Chapter 6 Flashcards
Sampling Strategies (45 cards)
sample
subset of population selected for study
sampling
process of deciding what/ who to include in sample
target population
social scientists want to make generalizations about (specific, abstract, non-human aka corporations)
population parameters
represents true value of population (hard bc of time, resources, frequency and limits # of questions)
census
study that includes data on every member of a population
sampling strategy means that the observed value is….
true value + systematic error + random error
types of errors
systematic (can’t be estimated, only discuss direction of bias)
random (unbiased, can be estimated using stats)
probability sample needs _____ to remove ______ and estimate _____.
random selection
systematic errors
random errors
probability sampling steps
identify
- target population
- sample size
- sampling frame
select sampling process
- simple random or
systematic
- cluster
- stratified
sampling frame
list of members to draw from for sample
simple random sampling & problem
everyone has same probability of being selected (same with each pair)
use random # generator
problem: may be nonrepresentative
systematic sampling & problem
everyone has same probability
randomly select first one, then every nth gets picked
problem: order may create bias, consecutive cases won’t be selected
cluster sampling & advantage
no available sampling frame
divide target population into clusters
select clusters randomly
get sampling frame for selected clusters then select people randomly from each cluster
advantage: improves feasibility and lowers $$$
stratified sampling & advantage
obtain sampling frame then divide population into strata, select people randomly from all strata, # of people reflects population from each strata
advantage: prevent samples from being non-representative due to chance and oversample small groups
weighting
how much each person in sample counts
oversampled = less weight
formula to calculate weight
population size OVER sample size
post survey weighting (response rate & nonresponse) calculation
Response rate = # responses OVER # of invitations x 100%
nonresponse = 100 - Response rate (can create systematic error)
what can nonresponse rate create?
systematic errors
why use probability sampling?
unbiased and the difference between sample estimate and population parameters is due to random chance
(no systematic errors and estimate random sampling errors)
margin of error
amount of uncertainty in estimate. equals distance between estimate and boundary of confidence interval
square root of sample size
how to calculate confidence interval and the mean
CI: lower bound = mean - MOE
upper bound = mean + MOE
Mean = lower + upper divided by 2
A poll estimates the 95% confidence interval of support for a
senatorial candidate to be between 39% and 43%
- find centre of confidence interval
- upper bound - middle = MOE
larger sample size means ____
smaller MOE
what type of error is margin of error?
random error