Risk Management (1) Flashcards

1
Q

If a company is exporting from, say, the UK to the US, and the US $ weakens from, say, $/£ 1.3 to $/£ 1.4?

A

Any exports from the UK will be more expensive when priced in $

Goods imported from the US will be cheaper in £

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2
Q

What is the spot exchange rate?

A

The market exchange rate for buying/selling the currency for immediate delivery

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3
Q

What is the forward exchange rate?

A

The exchange rate for buying or selling the currency at a specific date in the future

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4
Q

Differences in interest rates => Expected differences in inflation rates

A

Fisher effect

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5
Q

Differences in interest rates => Difference between spot and forward exchange rate

A

Expectations theory

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6
Q

Expected difference in inflation rates => Expected change in spot exchange rate

A

Purchasing power parity

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7
Q

Differences in interest rates => Expected change in spot exchange rate

A

International fisher effect

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8
Q

What is absolute PPP?

A

States that the exchange rate simply reflects the different cost of living in two countries

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9
Q

Disadvantage of absolute PPP?

A

They are of limited practical use in financial management

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10
Q

What is relative PPP?

A

The future spot exchange rate is based on the current spot rate and the inflation rate differential between the two currencies

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11
Q

What does interest rate parity state?

A

The forward exchange rate is based on the spot rate and the interest rate differential between the two currencies

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12
Q

What does PPP predict?

A

The future spot rate

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13
Q

What does IRP predict?

A

The forward rate

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14
Q

What happens according to the fisher effect?

A

Countries with a higher rate of inflation have higher nominal interest rates in order to offer the same real return as countries with low inflation

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15
Q

What is the concept of arbitage?

A

The forces of supply and demand would lead to a change in the forward exchange rate so that risk-free profit making was not possible

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16
Q

What is the forward rate?

A

The forward rate is an unbiased estimate of the future spot rate

17
Q

What are the two principal parts of monetary transactions between a country and the rest of the world?

A

Current account

Capital account

18
Q

What is current account?

A

Shows the net amount a country is earning if it is in surplus, or spending if it is in defic

19
Q

What is capital account?

A

Records the net change in ownership of foreign assets and includes the foreign exchange market operations of a nation’s central bank

20
Q

What is the main component of a current account?

A

The balance of trade, which is net earnings on exports minus payments for imports

21
Q

How must any current account surplus (deficit) be balanced by?

A

A capital account deficit (surplus) of equal size

22
Q

What does a rise in the value of a nation’s currency make its exports?

A

Less competitive and imports cheaper, with these effects tending to correct a current account surplus.

23
Q

What does a fall in value of a nation’s currency cause?

A

Imports more expensive and increases the competitiveness of exports, and so helps to correct a deficit

24
Q

What if a country exports more than it imports?

A

The demand for its currency will tend to increase. Extra demand tends to cause a rise of the currency’s price relative to others.

25
Q

What if a country imports more than it exports?

A

The supply of its own currency on the international market tends to increase as it tries to exchange it for foreign currency to pay for its imports