Chapter 9 Decision making Flashcards
(34 cards)
Decision making
Process of choosing a course of action to deal with a problem or opportunity
5 steps:
Recognize and define the problem or opportunity— gather information and deliberate in order to specify exactly why a decision is needed and what it should accomplish.`
Identify and analyze alternative courses of action— evaluate possible alternative courses of action and their anticipated consequences for costs and benefits.
Choose a preferred course of action— a choice is made to pursue one course of action rather than others.
Implement the preferred course of action— actions are taken to put the preferred course of action into practice.
Evaluate results and follow up as necessary— performance results are measured against initial goals and both anticipated and unanticipated outcomes are examined.
Lack-of-participation error
occurs when important people are excluded from the decision-making process.
Ethics
is the philosophical study of morality or standards regarding good character and conduct.
A moral problem
poses major ethical consequences for the decision maker or others.
A moral dilemma
involves choosing among alternatives that contain both potential benefits and harm.
Criteria questions
assess a decision in terms of utility, rights, justice, and caring.
Utility— Does the decision satisfy all constituents or stakeholders?
Rights— Does the decision respect the rights and duties of everyone?
Justice— Is the decision consistent with the canons of justice?
Caring— Is the decision consistent with my responsibilities to care?
Spotlight questions
expose a decision to public scrutiny and full transparency.
Certain environments
provide full information on the expected results for decision-making alternatives.
Programmed decisions
implement solutions that have already been determined by past experience.
Uncertain environments
provide no information to predict expected results for decision-making alternatives.
Nonprogrammed decisions
are created to deal with a unique problem or opportunity at hand.
Risk environments
provide probabilities regarding expected results for decision-making alternatives.
Risk management
involves anticipating risks and factoring them into decision making.
strategic risks—threats to overall business success
operational risks—threats inherent in the technologies used to reach business success
reputation risks—threats to a brand or to the firm’s reputation
A crisis decision
occurs when an unexpected problem can lead to disaster if not resolved quickly and appropriately
Classical decision model
views decision makers as acting in a world of complete certainty.
Optimizing decisions
give the absolute best solution to a problem.
The behavioral decision model
views decision makers as acting only in terms of what they perceive about a given situation.
cognitive limitations—limits on what we are able to know at any point in time.
bounded rationality, where things are interpreted and made sense of as perceptions and only within the context of the situation
Satisficing decisions
choose the first alternative that appears to give an acceptable or satisfactory resolution of the problem.
Systematic thinking
approaches problems in a rational and analytical fashion.
Intuitive thinking
approaches problems in a flexible and spontaneous fashion.
Heuristics
are simplifying strategies or “rules of thumb” used to make decisions
Availability heuristic
bases a decision on recent events relating to the situation at hand.
Representativeness heuristic
bases a decision on similarities between the situation at hand and stereotypes of similar occurrences.
The anchoring and adjustment heuristic
bases a decision on incremental adjustments to an initial value determined by historical precedent or some reference point.