What is a psephologist?
Someone who explains voting behaviour by theoretical models.
What are 2 ways of showing voting behavior?
short (recency) and long (primacy) terms factors.
What things does a primacy model represent?
Primacy factors are the most important factor
Stability in electoral behavior rather than volatility.
What does the recency model represent?
Voting patterns are volatile
Short terms factors are most important
10 million voters make up their mind in the last month of the election campaign.