total repeat revenue
Different States
1. Existing, Dollars transacted in the last time period
2. Expansion, The increase in dollars that customers spent from the previous time period.
3. Contraction, The decrease in dollars that customers spent from the previous time period.
4. Churn
5. Resurrection
4 Steps to Define and Analyze
1. Define Repeat Revenue States
2. High-Level Analysis
2.1 Growth Accounting Bar Chart
2.2 Growth Accounting Line Chart
3. Individual Cohorts
3.1 We can also compare different revenue states from different cohort charts against each other
4. Segmentations
Cost of Revenue
- Acquisition Costs, Increase with number of customers we acquire, but doesn’t scale with revenue from each customer
- Costs to Serve, Scale with revenue or variables of the revenue equation
- Fixed Costs, Decrease as you grow but also don’t grow with revenue or the variables of the revenue equation
Cost to Serve
Cost Categories
1. Physical Product
2. Logistics
3. Product Dev, & Maintenance
4. Storage & Hosting
5. Customer Support
6. Program & Tooling
7. Partnerships & Integrations
Ways Costs Can Scale
1. Variable, Costs scale in a linear fashion with revenue
2. Semi-Variable, Costs scale non-linearly with revenue but grow as revenue grows
3. Non-Variable, Some costs don’t scale with revenue
Margins = Revenue - Cost to Serve
Margin Percentage = Dollar Margin / Revenue
How are our margins trending over time?
How are margins trending by use cases?
Cost to Acquire
Categories of Acquisition Costs
1. Ad Costs
2. Referral Cost
3. People Cost
4. Tooling & Program Cost
5. Misc. Marketing Cost
Net Contribution Margin = Margin - Cost to Acquire
Payback Period
The time our NCM is positive is the payback period
Analyze Payback Period
Health or unhealth?
By cohorts?
By segments
Changes to our Monetization Triad
- Product, Products introduce new features, improve their user experience etc.
- Market, Competitive landscape changes, market needs evolve
- Audience, Products expand target audience, enter new geographies etc.
- Business, Underlying technology evolves, legal and policy changes affect businesses
Value Metrics - Survey Methodologies
Ranking Surveys
Pros: Easiest to create and implement
Cons: Difficult to interpret the results and take action
Max-Diff Surveys
Pros: Provides a stronger signal of what users value and don’t value
Cons: Incomplete picture of how users evaluate different options - only understand the best/worst
Conjoint Analysis
Pros: Survey simulates actual behavior so the results are most actionable
Cons: The setup and analysis required are more resource-heavy than other methodologies