Probability_Flashcards__Q_A_Only_
(24 cards)
What is the addition of probability formula for mutually exclusive events?
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B)
What is the addition of probability formula for non disjoint?
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
What is the general formula for addition rule?
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
What is the multiplication of probability formula for independent events?
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)
What is the (a and b) formula for dependent events?
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B|A)
What is the formula for conditional probability?
P(B|A) = P(A and B) / P(A)
What is a key property of mutually exclusive events?
P(A ∩ B) = 0
When are two events independent?
P(A|B) = P(A) and P(B|A) = P(B)
What is the formula for relative risk? Stats
RR = P(A|B) / P(A|Bc)
What do contingency tables summarize?
Relationships between two categorical variables
What is the purpose of probability trees?
To visualize sequences of events and their probabilities
What do Venn diagrams show?
Relationships between events, including overlaps. 2 circles, if they are not overlapping then they are disjoint, no pr of them happening at once
What is a common mistake in probability calculations?
Forgetting to subtract overlaps in the addition rule
Is conditional probability symmetric?
No, P(A|B) ≠ P(B|A)
What is the probability of an event not occurring?
P(A’) = 1 - P(A)
How do we find the probability of 1st class given survival?
Restrict attention to survivors and find the fraction in 1st class
How does smoking affect lung cancer probability?
P(C|S) = 0.53, P(C|S’) = 0.13
What is the probability that a car is not made in the US?
P = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6
How is the probability of success calculated?
Weighted sum of probabilities across categories
Are independent and disjoint events the same?
No, independent events can co-occur; disjoint events cannot
What visual tools help solve probability problems?
Probability trees and Venn diagrams
What does a probability tree show?
Branching probabilities of sequences of events
When should you use P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B|A)?
When events are dependent
What is the probability of rolling two heads in two coin flips?
P = 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25