Week 12 - Adaptive Planning - Interventions given uncertainty

Question 1

Define robust in terms of uncertainty and adaptive planning

Answer 1

When something is suitable across a range of futures

Question 2

For adaptive planning, in what order should action be taken?

Answer 2

Signal, Trigger, and Threshold

Question 3

What is a Signal?

Answer 3

A warning of change emerging.

Question 4

What is a Trigger?

Answer 4

A condition with enough lead time to implement the next stage in the plan.

Question 5

What is a Threshold?

Answer 5

When policies or actions would no longer reach the objectives of the adaptive plan.

Question 6

What should be on the x-axis of a metro map diagram?

Answer 6

A changing condition.

Question 7

Give examples of uncertainties.

Answer 7

Population growth, rate of sea level rise, future flooding events, etc.

Question 8

What does DAPP stand for?

Answer 8

Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways

Question 9

What are the adapative planning steps in order (7 stages)?

Answer 9

1. Describe the system, objectives, and uncertainties.
2. Assess vulnerability.
3. Identify actions and assess adaptation tipping points.
4. Develop and evaluate pathways.
5. Design adaptive plan.
   6.Implement plan.
   7.Monitor for tipping points.

Question 10

What document recommends DAPP for use in Aotearoa?

Answer 10

MfE Coastal Hazards and Climate Change Guidance for Local Government

Question 11

When would you use DAPP?

Answer 11

When planning under deeply uncertain conditions

Question 12

What do the horizontal lines of the DAPP metro map represent?

Answer 12

The different actions and the range of conditions they are effective under

Question 13

What options should the adaptive planning criteria include?

Answer 13

-Flexibility.
-Avoidance of path dependency.
-Meeting objectives over at least 100 years.
-Performance of options and pathways over range of non/climate change scenarios of future.

Question 14

What are the benefits of an adaptive approach?

Answer 14

-Make short-term early actions that are flexible.
-Can change ahead of an earlier-onset adaptation threshold.
-Help address the uncertainty.

Question 15

What is the criteria for selecting indicators?

Answer 15

1. Relevance - how its meaningful to users.
2. Measurability - for recognition and monitoring
3. Timeliness - can be applied with sufficient lead time for adaptation
4. Reliable - ability of replication
5. Convincing - to enabling decision makers to agree on actions

Question 16

What can adaptive frameworks be used to do?

Answer 16

• Assess implications of responses before decisions are taken.
• Identify circumstances and timeframes in which unacceptable levels of risk may be reached.
• Express the circumstances as decision points.

Question 17

What are the limitations of adaptive planning?

Answer 17

• Has not been implemented into complex systems
• Multiple uncertain conditions can make the approach even more complex