lecture 6 Flashcards
(28 cards)
Analytic studies generally test
hypotheses regarding causal effects.
Did exposure cause disease?
Did the treatment cause an improvement?
Aim in a research study is to
Our aim in a research study is to obtain a reliable estimate of the impact of the intervention or exposure on the outcome of interest.
isolate the exposure/intervention to obtain a reliable estimate `
What do you need in a hypothesis to make it specific enough?
Defined population
a quantity of the variable
a time frame
this gives us enough information for us to test it in a controlled environment
Relative risk
ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group.
measures the association between the exposure and the outcome
RR = 1 means
no relationship - not protective/beneficial/harmful effect
null value of RR is
1
Sources of error in analytic studies - For the estimate of RR from the study sample
Study design and conduct
Sources of error in analytic studies - for the true RR in the population
Inference ….
- confounding
- bias
- chance (random variation)
Confounding
Confounding is a distortion of the association between exposure and outcome caused by the presence of a third factor (one or more additional factors that is not measured).
Confounder
a variable which causes confounding/this distortion
also known as a lurking variable - can give illusion of an effect of something when there is not
To be a confounder, a variable must be both
associated with the exposure (independent of outcome); and
associated with the outcome (independent of exposure);
What does a good study do?
Isolate effect, control everything else so that the thing that is being measured can just be associated with the treatment/exposure
What happens to the causal pathway off there is a confounder present?
causal pathway (which shows the association) disappears if effect is caused by the confounder
When might we get confounding in an intervention study?
Poor selection of people
Bias types in an analytic study
selection bias and information bias
Systematic error in analytic studies =
bias specifically selection bias and information bias
Selection bias
poor selection of participants
Systematic error arising from the way participants are selected for inclusion in the study.
In an analytic study, selection bias occurs if the selection processes cause a systematic difference between the groups of participants selected for the study.
Prospective analytic studies rarely obtain participants through random sampling from a population. The issue of representativeness must be considered, but for analytic studies we consider it a generalisability issue rather than bias - ensure that when you draw your conclusion you look at your hypothesis to see how much you can hypothesise
Why are cohort studies more susceptible to confounders?
due to selection bias
Information bias
Systematic error arising from the way study information is obtained, interpreted and recorded.
In an analytic study, information bias is a particular problem if there are systematic differences in the information obtained from groups under comparison in the study.
Information bias may be introduced by the: Observer Study individual (respondent) Instruments used to collect the data (e.g. badly-designed questionnaire) Missing measurements (e.g. from loss to follow-up in a prospective study)
Non response and its relationship to information and selection bias
non-response to a measurement is generally considered information bias, whereas non-response to participation in the study can be considered a selection bias.
Example of information bias
Interviewers different and have different levels of interviewing (some hard card, some only ask once and move on etc) therefore combat by randomising which interviewer gets assigned to each participant so the enthusiastic interviewer is interviewing roughly the same amount of participants in each group
Example of selection bias
selection method is biased for some reason, something causes a systematic difference in who is assigned to each group
Classification by purpose of study
Descriptive (describe things) vs. analytic (testing hypotheses).
Classification by form of the design
Experimental (researcher intervenes) vs. observational (researcher observes).