america politics part 2 Flashcards
(163 cards)
where does the money go in campaign finance with organisation ?
organisation does mean staff their salaries and adminstrive costs. These range from lower paid administrative staff to specialist political consultants, campaign managers and strategists.
-in 2020 biden promised that all his campaign staff would be paid a minimum hourly rate of $15 as well as full healthcare and sick leave benefits, although specialist staff come rather than more expensive.
where does the money go in campaign finance with organisation?
-in total salaries and administration/ travel make up a relatively small percentage of campaign expenditure.
-they consumed just over 10% of Biden overall 2020 campaign budget, though that still equated for over %50 million.
campaign also tend to hold money back to retain lawyers should they need to challenge any results after election day.
where does the money go in campaigning in campaign finance?
campaign see candidates travelling from state to state, so the costs are venue hire, travel, hotel accommodation and the like. These can range from the entirely predictable to the slightly more unexpected.
-during the democrat campaign phase for example Biden spent $12, 075 on food from the los angeles based got paella.
-2020 campaign did generally see rather less spent than usual on internal travel as fewer rallies and events were held across the country due to covid 19.
where does the money go in campaigning in campaign finance?
one could include the costs of internal polling as candidates do try to use polls to target exactly where to spend their valuable campaign time.
-a certain amount does go to badges, stickers and other paraphernalia, though as much of it is sold to the party faithful it also raises money for the campaign coffee.
where does the money go in the media in campaign finance?
-it is where a huge amount of money does go around 67% in the case of trumps campaign expenditure and over 80% in the case of biden.
-this is not just tv side but also increasingly those on social media as well as the more traditional roadside billboards.
-the deployment of such resources is increasingly sophisticated.
where does the money go in the media in campaign finance?
voters in swing states are not only subjected to a constant diet of political ads while watching television or engaging with social media but also increasingly micro targeted.
-for example in Florida the biden campaign bought ads specifically targeting Puerto rican voters and the Mexican American community in arizona.
-trump campaign meanwhile spent $11 million on an ad focused on his achievements with criminal justice reform that aired during the super bowl, a significant event
-one estimate calculated that 2020 would see 8 million broadcast airings of political ads an increase from 5.5 million in 2018.
what did south Carolina congressman mick Mulvaney say about campaign finance?
He admitted to a conference of 1,300 bankers in 2018 that ‘ we have a hierarchy in my office in congress. If your a lobbyist who never gave us money i didn’t talk to you. If your a lobbyist who gave us money. I might talk to you.’.
what are examples that show a incumbent president have a higher chance of becoming president?
eight of the last 12 presidential elections have featured an incumbent president seeking another term.
-one was 1976 general election in which Gerald ford stood for re election but food had arrived in the oval office through appointment rather than election
-he as appointed vice president in 1973 when vice president spiro angew resigned, he was then appointed president in 1974 when Richard Nixon resigned
-ford lost narrowly to jimmy carter
-of the remaining seven election bids four were successful and only three unsuccessful. this does suggest the power of incumbency is strong.
what figures do show that the power of incumbency is strong?
since 1976 32 president have run for re election of these 22 (69) of them have won and only 11 lost, donald trump is an example in 2020.
-defeating an incumbent president is hard, unless he fails to have the undivided support of his own party
-Three modern day presidents to be defeated fro re election gerald ford (1976) jimmy carter ( 1980 )George h.w bush (1992)
who were the last three president modern day president defeated by?
Gerald ford was challenged in the primaries by Ronald regan jimmy carter by senator Edward Kennedy and George h.w bush by conservative commentator pat Buchannan.
All three president were damaged by goods by the time they faced their general election opponent.
In contrast most incumbent president such as bill Clinton ( 1996), George hw bush ( 2004) barack obama (2012) and Donald trump ( 2020) can conserve their time energy and money during the primaries while the candidates of the challenging party wear themselves out and expend vast sums of money just winning the nomination.
what do president that aren’t incumbent president know before running for election?
-America default position tends to be to re elect incumbent president while candidates from the challenging party know that they are likely to face an uphill battle.
-this produce a knock on effect of discouraging better known and potentially stronger candidates from throwing their hats into the ring when an incumbent is standing for the other party. Weaker candidates with less chance of winning do attract less money.
-recent exception to this was Donald trump. Unlike other incumbent president trump did go largely unchallenged in the republican primaries.
-his defeat was down to the exceptional circumstances of covid 19 pandemic and critisms of his handling of it, and his own controversial style and persona.
what are the advantages of an incumbent president?
-fundraising incumbent president do not have to fund a campaign to be the nominated candidate as they face no serious challenger. They also have to be an established donor base from their first election campaign. But this was not an advantage to the incumbent in 2020 when Biden heavily outraised trump and outspent trump.
