Chapter 4 Flashcards
(33 cards)
Decision Process
- Herbert Simon
1. Intelligence (searching environment)
2. Design (inventing, developing, and analyzing)
3. Choice (actual selection of a course of action)
Decision Making
The process of choosing from various alternatives.
Problem Solving
Process of determining the appropriate responses or actions necessary to alleviate a problem.
Programmed Decision
Decisions that are reached by following an established or systematic procedure.
- Routine, repetitive decisions
- Guidelines must be followed in arriving at the decision.
Nonprogrammed Decisions
- Have little or no precedent
- Unstructured
- Generally require a more creative approach.
Intuitive Approach
Approach used when managers make decisions based largely on hunches and intuition.
- Emotionally attached.
Optimizing Approach
- Recognize the need for a decision.
- Establish, rank, and weigh the decision criteria.
- Gather available info. and data.
- Identify possible alternatives.
- Evaluate each alternative with respect to all criteria.
- Select the best alternative.
Satisficing Approach
Selecting the first alternative that meets the decision maker’s minimum standard of satisfaction.
Administrative Man - Simon
- A person’s knowledge of alternatives and criteria is limited.
- People act on the basis of a simplified abstraction of the real world.
- People don’t attempt to optimize.
- An individual’s level of aspiration concerning a decision fluctuates.
Principle of bounded rationality
Assumes people have the time and cognitive ability to process only a limited amount of information on which to base decisions.
Level of aspiration
Level of performance that a person expects to attain; determined by the person’s prior successes and failures.
Environmental Factors to Decisions
- Organizational groups
- Personal Traits
- Organization itself
- Individuals within organizations
Situation of Certainty
Occurs when a decision maker knows exactly what will happen and can often calculate the precise outcome for each alternative.
Situation of Risk
Situation that occurs when a decision maker is aware of the relative probabilities of occurrence associated with each alternative.
Situation of Uncertainty
Occurs when a decision maker has very little or no reliable info. on which to evaluate the different outcomes.
Maximax Approach
Selecting the alternative whose best possible outcome is the best of all possible outcomes.
- Positive Approach
Maximin Approach
Comparing the worst possible outcomes for each alternative and selecting the one that is least undersirable.
Risk-averting Approach
Choosing the alternative with the least variation among its possible outcomes.
Value
A conception that defines what an individual or group regards as desirable.
Ethics
A set of moral principles or values that govern behavior.
Group Decision Making
- The sum total of the groups knowledge is greater.
- The group has a much wider range of alternatives.
- Risk-takers
Barriers to decision making
- Complacency
- Defensive Avoidance
- Panic
- Deciding to decide
Creativity
coming up with an idea that is new, original, useful, or satisfying to its creator or to someone else.
5 Step Process to creative decision making
- Preparation
- Concentration
- Incubation of ideas and information