DECK 13 Flashcards

(9 cards)

1
Q

What are the Challenges Facing Humanity?

A
  1. Climate change
  2. Rise of autocracy, erosion of democracy and human rights
  3. Nuclear Proliferation, saber rattling
  4. Poverty
  5. Pandemics
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2
Q

What is needed to understand ENERGY?

A

Knowledge of History, institutions, politics, and geopolitics

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3
Q

What are some lessons from history?

A
  • Autocracies, one-party states, dictatorship can sustain themselves for lengthy periods
  • Recovery of freedom can be costly (WW2 deaths were about 50 million)
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4
Q

What are some constraining power, checks and balances?

A
  • Freedom of speech and an independent media
  • Separation of religion and the state
  • Separation of powers
  • Widely distributed private property
  • Principle of subsidiary
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5
Q

How can we understand long-term geopolitical forces and risks

A

Institutional Structures

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6
Q

Talk about Autocracy

A
  • Autocracies are aligning to oppose democracies
  • XI jinping has further concentrated power
  • Iran repression of women and dissenters
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7
Q

Talk about Democracies being at risk

A
  • Hungary, Victor Orban
  • Turkey, Erdogan
  • India, Modi and the rise of Hindutva
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8
Q

What are some examples of concentration of power in non-democracies?

A
  • Russia under Putin
  • China under Xi Jinping
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9
Q

What are some examples of energy as a central strategic objective?

A
  • Japan and Pearl Harbour
  • Nazi Germany and the oilfields of Caucasus
  • Post WW2, the Cold War and Middle East Oil
  • 21st century and rare earths
  • Russia and natural gas supplies to Europe
  • Russia tries to destroy as much energy infrastructure in Ukraine as possible
  • China, rare earths, supply chains
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