CFA L2 Derivatives Flashcards
(131 cards)
Long vs short positions in a forward contract
Long position: The party that agrees to buy the asset at some point in the future
Short position: The party that agrees to sell the asset at some point in the future
True or false: Forward contracts have margin accounts where money must be deposited at inception?
False, margin accounts exist with FUTURES.
Price of a forward contract
The price of a forward contract DOES NOT refer to the price to purchase a contract. There is no price that either party pays at the contract’s inception. The price of the forward contract refers to the forward price of the underlying. The price is often quoted as an interest rate or exchange rate but can be quoted in $ or €. The forward price MUST prevent riskless arbitrage in frictionless market, and is thus the price that makes the values of both the long and the short positions zero at contract initiation.
Calculation: Forward price (FP) = S0 * (1 + Rf)^T
OR
S0 = FP ÷ (1 + Rf)^T
- The forward price is the future value of the spot price adjusted for any periodic payments expected from the asset.
- For an equity forward contract, net cost of carry equals risk-free rate minus dividend yield.
No-arbitrage principle
The idea that there should be no riskless profit from combining forward or futures contracts w/ other instruments.
Assumptions of no-arbitrage principle
- Transaction costs are zero
- There are no restrictions on short sales or on the use of short sale proceeds
- Borrowing and lending can be done at unlimited amounts at the Rf
Example: No-arbitrage forward price
Consider a 3-month forward contract on a zero-coupon bond w/ a face value of $1,000 that is currently quoted at $500, and suppose that the annual Rf is 6%. What is the price of the forward contract under the no-arbitrage principle?
T = 3 ÷ 12
FP = $500 * (1.06)^.25 = $507.34
The $507.34 is the price agreed upon today to be paid in 3 months time.
Cash and Carry Arbitrage
This is a market-neutral strategy combining the purchase of a long position in an asset such as a stock or commodity in the spot market, and shorting a position in a futures contract on that same underlying asset. When a contract is overpriced, an arbitrageur will take a short position and vice versa.
Ex: If a bond trades at $510 but the no-arbitrage price is $507.34, an arbitrageur will borrow $500 at the Rf, buy the bond for $510, and enter into a short position (selling the asset) in a forward contract. When the price drops to $500 in future, the loan will be repaid ($507.34) but the arbitrageur will receive $510 from the contract for a profit of $2.66.
This is used when an asset is overpriced
- This is considered riskless arbitrage
- Recall from L1, oftentimes if the security that’s being shorted pays dividends, the arbitrageur must pay the holder the dividends during the short period.
- Ex: If the answer in #6 DOES NOT equal what the market has the forward contract priced, we use cash and carry arbitrage.
Reverse cash and carry arbitrage
A market-neutral strategy combining a short position in an asset and a long futures position in that same asset. An arbitrageur can use this when an asset is underpriced.
Ex: If a bond trades at $502 but the no-arbitrage price is $507.34, an arbitrageur will sell the bond for $500 today, invest the proceeds at the Rf, and enter into a long position in a forward contract. Then, in the future when the bond price increases, the arbitrageur will pay the $502 but will receive $507.34 from the principal and interest for a $5.34 profit.
This is considered riskless arbitrage
Value of a long forward contract during the life of the contract
Vt = St - [ FP ÷ (1 + Rf)^(T - t) ]
- T = maturity date
- t = current date
Value of long forward contract at expiration
S_T - FP
Forward price of an equity derivative contract w/ discrete dividends
FP of equity security = (S0 - PVD) * (1 + Rf)^T
OR
FP of equity security = [ S0 * (1 + Rf)^T ] - FVD
- PVD = PV of dividend
- FVD= FV of dividend
- For equity contracts, use a 365-day basis for calculating T (ex: if it is a 60-day contract, T = 60 / 365).
Value of a forward contract w/ an underlying that’s a dividend-paying stock
Vt = (St - PVDt) - [ FP ÷ (1 + Rf)^(T - t) ]
OR
(FPt - FP) ÷ (1 + Rf)^t
- (T-t) = time to maturity
- If result is positive, it’s a gain for the long and a loss for the short. If result is negative, it’s a gain for the short and a loss for the long.
True or false: In a forward contract, the long loses when the price of the underlying increases and the short gains when the price of the underlying increases?
False, in a forward contract, the long gains when the price of the underlying increases and the short gains when the price of the underlying decreases.
Benefits of carry
Interim CFs (ex: dividends or coupons). These benefits reduce the FP and offset costs of carry (ex: Rf).
Price of an equity index forward contract
Rather than taking the PV of every dividend in the index, we can make the calculation as if the dividends are paid continuously.
FP of an equity index = S0 * e^(Rf_c - δ^c)
OR
(S0 * e^(-δT)) * e^(Rf_c * T)
- δ^c = continuously compounded dividend yield
- Rf^c = continuously compounded risk-free rate
How to calculate the continuously compounded Rf (Rf^c)
ln(1 + Rf)
Ex: The Rf compounded annually at 5% = ln(1.05)
Example: Calculating the price of a forward contract on an equity index
The value of the S&P 500 Index is 1,140. The continuously compounded risk-free rate is 4.6% and the continuous dividend yield is 2.1%. Calculate the no-arbitrage price of a 140-day forward contract on the index.
FP = 1140 * e^( (0.046 - 0.021) * 140/365)
Value of an equity index to the long
Vlong = [ St ÷ e^δc(T-t) ] - [ FP ÷ e^rf_c(T-t) ]
- Value to the short would be the forward price minus the spot price.
Forward price on a fixed income derivative
Same as for an equity derivative w/ dividends except now we use coupon payments.
Calculation: FP on a fixed income security = (S0 - PVC) * (1 + Rf)^T
OR
S0 * (1 + Rf)^T - FVC
* PVC = PV of coupon
* FVC = FV of coupon
Value of a fixed income derivative
(St - PVCt) - (FP ÷ (1 + Rf)^(T - t))
Bond futures contracts
Derivatives that obligate the contract holder to purchase/sell a bond on a specified date at a predetermined price. Bond futures contracts often allow the short an option to deliver any of several bonds, which will satisfy the delivery terms of the contract. This is called a delivery option and is valuable to the short. Each bond is given a conversion factor that is used to adjust the long’s payment at delivery so the more valuable bonds receive a larger payment. Bond prices are quoted as clean prices, and at settlement the buyer pays the clean price + accrued interest = full price.
Accrued interest calculation
(days since the last coupon payment ÷ days between coupon payments) * coupon amount
Bond futures price calculation
[ (full price) * (1 + Rf)^T - FVC - Accrued interest_T ]
Quoted bond futures price
This is how to adjust the forward pricing formula to account for the short’s delivery option
Bond futures price ÷ conversion factor
OR
[bond futures price) * (1 ÷ conversion factor)