// lecture 28 Flashcards
(41 cards)
there are two ice sheets in the world:
- Greenland: 7 m sea level equivalent
- Antarctica: 61 m sea level equivalent
ice sheets gains
mass from snow on top and loses mass from melting and calving of icebergs.
- both loss and gain are increasing (increased precipitation at high latitudes).
- Greenland is losing mass though.
overall, ice sheet losses
are exceeding gains in Greenland. Also losses from calving have accelerated in the last 10 years.
Greenland is very big though -
it took tens of thousands of years to grow and at the current rates it would take many thousands of years to melt.
- now it’s contributing less than 10% of the sea level rise.
Could Greenland ice loss accelerate?
maybe because more melting causes larger melt ponds meltwater can fall through the cracks and make it to the bedrock below.
- water dripping through could cause it to stick to the bottom less and flow faster (moulin - hole in ice).
- still unclear how relevant this is in causing recent accelerations of calving.
A 2 C temp. rise would almost certainly
melt Greenland (eventually). this would likely take centuries though.
Currently, Greenland melting is a
small contribution to sea level rise. this is likely to become a larger percentage in the future though.
Antarctica has two giant
and many smaller, ice shelves.
ice shelves
float, but are connected to the sheet.
acceleration of melt has occurred in
w. antarctica recently. even more acceleration than in greenland.
glaciers along W. Antarctica’s Amundsen Sea would
raise sea levels by 1.2 m if they melted.
Antarctica has experienced relatively
small warming to this point, except the bits near South America.
- this was long ago forecast by climate models.
- strong jet stream keeps warmer air out of high latitudes.
- also ocean nearby takes up a lot of heat.
- no sea ice decrease has happened in Antarctica either. although, nearly all Antarctic sea ice melts each summer anyways.
East Antarctic is not
warming, but West Antarctic is warming.
Ice shelves reduce
calving by buttressing the ice.
Antarctica’s icy surfaces are
very cold, but warming in the surrounding ocean is a problem for the shelf base.
Ice shelf collapse can
then lead to acceleration of calving.
Antarctica has the most
land ice (61 m of potential sea level rise), but East. Antarctica (the big part) is thought to be safe.
West Antarctica is potentially dangerous:
5 m sea level rise.
- much of the w. antarctic ice sheet is under sea level so warmer ocean water could get in and melt much more after melting starts.
- recent studies (modeling) suggest that the melting of several large ice shelves is underway and unstoppable. Twaites would account for 3-4 m of the sea level rise.
- would take hundreds up to a thousand years to complete the process.
UW and NASA work indicate that the Twaites ice shelf is already
unstable and will slide into the sea and melt, but it might take 500 years. 1-2 m of sea level.
Twaites ice stream and Pine Island Glacier
are being undermined by ocean water.
undermining process
each day 8 cubic miles of warm ocean water circulate under the Pine Island ice shelf. that water melts and thins the ice from beneath, causing the glacier to slide more quickly into the ocean.
Presently melting mountain glaciers are contributing
more to sea level rise than Greenland and Antarctica combined. probably won’t be the case in 50 years (ice sheets are much bigger).
mass balance of a mountain glacier:
gain due to snowfall, loss due to melting, sublimination.
mountain glaciers don’t lose mass due to
breaking off chunks into the sea.