Class 6 Flashcards
(22 cards)
counterfactual
is what would have happened to the same
people exposed to a causal factor if they simultaneously
were not exposed to the causal factor
effect
is the difference between what actually did
happen with the exposure and what would have happened without it
counterfactual often used
control grp
PICO question
pop
intervention
comparison
outcome
Spurious association
variables are not causally related to each other,
yet it may be wrongly inferred that they are, due to either
coincidence or the presence of a certain third, unseen factor. ex: ebola vaccine, heart attack
Indirect association
: variables are associated due to the presence of
another factor i.e. common factor (confounding variable).
Direct ( causal ) association
- One to one causal association
* Multifactorial association
Criteria for Causality (John Stuart Mill)
- Temporal : A cause must precede an effect in time
- Relationship There must be an empirical relationship between the presumed cause and the presumed effect (correlation)
- No confounders : The relationship cannot be explained as being caused by a third variable.
Criteria for Causality: Hill
Strength: a strong association is more likely to be causal, linked to relative risk and not stats
Consistency: diff pop
Specificity: exposure is associated with a specific outcome only
Temporality: cause should precede the outcome + timing of exposure should be consistent with latency or incubation period
Gradient: when intensity of exposure increases, so does outcome
Plausibility: biologically plausible
Coherence: Not in conflict with what is known about the history and biology of the disease or its distribution in time and place
Exper evidence
Analogy
Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT): Key Features
- Manipulation : The research does something to at least some participants there is an intervention
- Control : The researcher introduces controls over the research situation a comparator (counterfactual approximation)
- Randomization : The researcher assigns participants to a control or experimental condition on a random basis
Control Group
- An alternate intervention
- Standard of care
- Placebo
- Different doses
- Wait list or delayed treatment
Randomization (Random Allocation)
•Prevent selection bias
•Equalize pre intervention attributes
(potential confounders)
Types of randomization
- Complete randomization
- Simple randomization
- Stratified randomization: control for covariates
Blinding
•Enhance objectivity •Prevent expectation bias •Prevent measurement bias
Quasi
experimental design
•Lacks random assignment to an intervention or control group. Use of this type of
study occurs when it is not possible to randomize.
•A quasi experimental design identifies a comparison group that is as similar as
possible to the intervention or treatment group in terms of the baseline
characteristics.
•While potentially more practical than a randomized trial, this study design often
introduces bias when the experimental and control groups are not equivalent.
These types of studies are also sometimes referred to as “natural experiments.”
Prospective cohort study
1.Identify participants based on exposure:
•Exposed or
•Unexposed (comparison group)
2.Assess outcomes based on prospective data collected
Retrospective cohort study
•. In this type of study, both the exposure and the outcomes have already
occurred and data are collected retrospectively.
•Just as in a prospective cohort study, the investigator calculates and
compares rates of disease in the exposed and unexposed groups.
Case
Control study
The investigator selects participants based on their disease status
(outcome) and then assesses previous exposures
1.Investigator enrolls those with the disease (outcome)
2.For a comparison group, the investigator then enrolls a group of
people without the disease (controls), representing the population
from which the cases originated
3.Investigators then compare previous exposures between the two
groups
Cross-sectional
survey
Incidence
The rate of new cases with a specified condition, calculated by dividing the
number of new cases by the number at risk of becoming a new case over a
given period of time (e.g. over the period of one year)
cohort study
Prevalence
The proportion of a population having a specified condition at a given point in
time (e.g. a snapshot in time)
cross sectional survey
Emergency Threshold for mortality
more than 1/ 10 000 per day
child: more than 2