Session 11 Flashcards
(8 cards)
Why is climate change a threat multiplier?
Climate change is likely to increase the probability of violence in form of
intercommunal violence, civil wars or
terrorism.
What could be pathways, through which climate change leads to indirect violence?
- Climate change lowers the opportunity costs for rebellion
- Climate change undermines state capacity
- Climate change aggravates intra group tensions
How can agriculture and food prices influence violence?
- Depressed agricultural production (and lower income) makes joining a rebellion more attractive
- Higher food prices serve as a source for grievances for consumers (differences btw democracies/non-democracies)
- state capacity to suppress violence and to provide services becomes undermined.
How can a natural disaster lead to
conflict?
- Through the effect of
negative economic growth - Failed disaster response
leads to grievances
But: Rebel groups can also get
weakened by disasters
What’s the role of Institutions when it comes to climate and conflict?
They affect
* The distribution of services
* The capacity of response
* And whether conflicts
escalate.
Role of the Arctic in climate change?
- New Northern Sea Route (NSR)
The Arctic possesses an estimated - 30% of the world’s undiscovered gas reserves
- 13% of undiscovered oil.
- Rare earth and
minerals
BUT: Dangers of Permafrost Thaw:
- Massive release of greenhouse gases.
- Wild fires
- Infrastructure damage
- Release of microorganism in Arctic
human and animal remains could lead to serious health concerns.
Which countries have high lithium production + reserves?
Australia and Chile
How to tackle climate change from different perspectives?
Power-based lens: find great power arrangement/compromise
Domestic politics lens: focus on societal actors who benefit from/want a carbon neutral economy.
Psychological lens: focus on psychological & normative forces that drive the climate movement.
