decision making Flashcards

1
Q

what is riskless misattribute choice?

A

pick one choice that maximises attributes

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2
Q

what is intertemporal choice?

A

effect of time when evaluating options

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3
Q

what are decisions under uncertainty?

A

not certain about probability of outcome happening

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4
Q

what are decisions under risk?

A

know probability of outcomes

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5
Q

what is expected value?

A

sum of each possible value weighted by its value

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6
Q

what is subjective value?

A

how good something feels

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7
Q

what is expected utility?

A

increase subjective value when follow expected utility

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8
Q

what did kahneman & tversky (1979) discover about expected utility?

A

it depends on whether it is a gain or loss

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9
Q

who created prospect theory?

A

khaneman & tversky

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10
Q

what is reference dependence?

A

outcomes considered gains/losses with respect to reference point (current wealth)

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11
Q

what are the two risk attitudes of prospect theory?

A
  • risk averse for gains
  • risk seeking for losses
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12
Q

what is loss aversion?

A

more subjective value for losses than gains

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13
Q

what is the endowment effect (knetsch, 1989)?

A

value increases more when you take ownership of something

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14
Q

what is the allais’ effect (kahneman & tvsersky, 1979)?

A

0% to 1% chance of winning nothing is not same as 66% to 67% chance

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15
Q

what is the certainty effect (kahneman & tversky, 1981)?

A

if probability near to 100% or 0%, it is treated differently

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16
Q

what are non-linear probabilities (gonzalez & wu, 1999)?

A

changes in 5% more significant when close to 0% or 100%

17
Q

what is the decision weights problem?

A

overestimate rare events and underestimate common events

18
Q

what are the 3 problems of prospect theory?

A
  • limited scope
  • empirical failings
  • purely descriptive
19
Q

what does lichtenstein & slovic (1971) say about the limited scope of prospect theory?

A

cant explain why people value probabilities differently

20
Q

what is the attraction effect?

A

make a different choice when an option is changed - choose dominating option

21
Q

what does weber & chapman (2005) say about the empirical failings of prospect theory?

A

equally likely to choose risky options and non-risky options when low probabilities

22
Q

what is an issue with prospect theory being purely descriptive?

A

where do curves come from?

23
Q

what do stewart et al (2006) say about prospect theory being purely descriptive?

A

same cognitive process with gains and losses as economic environment follows pattern of of gains and losses - forms the curves