Topic 11: Tyranny of Talent

Question 1

Why is identifying talent so difficult?

Answer 1

1. Lack of appropriate talent models.
   
   • Talent isn’t the only thing, mental and physical aspects are often ignored in the models.
2. Over-simplification of the process
   
   • The picture is incomplete, rarely include that were bad that became good. (i.e. Martin St-Louis)

Question 2

How do we improve to identify talent?

Answer 2

1. Better theory
   
   • Multi-component frameworks
2. Superior Measurements of Key Variables
   
   • Training Self-Efficacy
   • Self-Regulation of Sport Practice
3. Longitudinal Modelling and Tracking
   
   • Draft Accuracy
   • Talent Forecasting
4. Understand Bias in Data/Result Interpretation
   
   • Cognitive bias