week 5 flashcards

(34 cards)

1
Q

What is a random variable (RV)?

A

A function that assigns numerical values to outcomes of a random process.

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2
Q

Expected Value (Mean) of X?

A

E[X] = Σ x P(x)

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3
Q

Variance Formula?

A

Var[X] = E[(X - μ)^2] p[x]

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4
Q

Standard Deviation Formula?

A

SD[X] = √Var[X]

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5
Q

What happens when you add/subtract a constant C to X?

A

Mean shifts: E[X + C] = E[X] + C, but variance remains the same.

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6
Q

What happens when you multiply X by a constant C?

A

Mean scales: E[aX] = aE[X], Variance scales: Var[aX] = a²Var[X]

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7
Q

What are Bernoulli trials?

A

Repeated experiments with 2 outcomes (success/failure).

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8
Q

Geometric Distribution Formula?

A

P(X = k) = (1 - p)^(k - 1) p

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9
Q

Expected value of a Geometric RV?

A

E[X] = 1/p

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10
Q

Variance of a Geometric RV?

A

Var[X] = (1 - p) / p²

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11
Q

Binomial Distribution Formula?

A

P(X = k) = (n choose k) p^k (1 - p)^(n - k)

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12
Q

Expected value of Binomial RV?

A

E[X] = np

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13
Q

Variance of Binomial RV?

A

Var[X] = np(1 - p)

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14
Q

Poisson Distribution Formula?

A

P(X = n) = (e^(-λ) λ^n) / n!

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15
Q

Expected value of Poisson RV?

A

E[X] = λ

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16
Q

Variance of Poisson RV?

17
Q

What is the Normal Distribution?

A

A bell-shaped curve defined by mean μ and standard deviation σ.

18
Q

Standard Normal Distribution Formula?

A

Z = (X - μ) / σ

19
Q

What is the Exponential Distribution?

A

Models time until the next event in a Poisson process.

20
Q

Exponential Distribution Formula?

A

P(X ≤ t) = 1 - e^(-λ t)

21
Q

Sum of two independent RVs?

A

E[X + Y] = E[X] + E[Y], Var[X + Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y]

22
Q

What happens when you subtract two RVs?

A

Expected value subtracts, but variance always adds: Var[X - Y] = Var[X] + Var[Y]

23
Q

Probability of rolling exactly 3 sixes in 10 rolls?

A

Use Binomial: P(X = k) = (n choose k) p^k (1 - p)^(n - k)

24
Q

Website gets 4 visitors per minute. Probability of exactly 5 visitors in a minute?

A

Use Poisson: P(X = 5) = (e^(-4) 4^5) / 5!

25
If X is multiplied by 3, how does variance change?
Var[3X] = 3² Var[X] = 9Var[X]
26
What does variance measure?
Spread of values around the mean.
27
When do you use a Binomial model?
When counting successes in fixed trials.
28
When do you use a Poisson model?
When counting events over time/space.
29
What does the standard deviation tell us?
The average deviation from the mean.
30
What does the Normal model assume?
Data is bell-shaped and symmetric.
31
Why does a Poisson model work for rare events?
Events happen randomly over time/space.
32
How does adding a constant affect variance?
It doesn’t change variance, only shifts the mean.
33
What is the rule for variances of independent sums?
Always add variances, even for subtraction.
34
What happens to a Poisson process when λ increases?
Events happen more frequently.