2.2 Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Flashcards
(17 cards)
investment
current commitment with consequences stretching over the future
Private cost-benefit analysis
- only marketed cost benefits are considerd
- no inclusion of externalities
Time value of money
Individual is indifferent between certain promise of future sum and offer to present value now
- value to money now is higher then to money in the future
compounding
converting current amounts into future equivalents
discouting
Inverse of compounding
Converting future amounts to current equivalents
Lowers the value of benefits and costs in the future compared to those current
net present value (NPV)
NPV >= 0; then you will choose this option
influence of interest rate is important
Internal rate of return (IRR-
interest rate (i) for which NPV = 0
IRR > I then you will invest in the project
- multiple solutions can exist
You earn more by investment in the project then by putting it in a savingsaccount
Benefit-cost ratio
Benefit - cost ratio = NPV benefits / NPV cost
BC ratio >=1; invest in project
payback time
time required for cash inflows to offset initial cash outflows (investment)
shorter payback times are preferred
opportunity cost of capital
economies grow but capital is scarce
rates of return show the net benefit from investing rather then consuming;
Return most profitable - return chosen
Environmental CBA
social and not commercial appraisal of investment projects
- attach monetary values to the environmental impacts (desired & undesired)
- externalities are included with the ordinary inputs & outputs
- discount rate instead of interest rate
risk free rate of return
Investment with zero risk
Ramsey equation
i = ro + eta*g
bundels factors into consumption rate of interest
willingness to postpone consumption now for consumption later
Calculates social discount rate/ social rate of time preferences
cost-effectiveness
Achieving specified objectives at the least cost
Absolute priority to one aspect of performance
ex. trafic problems
If you want the option that saves the most hours/years you will choose a highway
Multi-criteria analysis
Differing in how the evaluations on different criteria are combined to produce one single choice of option
ex. weighted average: giving a score to each aspect and then calculating average
qualititive -> quantitive, making dimensionless
Deliberative polling
- run opinion poll on the people that are affected
- hold a discussion with respondents
- respond again to the original survey
BUT costly; but also holds for other methods
citizens juries
- recruite citizens that are representative of th community
- discuss issue with experts and moderates
- compile conclusions in report or verdict (non-binding & unanimous)
- commissioning authority is required (publishing findings, respond why not following recommendations)