Chapter 7 Flashcards

(67 cards)

1
Q

A choice made from among available alternatives.

A

Decision

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2
Q

The process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action.

A

Decision Making

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3
Q

Two Systems of Decision Making:

A

(1) System 1- Intuitive and Largely Unconscious

(2) System 2 - Analytical and Conscious

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4
Q

Operates automatically and quickly

A

System 1- Intuitive and Largely Unconscious

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5
Q

Slow, deliberate, analytical and consciously effortful mode of reasoning

A

System 2 - Analytical and Conscious

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6
Q

People who design products are experts cursed by their knowledge , and they can’t imagine what it’s like to be as ignorant as the rest of us

A

Curse of Knowledge

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7
Q

True or False: As our knowledge and expertise grow, we may be less and less able to see things from an outsider’s perspective.

A

True

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8
Q

Explains how managers should make decisions; it assumes managers will make logical decisions that are the optimal means of furthering the organization’s best interests.

A

Rational Model of Decision Making / Classical Model

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9
Q

Four Stages in Rational Decision Making:

A

(1) Identify the problem or opportunity
(2) Think up alternatives solutions
(3) Evaluate alternatives and select a solution
(4) Implement and evaluate the solution chosen

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10
Q

Difficulties that inhibit the achievement of goals

A

Problems

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11
Q

Situations that present possibilities for exceeding existing goals.

A

Opportunities

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12
Q

How to change conditions from the present to the desirable

A

Improvements

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13
Q

Analyzing the underlying causes

A

Diagnosis

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14
Q

Three questions to ask during Stage 3:

A

(1) Is it ethical?
(2) Is it feasible?
(3) Is it ultimately effective?

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15
Q

For successful implementation, you need:

A

(1) Plan carefully

(2) Be sensitive to those affected

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16
Q

What should you do if the action is not working?:

A

(1) Give it more time
(2) Change it slightly
(3) Try another alternative
(4) Start over

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17
Q

The rational model is __________, describing how managers ought to make decisions. It doesn’t describe how managers _____ make decisions.

A

(1) Prescriptive

(2) Actually

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18
Q

Explain how managers make decisions; they assume that decision making is nearly always uncertain and risky, making it difficult for managers to make optimal decisions.

A

Non-rational model of decision making

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19
Q

Two nonnational models are:

A

(1) Satisficing

(2) Intuition

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20
Q

Proposed Bounded Rationality and Satisficing Model

A

Herbert Simon

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21
Q

The concept suggests that the ability of decision makers to be rational is limited by numerous constraints

A

Bounded Rationality

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22
Q

Managers seek alternatives until they find one that is not satisfactory, not optimal.

A

Satisficing Model

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23
Q

Making a choice without the use of conscious thought or logical inference.

A

Intuition

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24
Q

Intuition that stems from expertise. A person’s explicit and tacit knowledge about a person, a situation, an object, or a decision opportunity

