Money raised in invisible primary by Obama and Romney?
Obama: $125.2 million
Romney: $56.1 million
How many visits did the Republican candidates make to Iowa in the invisible primary combined?
771
Ron Paul vote share in 2012 Republican caucuses compared to overall share?
Maine: 36%
North Dakota: 28%
Overall: 11%
Shows how caucuses attract more ideological voters as Paul was a strong libertarian
Frontloading: number of states that held primaries before end of March in 1980 compared to 2008?
11 in 1980
42 in 2008
2016: Number of Republican candidates withdrawn by end of New Hampshire Primary?
11 of the 17
Total Primary turnout in 2012 (Obama incumbent) compared to 2016 (no incumbent) for both parties?
2012: 28 million
2016: 58 million
Example of balanced ticket
2008: Obama (47 years old, black, 4 years in senate)
Biden (65 years old, white, 36 years in senate)
Example of post-convention bounce?
1992: Clinton’s poll figures increased by 16 points, whilst incumbent Bush only saw a 5 point rise
Which act attempted to reduce candidates’ reliance on big, wealthy donors?
Federal Election Campaign Act (1974)
Total expenditure by Super PACs in 2016 election?
$1.1 billion
Two biggest Super PACs in 2016 election?
Priorities USA Action (pro-Clinton) - $113 million
Right to Rise USA (pro-Bush) - $87 million
Poll about who won the first presidential debate in 2016?
Clinton: 62%
Trump: 27%
Vote share 2016 election?
Clinton: 48% (227 delegates)
Trump: 45.9% (304 delegates)
Democrat and Republican affiliated turnouts (and voting behaviour) in 2012?
Democrat: 38% (92% voted Obama)
Republican: 32% (93% voted Romney)
Gender voting behaviour in 2016?
Men: 54-41% Trump
Women: 54-42% Clinton
White voting behaviour 2016?
(69% of electorate)
Trump: 57%
Clinton: 38%
Black voting behaviour 2016?
(12% of electorate)
Trump: 8%
Clinton: 88%
Protestant voting behaviour 2012?
(53% of electorate)
42% Obama
57% Romney
Catholic voting behaviour 2012?
(25% of electorate)
50% Obama
48% Romney
18-29 year old voting behaviour 2016?
(19% of electorate)
37% Trump
55% Clinton
65+ year old voting behaviour 2016?
(15% of electorate)
53% Trump
45% Clinton
Big City voting behaviour 2012?
(11% of electorate)
69% Obama
29% Romney
Rural voting behaviour 2012?
(14% of electorate)
37% Obama
61% Romney
Number of electoral college votes: California vs Wyoming?
California: 55
Wyoming: 3
California has 18 times as many votes, but has a population 66 times larger than Wyoming
Hispanic voting behaviour 2016?
(12% of electorate)
Trump: 29%
Clinton: 65%
Vote share for Ross Perot in 1992 (and electoral college votes)?
18.9% (no EC votes)
Distributed support
Vote share for George Wallace in 1968 (and electoral college votes)?
13.5% (45 EC votes)
Concentrated support
States that use congressional district system in Presidential elections?
Maine and Nebraska
House of Rep. seats (and changes) 2016 election?
Republicans: 241 (-6)
Democrats: 194 (+6)
Senate seats (and changes) 2016 election?
Republicans: 52 (-2)
Democrats: 46 (+2)
(only 34 seats up for election)
Number of defeated incumbents in 2016 House elections?
13 out of 393
House members defeated for voting decisions?
Gilchrest and Wynn (both Maryland) in 2008 due to votes on Iraq war
Democrat seat changes in 2014 mid terms?
Lost 13 seats in House
Lost 9 seats in Senate
Example of a proposition
2008 ban on sex-same marriage In California
Ban approved 52-48%
Example of State Governor recall election
Scott Walker (Wisconsin) 2012 Beat Tom Barrett: 53-46%
Total amount raised by Clinton and Trump in 2016 election
Clinton: $1.2 bn
Trump: $870 million
Winner takes all primary (Republican) 2016?
Florida
Trump won all 99 delegates with 45% of the vote
Proportional primary (Republican) 2016?
North Carolina
Trump: 40% (29 delegates)
Cruz: 37% (27 delegates)
Kasich: 13% (9 delegates)
2016 Presidential election result Alabama? (South)
Trump: 62%
Clinton: 35%
2016 Presidential election result California? (West coast)
Trump: 32%
Clinton: 62%
Super PAC money spent supporting Clinton and Trump in 2016
Clinton: $204 million
Trump: $80 million
Number of Republican TV debates during 2016 Primaries?
12
Tea Party member elected in 2010 mid terms?
Scott Brown (R) for Massachusetts, a typical Democrat State
Republican GAINS in 2002 mid terms
Won 8 seats in House, 2 seats in Senate
Republican LOSSES in 2006 mid terms
Lost 30 seats in House, 6 in Senate
Bush approval ratings 2002 and 2006
2002: 90%
2006: 35%
Democrat LOSSES in 2010 mid terms
Lost 63 seats in House, 6 in Senate
Democrat GAINS in 2008 Congressional elections?
Gained 21 seats in House, 8 in Senate
Obama approval ratings 2009 and 2014
2009: 66%
2014: 42%
