Chapter 16: Probability Models Flashcards
(13 cards)
Bernoulli Trials (Binomial)
- Only two possible outcomes (binary): success/failure
- Probability of success is the same on every trial and is denoted by p; probability of failure is denoted by q=1-p
- Each trials of a random process is independent; Bernoulli trials are based on a single trial
Binomial Distribution Conditions
Binary - success/fail
Independent trials
Number of trials is fixed (n)
Same probability of success (p)
Binomial Random Variable
Random variable X = the number of successes in a binomial setting
Binomial Distribution
The probability distribution of a binomial random variable X
Binompdf By-Hand Formula
P(X=x) = nCxp^x(1-p)^(n-x)
Mean Of A Binomial Random Variable
μ=np
Standard Deviation Of A Binomial Random Variable
σ=squareroot(np[1-p])
Normal Model Approximation Of Binomial Model
A normal model N(μ,σ) would be appropriate to approximate a binomial model B(μ,σ) if and only if np≥10 and nq≥10 (np = # of successes, nq = # of failures)
Geometric Distribution Conditions
Binary - success/failure
Independent trials of the same random process
First success
Same probability of success (p)
Mean Of A Geometric Random Variable
μ=1/p
Standard Deviation Of A Geometric Random Variable
σ=(squareroot[1-p])/p
Binomial Mean Interpretation
“After many, many trials the average # of [success context] out of [n] is [μX].”
Binomial Standard Deviation Interpretation
“The number of [success context] out of [n] typically varies by [σX] from the mean of [μX].”