Chapter 2: The Decision Matrix Flashcards
Before making a decision, you should decided what are the relevant ___________, __________, and _____________.
acts; states; outcomes
Decision Matrix
Visualizes a formal representation of a decision problem, graphically.
Decision Tree
- More convenient than Decision Matrix
- Visualizes a formal representation of a decision problem, graphically.
Decision Tree Structure
1) Choice Node (square): You decide to go up or down.
2) Chance Node (circle): Acts
– intermittent: states–
3) Possible Outcomes (squares)
Decision trees represent…
sequential decision problems.
If you want to add more to the decision tree, you add to the rightmost __________ (leaves).
boxes
3 Levels of Abstraction w/ Decision Matrices / Trees
1) Decision Problem
2) Formalization of Decision Problem
3) Visualization of the Formalization.
Formalization of Decision Problem
- Made of information about decision being made
- Comprised of information on decision problem’s acts, states, & outcomes.
How should we symbolize decision problems?
We should prefer to symbolize decision problems as Decisions Under Risk (we know the potential outcomes), NOT Decisions Under Ignorance.
Vector
Ordered List of Mathematical Objects
1st Vector: Acts
2nd Vector: States
3rd Vector: Outcomes
State
Part of the world that is not an act or an outcome.
It is _________ a good idea to formalize your decision problem ___________ using ___________.
NOT; without; states
**The __________ of an outcome should be ___________ ____________ of whether or not the __________ actually occurs.
value; casually independent; state
Outcomes of decision problems HAVE to be ____________ from _________ to __________.
ranked; worst; best
Utilities (Value)
(aka Values until Ch. 5)
Numbers that assign comparative evaluations of value.
Ordinal Scale
- Measure objects without making comparisons to differences and ratios between measurement points across all transformations of scale.
- Numbers merely reflect preferfable qualitative ranking, not the degree of HOW MUCH you prefer one thing over another.
- Doesn’t specify the quantitative distance between numerical rankings.
Ordinal Scales are ______________ up to ________________ ________________ _____________. This means ____________ of the _____________ in the original scale of the objects is ______________. This change is represented by “___(___) ≥ ____(___) if and only if ____ ≥ _____.”
invariant; positive monotone transformation; order; outcomes; preserved; f(x) ≥ f(y); x ≥ y.
Cardinal Scales
- Embody more information than cardinal scales.
- Measure objects numerically, and all differences and ratios between measurement points are preserved across transformations of scale.
Interval Scales
- Measure objects numerically, and preserves (& accurately reflects) all differences between measurement points across transformation of scale.
Unlike ____________ scales, interval scales aren’t based on _____________ / _____________ ranking.
Ordinal; qualitative; preferential
Interval Scales are ____________ up to _____________ ______________ ______________. This means the ____________ of the ___________ in the scale will be preserved across transformation if the scale values are multiplied by a _______________ number added by a ____________. This preserves the scale without ____________ or ______________ anything. This can be represented by “____=___ ____ + ____
invariant; positive linear transformation; ordering; outcomes; positive; constant; gaining; losing; y=ax+b
f’(x)= k * f(x) + m
A function ____ that returns a real number _____ is an __________ ______________ iff. condition 1 [ __(__) ≥ ___(__) iff. ___ ≥ ___ ] is met AND for every function _____ there is a positive number ___ and a constant ____. This is represented by ___(__)= ___ * __(__) + __. This represents all transformations that are _________________ under positive linear transformation.
f; x; interval scale; f(x) ≥f (y); f’; k; m; f’(x)= k * f(x) + m; PERMISSABLE
Interval Scales accurately reflect _____________, NOT _________.
differences; ratios
For a positive linear transformation to be permissable for in interval scale, the ratio of ____________ between _____________ ____________ must be preserved.
differences; measurement points