-experience of the campaign The incumbent president has been there and done that and has experience of winning a Presidental campaign.
what are the advantages of incumbent presidents?
single candidate the incumbent is often unchallenged from within their parties or such challenges are minor. The challenger faces a gruelling primary/ caucus season that can exhaust the challenger, use up valuable campaign funds and even divide the opposing party.
-risk aversion If history is a guide’s American voters are unwilling to change as only 11 presidents have failed to win re-election when they have attempted to. compounded with part polarisation this does mean that an incumbent is less likely to lose unless something significant does occur for example the exceptional circumstances of the 2020 pandemic covid 19.
What are the advantages that an incumbent president does have?
name recognition, the incumbent candidate will be well known for the electorate which gives them a clear media advantage. It is during the first term presidents can address the nation and highlight their achievements and proven leadership qualities
-executive position. Presidents can use their position to benefit key groups and swing states or announce popular measures before the election for example Obama did announce the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan in 2011.
what disadvantages can an incumbent president have?
unforeseen events. They can get the blame if things go wrong. As well as presiding over a weak economy carter faced further problems with foreign policy debacle when 52 Americans were held hostage in Iran for the entire final year of his presidency.
-George w bush lost the major architect of his successful 1988 campaign. lee Atwater who had died in 1991
-in 1992 election bush had to face a significant third party challenger when ross Perot a maverick entered the race. Perot won 19% of the popular vote and although it does remain an debate as to whether Perot cost bush the election, his presence did not assist the incumbent president.
what unforseen events were seen to disadvantage an incumbent president in 2020?
in 2020 the covid 19 pandemic did damage trump chance at re election. The huge challengers that covid 19 posed to all world leaders should not be underestimated.
-the usa did face a lack of clear and consistent message from its nation leader.
-trump did often appear to veer from denying the seriousness of the crisis to blaming the Chinese for the pandemic and demanding that they be held accountable.
-He also tended to overstate the success that his administration was having in managing the crisis. It often appeared that charts of infection rates and deaths did tell one story, while the president preferred ‘ alternative factors’.
-in a time of national crisis voters did not look for his attitude.
what are the advantages to an incumbent president?
They can have more publicity and sell their message. The rose garden strategy in which the president addresses the nation highlights the importance of the incumbent work. Obama speech on the death of us officials in benghazi in 2012 did highlight his role as commander in chief at the time of great national significance.
what an advantage to an incumbent president?
incumbent presidents do not usually face a primary challenge. Challengers often face a long bitter and expensive battle in which they are attacked by members of their own party. Romney faced this in 2012 when one of his defeated opponents ron paul continued to attack Romney at the party convention.
However it can be seen as a disadvantage as if incumbent president do not face primary challenges, this can be omen for presidential bids. in 1992 george w bush won a primary challenge but lost the election. Primaries may give a challenger the opportunity to show political strength and to take media focus away from the incumbent president.
what is a disadvantage to an incumbent president?
-money does not guarantee success. Jed bush raised record amounts in the 2016 republican primary but still lost. Clinton outspent trump in 2016 but lost. Also popularity could raise money not the other way around perhaps Obama raised more than romeny as he was more popular.
what is a disadvantage to an incumbent president?
Others can exploit the media. Presidential television debates allow challengers to impress on voters their advantage over a president regean put carter in his place in a television debate performance. Asking the audience is they were better off than they were four years ago and commenting ‘there you go
what is a disadvantage to an incumbent presidency?
Being in the white house can be double edges president can receive praise but also blame when things go wrong. Obama had to counter accusations of leadership features over health care reform. The falling economy under president George bush and his subsequent willingness to compromise on his famous campaign promise ( ‘’ read m lips no new taxes’’) helped his demise.
why is the final enumerated power the most significant?
It does give congress the right to make all laws ‘necessary and proper ‘ to carry outs its responsibilities. This has become known as the ‘elastic clause’ as it has enabled congress to ‘stretch’ beyond it enumerated powers to additional implied powers-enabling it to address issues that could be foreseen when the constition was written.
why was the presidency( the executive branch of government) established?
-it was established under the constition primarily to conduct foreign policy and to implement laws passed by congress.
Most of the specific presidential responsibilities outlined in the constition relate to foreign policy as this was the area where president would play a leading role. However in the age of Salling ships with over 3,000 miles of ocean between the usa and its enemies it was not expected that this would be a significant role.
what does the constition say in relation to powers?
In domestic affairs the constition only specifically mentions the president having the power to pardon and to suggest legislative priorities having the power to pardon and to suggest alternative priorities to congress in the annual state of the union address.
Otherwise there seemed to be an exception that the president would play a second role of serving congress, ensuring that the legislature will was carried out. As a result the president was given the vague power to ‘faithfully execute’ national laws which like the ‘elastic clause’ has been the basis of substantial increases in power of time.