A

Holistic Hunch

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25
Intuition based on feelings. The involuntary emotional response to those same matters.
Automated Experience
26
Model for Making Decisions, Intuition has two benefits:
(1) Speed up decision making | (2) Helps managers when resources are limited
27
Someone trained about matters of ethics in the workplace, particularly about resolving ethical dilemmas.
Ethics Officer
28
A graph of decisions and their possible consequences; it is used to create a plan to reach a goal.
Decision Tree
29
Ask the following questions when forming a decision tree:
(1) Is the proposed action legal? (2) If "Yes", is the proposed action ethical? (3) If "Yes", does the proposed action maximize shareholder value? (4) If "No", would it be ethical not to take proposed action?
30
Eight Rules for Being a Better Manager:
(1) Be a good coach (2) Empower your team, don't micromanage (3) Express interest in team members success and personal well being (4) Be productive and result oriented (5) Be a good communicator and listen to your team (6) Help your employees with career development (7) Have a clear vision and strategy for the team (8) Have key technical skills so you can help advise the team
31
"Too many companies and too many leaders are more interested in just copying others, doing what they've always done, and making decisions based on beliefs in what ought to work rather than what actually works."
Jeffrey Pfeffer and Robert Sutton
32
Seven Implementation Principles:
(1) Treat your organization as an unfinished prototype (2) No brag, just facts (3) See yourself and your organization as outsiders do (4) Evidence based management is not just for senior executives (5) Like everything else, you still need to sell it (6) If all else fails, slow the spread of bad practices (7) The best diagnostic question: What happens when people fail?
33
What makes it hard to be evidence based:
(1) Too much evidence (2) Not enough good evidence (3) Evidence does not apply (4) People are trying to mislead you (5) You are trying to mislead yourself (6) Side effects outweigh the cure (7) Stories are more persuasive
34
Term used for sophisticated forms of business data analysis
Analytics
35
Is a data mining technique used to predict future behavior and anticipate the consequences
Predictive Modeling
36
Includes not only data in corporate databases, but also web browsing data trails, social network communications, sensor data, and surveillance data.
Big Data
37
True or False: It is possible to measure everything with Big Data.
True
38
The process of examining large amounts of data of a variety of types to uncover hidden patterns, unknown correlations, and other useful information.
Big Data Analytics
39
Uses of Big Data Analytics:
(1) Analyzing consumer behavior and spurring sales (2) Improving hiring and human resource management (3) Tracking movie, music, TV, and reading data, (4) Advancing health and medicine (5) Aiding public policy
40
Strategies that simplify the process of making decisions.
Heuristics
41
Nine Common Decision Making Biases:
(1) Availability (2) Representativeness (3) Overconfidence (4) Confirmation (5) Sunk Cost (6) Anchoring and Adjustment (7) Hindsight (8) Framing (9) Escalation
42
Use of information readily available from memory to make judgements
Availability Bias
43
The tendency to generalize from a small sample or a single event
Representativeness Bias
44
Occurs when people seek information to support their point of view and discount data that do not support it
Confirmation Bias
45
Occurs when managers add up all the money already spent on a project and conclude it is too costly to simply abandon it
Sunk Cost Bias
46
The tendency to make decisions based on initial fatigue.
Anchoring and Adjustment Bias
47
The bias in which people's subjective confidence in their decision making is greater than their objective accuracy
Overconfidence Bias
48
The tendency of people to view events as more predictable than they really are
Hindsight Bias
49
Tendency of decision makers to be influenced by the way a situation or problem is presented to them
Framing Bias
50
Whereby decision makers increase their commitment to a project despite negative information about it
Escalation of Commitment Bias
51
Advantages of Group Decision Making:
(1) Greater pool of knowledge (2) Different Perspectives (3) Intellectual Stimulation (4) Better understanding of decision rationale (5) Deeper commitment to the decision
52
Disadvantages of Group Decision Making:
(1) A few people dominate or intimidate (2) Groupthink (3) Satisficing (4) Goal displacement
53
Occurs when group members strive to agree for the sake of unanimity and thus avoid accurately assessing the decision situation.
Groupthink
54
Occurs when the primary goal is subsumed by a secondary goal.
Goal Displacement
55
Symptoms of Groupthink:
(1) Sense of invulnerability (2) Rationalization (3) Illusion of unanimity and peer pressure (4) "Wisdom of Crowds"
56
How to prevent Groupthink:
(1) Allow criticism | (2) Allow other perspectives
57
Characteristics of Group Decision Making:
(1) Less efficient (2) Size affects decision quality (3) May be too confident (4) Knowledge counts
58
When a group can help in decision making:
(1) When it can increase quality (2) When it can increase acceptance (3) When it can increase development
59
Occurs when members are able to express their opinions and reach agreement to support the final decision
Consensus
60
Do's for achieving consensus:
(1) Use active listening skills (2) Involve as many members as possible (3) Seek out the reasons behind arguments (4) Dig for facts
61
Don'ts for achieving consensus:
(1) Avoid log rolling and horse trading (2) Avoid making an agreement simply to keep relations amicable and not rock the boat (3) Don't put questions to a vote
62
Group Problem Solving Techniques:
(1) Brainstorming (2) Devil's Advocacy (3) The Dialectic Method (4) Project Post Mortems
63
A technique used for help groups generate multiple ideas and alternatives for solving problems
Brainstorming
64
Members of a group come together over a computer network to generate ideas and alternatives
Electronic Brainstorming
65
Six Rules for Brainstorming:
(1) Defer judgement (2) Build on the ideas of others (3) Encourage wild ideas (4) Go for quantity over quality (5) Be visual (6) One conversation at a time
66
Assigns someone the role of critic
Devil's Advocacy
67
A review of recent decisions in order to identify possible future improvements
Project Post-Mortem