WEEK 6 Flashcards
(39 cards)
What is a continuous random variable?
A variable that can take any value within an interval (e.g., height, temperature). Unlike discrete variables, continuous values are measured, not counted.
Key difference between discrete and continuous probability?
Discrete: specific values; Continuous: infinite possible values within a range.
What is a Probability Density Function (PDF)?
A function that describes the relative likelihood of a continuous variable. Probability is found as an area under the curve, not a specific point.
Why is P(X = x) = 0 for continuous variables?
Because a single point has zero width, meaning zero probability. Probability only applies to intervals.
What are the two key properties of a PDF?
1) f(x) ≥ 0 (never negative) 2) The total area under the curve = 1 (100% probability).
Formula for calculating probability in continuous distributions?
P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = ∫[a,b] f(x) dx
Define the Uniform Distribution.
A distribution where all values in an interval are equally likely. The PDF is flat and constant.
Uniform Distribution PDF (not CDF) formula?
f(x) = 1 / (b - a), a ≤ x ≤ b
Uniform Distribution Mean Formula?
E(X) = (a + b) / 2
Uniform Distribution Variance Formula?
Var(X) = (b - a)^2 / 12
Example: A robot restarts every 20 minutes. If you arrive at a random time, what is the probability you wait less than 5 minutes?
P(X < 5) = (5 - 0) / (20 - 0) = 0.25 (Wait time is uniformly distributed U(0,20)).
P(X<x) = (x-a)/ (b-a)
X = random variable
a = minimum possible value of x
b = the maximm possible value of X
x - the time threshold were interested in
What is the Normal Distribution?
A bell-shaped, symmetric distribution, defined by mean μ and standard deviation σ.
Normal Distribution PDF Formula?
f(x) = (1 / (σ sqrt(2π))) * e^(-(x - μ)^2 / (2σ^2))
Why is the Normal Distribution important?
Many natural phenomena follow it, and the Central Limit Theorem states that large sample means tend to be normally distributed.
Key properties of a Normal Distribution?
Symmetric, bell-shaped, unbounded, and defined by μ (mean) and σ (spread).
What is the Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7 Rule)?
68% of values are within 1σ of the mean. 95% are within 2σ. 99.7% are within 3σ.
Example: SAT scores follow N(500, 100). What percentage of students score between 400 and 600?
400 and 600 are 1 standard deviation away, so 68% of scores are in this range (Empirical Rule).
What is a Z-score?
A measure of how many standard deviations a value is from the mean.
Z-score Formula?
Z = (X - μ) / σ
What does a negative Z-score mean?
The value is below the mean. Example: Z = -1.5 means 1.5 standard deviations below the mean.
What does a positive Z-score mean?
The value is above the mean. Example: Z = 2 means 2 standard deviations above the mean.
Example: If μ = 70, σ = 5, find the Z-score for X = 80.
Z = (80 - 70) / 5 = 2
How do we use a Z-table?
Find the area (probability) under the normal curve to the left of the Z-score.
Example: SAT scores follow N(500, 100). Find P(X > 600).
Z = (600 - 500) / 100 = 1, then lookup P(Z < 1) = 0.8413, so P(X > 600) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587 (15.87%).